検索キーワード： 予測・戦略的計画

For thousands of years, customers have been individual humans, families or organizations. But soon, generative AI enabled software and hardware machines will start to act as customers. First they will shop for us, later they will act for themselves. You can’t take them to dinner, and they won’t fall for your slogans, but they might help grow your market – if you know how. Companies are already being called on the phone by software that sounds like a person. Cars will buy their own fuel and tires. That smart speaker in every home can become the housekeeper and shopper for the family it serves.

To make these big moves happen for your company, you’re going to have to break through inertia, gamesmanship, and risk aversion. You’re going to have to mitigate human biases and manage group dynamics. Eight practical shifts can help you do this, and unlock bigger, bolder, better strategies. This is not another by-the-book approach to strategy. It’s not another trudge through frameworks or small-scale case studies promising a secret formula for success. It’s an irreverent, fact-driven, and humorous take on the real world of strategic decision making.

According to futurists Rolf Jensen and Mika Aaltonen, we are currently "between dreams". We've managed to achieve many of our material goals, only to face ever-growing global competition in an ever-slowing economy. Here's the good news: With the rise of social media and online resources, consumers are growing more powerful. Individuals are exploring more options. And smart businesses are discovering more ways to appeal to this powerful new community. Welcome to The Renaissance Society.

In an era of digital transformation, disruptive innovation, transient competitive advantage, and industry convergence, mergers and acquisitions have become more complex than ever. Winning at the Acquisition Game presents the best materials, insights, and tools which comprise the comprehensive, cross-disciplinary Mergers and Acquisitions course taught in the MBA and Executive MBA programs at the Saïd Business School, University of Oxford.

Survival to Success describes the unique challenges of entrepreneurial leadership and offers a succinct guide for successfully leading small, high-growth enterprises. Drawing on original research, in-depth interviews, and first-hand experience, the authors offer tried and true guideposts to lessen the anxiety of being an entrepreneurial leader and increase the chances of success for the entrepreneurial organization.

Würden wir eine Zeitreise in die Zeit vor 500 Jahren oder 500 Jahre in die Zukunft machen, wären wir erschüttert, wie sehr sich Technik und Medizin verändert haben. Die geopolitische Ordnung würde für uns keinen Sinn ergeben. Die Sprache wäre uns völlig fremd. Und doch müssten wir in dieser uns vollkommen unbekannten Welt die Menschen nur wenige Minuten beobachten und würden sagen: »Ah, das habe ich schon einmal gesehen.« Denn uns würden zahlreiche universelle Verhaltensweisen begegnen: Menschen, die von Angst, Neid und Gier angetrieben werden; Menschen, die blind vor Selbstüberschätzung fatale Entscheidungen treffen.

Accomplished entrepreneur and AI strategist Vineet Vashishta delivers an engaging and insightful new take on making the most of data, artificial intelligence, and technology at your company. You'll learn to change the culture, strategy, structure, and operational framework of your company to take full advantage of disruptive advances in tech. The author explores fascinating work being undertaken by firms in the real world, as well as high-value use cases and innovative projects and products made possible by realigning organizational frameworks using the capabilities of new technologies.

Designed to Thrive: A Pathway to Building Resilient Systems is a compelling guide for leaders, entrepreneurs, and change-makers looking to future-proof their organizations in an era defined by complexity and disruption. Blending decades of hands-on experience in public sector governance, manufacturing, and consulting, Dr. Alison Foster explores the essential principles of systems and systems thinking, and their practical applications in the real world.

In the military, a field manual provides instructions in simple, clear, step-by-step language to help soldiers complete their mission. In the civilian sector, books offer information on everything from fixing a leaky tap to developing an effective workout programme to cooking a good steak. Leadership Strategy and Tactics: Field Manual is here to help you navigate your way through the difficulties of leadership by providing a direct, situational, pragmatic how-to guide that anyone can instantly put to use.

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.

In The Serendipity Mindset, Christian Busch explains that serendipity isn't about luck in the sense of simple randomness. It's about seeing links that others don't, combining these observations in unexpected and strategic ways, and learning how to detect the moments when apparently random or unconnected ideas merge to form new opportunities. Busch explores serendipity from a rational and scientific perspective and argues that there are identifiable approaches we can use to foster the conditions to let serendipity grow.

Business leaders know that the key to competitive success is smart management of scarce resources. That's why companies allocate their financial capital so carefully. But capital today is cheap and abundant, no longer a source of advantage. The truly scarce resources now are the time, the talent, and the energy of the people in your organization—resources that are too often squandered.

Worin besteht das Geheimnis hinter dem märchenhaften Aufstieg des chinesischen Vorzeigeunternehmens Alibaba? Ist es Jack Ma, sein schillernder Gründer, oder etwa ein besonderer Algorithmus? Ming Zeng verrät uns: Es ist die Strategie des Smart Business, das auf maschinellem Lernen, Algorithmen und künstlicher Intelligenz beruht. Ming Zeng legt dar, wie Alibaba neue Technologien dazu verwendet, das Entscheidungsverhalten zu verbessern und konkrete Handlungsschritte daraus abzuleiten.

In Fusion Strategy, world-renowned innovation guru Vijay Govindarajan and digital strategy expert Venkat Venkataraman offer a first-of-its-kind playbook that will help industrial companies combine what they do best-create physical products-with what digitals do best-use algorithms and AI to parse expansive, interconnected datasets-to make strategic connections that would otherwise be impossible.

Traditionally, human resources has focused on recruiting good people, preparing them for assignments, motivating them to perform, and retaining them. These functions remain essential. But to be successful in turbulent times like ours, human capital strategy needs to be broader and much more far reaching.

Hundreds of millions of people use Apple products every day; several thousand work on Apple's campus in Cupertino, California; but only a handful sit at the drawing board. Creative Selection recounts the life of one of the few who worked behind the scenes, a highly-respected software engineer who worked in the final years of the Steve Jobs era, the Golden Age of Apple.

Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair’s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger - all by the time he was 30. He solidified his standing as the nation's foremost political forecaster with his near perfect prediction of the 2012 election. Silver is the founder and editor in chief of the website FiveThirtyEight. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data.

"Si tu veux courir, cours un kilomètre. Si tu veux changer ta vie, cours un marathon", disait le champion tchèque Emil Zatopek. C'est dire que l'international pour une entreprise n'est ni une mode ni une martingale stratégique mais un parcours exigeant qui s'inscrit dans la durée et la cohérence entre les moyens et les fins. Certes le temps ne respecte que ce que l'on fait avec lui, il respecte surtout ce que l’on fait de façon cohérente. Jacques Lesieur, expert de l’international présente chaque condition qui mène à la ligne d'arrivée.

Game-changing disruptions will likely unfold on your watch. Be ready. In Dual Transformation, Scott Anthony, Clark Gilbert, and Mark Johnson propose a practical and sustainable approach to one of the greatest challenges facing leaders today: transforming your business in the face of imminent disruption. Dual Transformation shows you how your company can come out of a market shift stronger and more profitable, because the threat of disruption is also the greatest opportunity a leadership team will ever face.

Life is not exactly a bed of roses for most innovation leaders and intrapreneurs - those assertive, innovative, corporate risk-takers who passionately turn ideas into profitable products. They take on corporate sacred cows and face down challenges that would cause less driven and less talented people to quickly throw their hands down in defeat. They struggle daily to unleash entrepreneurial thinking while dealing with an army of people fiercely dedicated to maintaining the status quo.

Penguin presents the unabridged, downloadable audiobook edition of Insanely Simple, written and read by Ken Segal. Simple can be harder than complex. You have to work hard to get your thinking clean to make it simple. Steve Jobs' obsession with simplicity is what separates Apple from other technology companies. It's what helped Apple recover from near death in 1997 to become the most valuable company on Earth in 2011 and guides the way Apple is organized and how it designs products.

“What would Jeff do?” Since leaving Amazon to advise start-ups and corporations, John Rossman has been asked this question countless times by executives who want to know “the secret” behind Amazon’s historic success. In this step-by-step guide, he provides 50½ answers drawn from his experience as an Amazon executive - and shows today’s business leaders how to think like Amazon, strategize like Bezos, and beat the competition like nobody’s business.

In today's environment of partial attention and isolating remote work, few things are more satisfying than group experiences that produce powerful, meaningful connections and output. But this kind of enlivening, collective work doesn't happen by chance. It must be consciously designed and purposefully activated—in a team, an organization, and a culture. The good news is that making space for this kind of work doesn't have to be hard. There's a technique available to everyone, with no special certification required: gamestorming.

The One-Hour Strategy follows Martin, the new sales team lead at Waters & Flows, which attracted him because of their unique way of doing strategy. We shadow Martin as he onboards with his new colleagues, who walk him through each aspect of their One-Hour Strategy, answering his questions and addressing his reservations.

Vergiss klassische Karriere-Ratgeber mit leeren Versprechungen – dieses Buch ist anders. Eine Mischung aus Roman und Sachbuch. Hier bekommst du echte Einblicke, mutige Perspektiven und erprobte Strategien, die dich weiterbringen.

What this book offers you is not a boiler-plate, “10-step plan for success”. It offers you something better. Tools you can use in your unique situation as an entrepreneurial leader. Tools that will help you grow as your organization grows.

Lead with Confidence into the Age of Private AI—Securely, Strategically, and Ethically. In a world where data is power, Private AI is no longer optional—it’s your next competitive advantage. But how do you adopt AI at scale without sacrificing privacy, compliance, or trust? Building Your Private AI is your executive guide to secure, scalable, and ethical AI deployment.

Piensa con anticipación. Elimina el ruido. Toma decisiones más inteligentes. Si alguna vez te ha costado mantener el enfoque o has reaccionado en lugar de planear, este libro es tu guía para afilar tu mente estratégica. Este libro es una guía rápida y práctica para ayudarte a desarrollar disciplina, eliminar distracciones y tomar decisiones intencionales en un mundo lleno de ruido. Inspirado en el contraste entre dos animales con estilos de pensamiento opuestos, ofrece herramientas para equilibrar una visión clara con una acción decidida—y avanzar con confianza hacia tus metas.

In this book, you'll learn how: data science, driven by artificial intelligence and machine learning, is yielding unprecedented business insights; blockchain has the potential to restructure the economy; drones and driverless vehicles are becoming essential tools; 3-D printing is making new business models possible; augmented reality is transforming retail and manufacturing; smart speakers are redefining the rules of marketing; and humans and machines are working together to reach new levels of productivity.

All over the world, there are individuals who want to go to work-who are excited to go in on Mondays. They love their jobs because the environment they work in is free of fear and emotional toxicity; and they are unimpeded and able to focus on their work. They do their part to help achieve organizational goals.