Jonathan Cohler presents a newly submitted paper using mass conservation, isotopic signatures (delta 13C), and multiple datasets to apply the Keeling relation and infer a consistent intercept near -13.2‰ across sites and time spans. He argues this makes fossil fuels (signature ~-28‰) at most 26% of net atmospheric CO2 change and, using preindustrial constraints, essentially ~0–1.3%, contradicting claims by IPCC, NASA, NOAA, EPA, and the CO2 Coalition. He says CO2 residence time is ~3.8 years and attributes rising CO2 to natural temperature-driven ocean/soil outgassing. He criticizes the CO2 Coalition for conflating accounting identities with causation, describes harassment, and says he resigned.

00:00 New Paper Claim

01:29 Three Inputs Setup

03:25 Isotope Signatures 101

06:05 Keeling Relation Explained

10:17 Datasets And Intercepts

13:38 Solving For Fossil Fraction

22:22 Why Fossil Dominance Fails

25:16 Rejecting The Conclusion

28:04 Carbon Cycle Turnover

31:45 What Drives CO2 Rise

33:56 Ancient CO2 And Whataboutism

36:53 CO2 Coalition Errors Teaser

37:38 Accounting vs Causation

39:23 Feynman on Conservation

40:37 What Proves Causality

41:37 Atmospheric Balance Equation

42:53 Coalition Paper Misreads

46:25 Molecules Not Labeled

48:08 Residuals Aren't Attribution

49:56 Isotopes Discriminate Sources

51:27 Airborne Fraction Fallacy

53:41 Retention and Cycle Time

56:02 Harassment and Resignation

01:03:18 CO2 Forcing and Policy Costs

01:08:51 X Feedback and Contact

01:13:38 Wrap Up and Links

https://x.com/cohler

https://papers.jcohler.com/

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

James Tooley describes two decades researching “low-cost private schools” serving poor families in India, Africa, rural China, and war-torn countries, arguing parents choose them because government/public schools often abandon children. He cites widespread enrollment (e.g., majorities in parts of Lagos and Kampala), higher standardized test performance, no gender bias, affordability around 10% of family spending, and sustainability as small businesses. He now finds a similar U.S. phenomenon in hybrid/micro schools, visiting examples in Pine Ridge (Onward Learning), rural Mississippi, refugee-serving Clarkston, and rural Oregon, and surveying 5,390 parents: about 4% use low-tuition private schools. He discusses limited, careful roles for philanthropy, and worries about dependence on government ESAs.

00:00 Meet James Tooley

01:03 Hyderabad Discovery

03:25 Government School Reality

05:37 Makoko Lagos Expedition

07:49 Kibera Ghana China Proof

11:49 Beautiful Tree Thesis

13:04 War Torn Africa Schools

15:48 Five Key Features

21:06 Federations And Pushback

22:02 Low Cost Schools In America

25:53 Pine Ridge Onward Learning

29:46 Mississippi Trailer School

33:19 Refugees And Oregon Example

36:08 National Survey Findings

41:45 Philanthropy And Donations

43:26 Quality Assurance Debate

46:33 School Choice ESA Concerns

49:57 Where To Follow James

50:46 Final Reflections

The Beautiful Tree: https://a.co/d/032zFHgW

Really Good Schools: Global Lessons for High-Caliber, Low-Cost Education: https://a.co/d/01VMoY3r

https://x.com/james_tooley

https://uk.linkedin.com/in/james-tooley-320a8410

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Tom Harris argues Canada’s claim of warming twice the global average is unreliable because northern data coverage is sparse and “homogenized” station adjustments may exaggerate trends. He questions the meaning of average temperature and says Canada’s record shows a step change around 1998, consistent with El Niño and possibly the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, not steady greenhouse-gas forcing. He cites extreme-weather records peaking in the 1930s and references Heartland’s Climate Change Reconsidered and Roger Pielke’s datasets as showing little detected change in many extremes. Harris then describes organizing local activists, using Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals, rehearsing questions, and bypassing media censorship to challenge municipal climate policies.

00:00 Meet Tom Harris

00:19 Canada Warming Claims

00:41 Is Warming Bad

03:21 So Called Averages

05:13 Overlapping Ranges

08:06 Why Start 1948

11:08 Heat Records Evidence

11:54 Sparse Arctic Stations

14:39 Homogenized Adjustments

17:00 Step Change Not CO2

18:57 Hickey Speaks Out

21:59 Natural Cycles Theory

22:59 PR Versus Evidence

24:22 Extreme Weather Database

25:56 Heartland Reports

28:32 Warmer Means Milder

31:07 Pielke Teaser

31:19 Global Extremes Database

31:51 P Factor Explained

32:30 Translator Not Climatologist

33:33 Drilling Into Continents

34:48 Wildfire History Context

37:23 Heatwave Data Concerns

38:31 Local Activism Playbook

40:06 Alinsky Rules In Action

42:49 Debate Questions And Ridicule

47:16 Training Volunteers Nationwide

51:59 Beating Media Censorship

53:55 Groups Funding And Contact

56:17 Practice Sessions And Wins

57:43 Wrap Up Resources

 icsc-canada.com

 sensiblechange.ca

https://x.com/TomHarrisICSC

https://drtomharris.substack.com/

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1