『Tom Nelson』のカバーアート

Tom Nelson

Tom Nelson

著者: Thomas Nelson
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Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.Thomas Nelson 博物学 科学 自然・生態学
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  • Henrik Svensmark: “Cosmic Rays, aerosols, and clouds” #422
    2026/08/18

    Henrik Svensmark discusses how solar activity modulates cosmic rays, which ionize the atmosphere and can help form aerosols that grow into cloud condensation nuclei, potentially altering clouds and Earth’s energy balance. He describes lab experiments showing more aerosols with increased ionization, critiques models that predicted no cloud effect, and presents observations from Forbush decreases where drops in cosmic rays are followed days later by reduced aerosols, cloud changes, and radiative-budget responses. He argues solar-cycle forcing may be ~1–1.5 W/m² and could affect CO2 sensitivity. On longer timescales, he links supernova-driven cosmic-ray variations to glaciations, ocean temperature, organic carbon burial, oxygen production, and biodiversity, while noting funding and career pressures.


    00:00 Cosmic Rays and Clouds

    00:42 Meet Henrik Svensmark

    02:59 Solar Activity Basics

    03:31 IPCC Forcing Debate

    05:13 Sunspots and Cosmic Rays

    07:03 Cosmic Ray Showers

    08:55 Isotopes as Solar Proxies

    11:48 Climate Correlations

    15:17 Ocean Heat Amplification

    17:55 Clouds as Amplifier

    19:39 How CCN Form

    22:22 Testing in Chambers

    24:59 Models vs Reality

    27:52 Forbush Natural Experiments

    36:14 Fixing the Physics

    41:17 Billion Year Timescales

    42:08 Galactic Spiral Arms

    44:02 Star Formation Setup

    44:33 Open Clusters Explained

    45:57 Mapping Nearby Clusters

    46:53 Supernovas Meet Climate

    48:27 Zooming Into Ice Ages

    51:31 Nutrients And Carbon Isotopes

    53:54 Organic Burial Correlation

    55:15 Deep Time Starbursts

    57:12 Oxygen And Complex Life

    59:51 Dwarf Galaxies Trigger Stars

    01:02:18 Fossils And Diversity Curves

    01:05:13 Shelf Area Drives Richness

    01:09:04 Area Normalization Test

    01:11:34 Big Picture Conclusions

    01:13:35 Funding And Career Risks

    01:22:15 Critiques And Solar Events

    01:25:16 Wrap Up And Farewell



    Svensmark: The Cloud Mystery https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANMTPF1blpQ

    The Chilling Stars [2008]: https://www.amazon.com/Chilling-Stars-New-Theory-Climate/dp/1840468661

    Papers: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2843-3417

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 時間 26 分
  • Randall Bock: “Withdraw to Freedom: Navigating the Addiction Maze” #421
    2026/08/14

    Randall Bock argues opioids have dual legal and illicit markets and that most prescribed users don’t become street addicts. He recounts refusing drug-seekers (“Dr. No”) and later using buprenorphine as a temporary bridge, advocating a 4–6 month taper to sobriety rather than lifelong “maintenance.” He claims methadone maintenance, originated at Rockefeller University and expanded nationally via Nixon-era policy and Medicaid incentives, aimed to curb New York City crime but instead seeded the first wave of the opioid crisis and spread heroin use. He challenges the “addiction as disease/insulin” analogy, cites Vietnam vet recovery and Rat Park, and promotes his book “Withdraw to Freedom.”


    00:00 Opioid Desert Intro

    01:06 Two Marketplaces Theory

    02:01 Doctor No Stories

    03:29 Suboxone And DATA 2000

    04:50 Maintenance Therapy Critique

    06:22 New York City Sets Stage

    08:04 Bridge To Sobriety Plan

    10:47 Long Boom And Opioid Spike

    14:24 Classic Narcotic Control Era

    17:26 Harm Reduction And Methadone

    18:43 OxyContin Myth Busting

    19:48 Addiction As Exposure

    23:28 Rockefeller Methadone Origins

    26:40 Crime Control Not Cure

    28:14 Why Methadone Feels Dopey

    31:59 National Spread And Incentives

    36:46 Did Crime Drop Actually

    38:46 Equality Of Misery

    40:49 Dealers Adapt And Expand

    43:03 Dopesick Narrative Setup

    43:36 Methadone First Wave

    45:22 Medicalization Lessons

    48:15 Disease Model Tested

    50:20 Replacement vs Proclivity

    53:29 Russia and Hard Truths

    55:38 Rat Park Recovery

    01:00:14 Economy and Despair

    01:03:18 Bock Taper and Five Fs

    01:09:28 Board Backlash

    01:11:28 Book Launch Pitch

    01:13:51 Incentives and COVID Parallels

    01:19:01 Mental Health Parity

    01:22:43 Wrap Up and Dual Path


    https://randybock.com/

    https://x.com/@DrRandallBock

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 時間 24 分
  • Thomas Kurz: “Greenhouse Gases and Climate Feedbacks” | Tom Nelson Pod #419
    2026/08/07

    Thomas Kurz discusses chapters from his book Why There Is No Climate Crisis, citing positive reviews, then explains the greenhouse effect and argues CO2’s warming is limited and logarithmic. He claims doubling CO2 yields about 3 W/m² effective forcing, or ~0.9°C via Stefan–Boltzmann calculations, and says even burning all known fossil fuel reserves would add under ~1°C. He argues “climate crisis” claims rely on compounded positive feedbacks in IPCC models, but says observations show models overpredict warming, relative humidity aloft is declining, and a predicted tropical hotspot is missing. He attributes discrepancies to cloud/aerosol cooling, proposing an Earth “thermostat” and net slightly negative feedback.


    00:00 Guest and Book Update

    02:31 Greenhouse Effect Basics

    04:53 CO2 Absorption and Saturation

    07:38 Four Ways to Calculate Forcing

    17:11 Convert Forcing to Temperature

    21:19 Logarithmic Warming Limits

    24:20 Fossil Fuels and Max Warming

    28:13 Feedbacks Behind the Crisis

    32:55 Models vs Observations

    41:30 Clouds and Cooling Evidence

    55:51 Earth Thermostat Conclusion

    57:52 Q&A and Scientific Method

    01:01:33 Wrap Up and Farewell


    “Why There is No Climate Crisis: The Surprising Evidence You Should Know”: https://a.co/d/05rKxsYU

    https://www.whynoclimatecrisis.com/

    Email: info@WhyNoClimateCrisis.com

    =========

    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    1 時間 2 分
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