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  • The Three Bodies of Deterrence: Toward a New Nuclear Triad of Fear
    2025/10/31

    This episode explores the emerging nuclear confrontation between Russia, the United States, and China through the lens of The Three-Body Problem by Liu Cixin. It connects current geopolitical events — Putin’s test of the Poseidon underwater nuclear drone, Trump’s call for U.S. nuclear testing, and China’s rapid nuclear expansion — to the novel’s idea of an unstable three-body system where no balance is possible.

    The analysis argues that each power represents a distinct force of deterrence: Russia’s spectacle of destruction, America’s theatre of parity, and China’s silent strategic patience. Together, they form a chaotic triad that mirrors both Mearsheimer’s theory of great-power insecurity and Liu Cixin’s vision of cosmic instability.

    In the end, the piece suggests that humanity has entered a new “nuclear era of the Real,” where fear and uncertainty themselves — not actual war — govern international order.

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    8 分
  • Halloween Without End: Netanyahu and the Ritual of Horror
    2025/10/31

    In Halloween Without End: Netanyahu and the Ritual of Horror, the episode explores how fear and repetition have become the core of Netanyahu’s political order. Moving beyond consumerist images of Halloween, it examines the ritual of terror that structures modern power — where horror is not an exception but a governing principle. That is to say, the ghosts haunting Israel’s borders are not only the dead but also the unspoken truths of occupation and vengeance. The piece reflects on how the politics of fear turns into a form of the undead, where the living repeat the gestures of survival while the Real — the repressed, the traumatic — keeps returning, demanding recognition.

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    4 分
  • Trump, Putin, Zelensky, and the Tomahawk Question: Peace Talk or Power Game?
    2025/10/27

    Description
    This episode explains the political tension among Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky during renewed attempts to end the war in Ukraine. It shows how Trump first offered, then withdrew, the idea of selling Tomahawk missiles to Kyiv after speaking with Putin, disappointing Zelensky and raising doubts about U.S. commitment. The article also describes how, after postponing a planned peace summit, Trump finally imposed major sanctions on Russia’s oil industry—his toughest action so far—while Putin warned of retaliation and continued bombing Ukrainian cities. The piece highlights a triangle of pressure: Trump seeks a quick “deal” and global prestige, Putin wants to keep conquered land, and Zelensky insists that only real pressure—sanctions plus long-range weapons—can bring Russia to serious negotiations.


    Bibliography

    Broadwater, Luke. “Backing Off Tomahawk Suggestion, Trump Again Defers to Putin.” The New York Times, October 17, 2025.

    Varenikova, Maria. “Zelensky Says Strike on Kindergarten Shows Putin Isn’t Serious About Talks.” The New York Times, October 22, 2025.

    Nechepurenko, Ivan, and Anton Troianovski. “Putin Calls U.S. Sanctions ‘Unfriendly Act’ and Says Russia Won’t Bend.” The New York Times, October 23, 2025.

    Rappeport, Alan. “Trump’s Sanctions on Russian Oil Sector Ratchet Up Economic War.” The New York Times, October 23, 2025.

    MacFarquhar, Neil. “The U.S. and Europe Are Trying New Ways to Pressure Russia.” The New York Times, October 23, 2025.

    Associated Press. “Putin Deplores U.S. Sanctions as ‘Unfriendly’ While EU Joins in Heaping Restrictions on Russia.” October 23, 2025. AP News

    The Washington Post. “Putin Says U.S. Sanctions Are ‘Serious’ but Won’t Make Russia Stop War.” October 23, 2025. The Washington Post

    Reuters. “U.S.-Sanctioned Russian Oil Majors Rosneft and Lukoil.” October 23, 2025. Reuters

    The Guardian. “Putin Says He Will Never Bow to U.S. but Concedes Sanctions May Cause ‘Some Losses.’” October 23, 2025. The Guardian

    Meduza. “From Summit to No Summit: How Trump’s Planned Meeting With Putin Fell Apart.” October 22, 2025. Meduza

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    14 分
  • Ceasefire at a Crossroads: What Trump’s Gaza Deal Achieves—and What Could Break It
    2025/10/13

    Description

    A clear, forward-looking brief on the new Gaza ceasefire brokered by President Trump. It explains what Phase One delivers—hostage-prisoner exchanges, an Israeli pullback from most of Gaza, and a major humanitarian surge—while mapping the roadblocks that could break the deal: vague disarmament terms, slow formation of an international stabilization force, and unclear “day-after” governance. Drawing on CFR, CSIS, ECFR, Chatham House, and Mearsheimer’s realist critique, the piece situates the truce in shifting regional and domestic politics, highlights enforcement gaps and late Israeli amendments, and closes with concrete predictions on ceasefire durability, withdrawal sequencing, governance legitimacy, and regional diplomacy.

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    6 分
  • Why Trump’s “Deal of the Century” Will Not Work — A Realist Reading
    2025/10/06

    This text examines why Donald Trump’s proposed “Deal of the Century” for Gaza is unlikely to succeed from a realist perspective in international relations. Political theorist John Mearsheimer argues that peace agreements only work when the involved parties see more benefit in cooperation than in continued conflict, but Israel and Hamas still lack shared interests, making compromise improbable. Domestic political pressures in both societies and the disruptive influence of regional actors like Iran further undermine any potential for a lasting deal. While realism effectively explains these obstacles, it often overlooks humanitarian concerns, questions of legitimacy, and internal factional dynamics that shape outcomes. As a result, sweeping peace plans are unrealistic, and the most plausible way forward lies in gradual, incentive-based measures such as local ceasefires, humanitarian aid tied to conditions, and phased prisoner exchanges. Ultimately, the text suggests that lasting peace will emerge not from grand announcements but from incremental, carefully structured steps that slowly shift the strategic calculations of all parties involved.

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    9 分
  • After Trump’s UN Speech: The World Moves On Without the U.S.
    2025/09/27

    Donald Trump’s UN speech attacked climate action, dismissed renewables as a “scam,” and promoted fossil fuels, signaling a U.S. retreat from global cooperation. Yet many nations are pressing ahead with clean energy, with China poised to lead emerging markets. At the same time, Washington is cutting UN funding, leaving agencies under pressure and risking its influence. As COP30 approaches, the world faces a pivotal moment: to sustain climate momentum and adapt multilateral institutions to a more multipolar era without U.S. leadership.

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    5 分
  • Jimmy Kimmel’s Suspension: Free Speech on Trial
    2025/09/20

    This analysis explores the suspension of Jimmy Kimmel Live! in September 2025, after comments about the killing of conservative activist Charlie Kirk sparked political outrage and regulatory threats. It explains how FCC pressure blurred the line between private corporate decisions and unconstitutional government coercion, situating the case within key Supreme Court precedents on free speech. The piece highlights why broadcast networks are especially vulnerable to political influence and shows how this moment has become a test of America’s commitment to the First Amendment. Finally, it outlines what to watch next, from legal challenges and congressional probes to industry responses and public opinion.

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    5 分
  • Russia Tests NATO’s Nerves—from the Baltics to the Black Sea
    2025/09/20

    Episode Description
    In this episode, we unpack Russia’s latest provocations against NATO. From drones flying over Poland and Romania to fighter jets brazenly entering Estonian airspace, Moscow is testing the alliance’s unity and resolve. We also look at the Black Sea, where control of trade and energy routes could shift global power, and examine Europe’s response—from new defense initiatives to a “drone alliance” with Ukraine. With Washington sending mixed signals, the big question remains: can NATO and the EU act firmly enough to deter Russia and protect Ukraine?

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    5 分