“The property super cycle is over.” That’s the kind of line that makes you sit up, especially when it’s linked to Shane Oliver, one of Australia’s most watched economists. We take that claim seriously and pull it apart from the ground up: interest rates that have reset borrowing power, record housing affordability pressure, a constant tug-of-war over immigration numbers, and tax and incentive changes that can permanently reshape how investors and owner-occupiers behave.

We also challenge an assumption that gets repeated endlessly: that Sydney real estate is wildly overpriced compared with the rest of the world. After looking at major global cities, we land on a more practical reality. The pain is often less about “Sydney versus the world” and more about wages, deposits, and the everyday capacity to service a loan under current RBA conditions. That’s where the market turns from headlines into real decisions at open homes and with brokers.

From there, we get into what this market feels like on the street. Why are some auctions drawing barely any bidders? What does a 30-something per cent clearance rate actually mean? We talk Tom Panos’s observations, the way downturns hit different parts of Sydney differently, and how the Fair Trading crackdown on underquoting makes it harder to whip up a frenzy. We finish by calling out the politics in housing messaging, including Jim Chalmers’ framing, and why this downturn looks “manufactured” in a way past cycles weren’t.

If you’re buying, selling, investing, or just trying to make sense of the Australian property market, this one will help you separate noise from signal. Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns, share the episode with someone arguing about house prices, and leave us a review with your biggest question about what happens next.

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Sydney’s property market is sending mixed signals that only make sense once you follow the credit. Auction clearance rates are weak, confidence is fragile, and yet the right home can still attract multiple offers. So what’s actually happening on the ground and what should buyers and sellers do with that information?

We break down the meaningful shifts across Sydney, from sharper corrections in Western Sydney to a clear slowdown in the five to fifteen million dollar prestige bracket. We also get specific about the mechanics behind the mood: tighter borrowing capacity, lower lending appetite, and the ripple effects of policy changes connected to negative gearing. If you’ve heard stories about buyers stretching serviceability with rental projections, we explain why that pathway is now being shut down and how that flows through to prices.

Then we zoom out to the bigger forces shaping the next few months: the Reserve Bank of Australia’s inflation warning, the risk of another rate hike, and why “terminal rate” matters for anyone with a mortgage. We also touch on the employment backdrop, productivity tension between sectors, and how AI-driven cost cutting can change household confidence fast.

If you want a clearer read on the Sydney property market, housing affordability, auction strategy, and what real buyers and vendors are doing right now, hit play. Subscribe for more Current Market Insights, share this with a mate watching the market, and leave a review with your take: are you buying, selling, or sitting tight?

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SQM Research's Louis Christopher previews the next Financial Year for the Sydney Property Market. In this insightful analysis, Christopher covers off on:

• the RBA's next rate move
• the challenges facing the property market
• the tailwinds supporting prices
• an outline of the 12 months ahead for buyers, sellers and landlords
• the impact of geopolitical events
• the collapse in Stamp Duty revenue for State Governments and
• much more...

These insights will benefit anyone buying, selling or leasing in the next Financial Year.

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On 2GB Nights with John Stanley, Peter O'Malley from Harris Partners explains why Australia’s property downturn is no longer confined to Sydney and Melbourne. As auction clearance rates weaken across more capital cities, the discussion explores the widening disconnect between buyers and sellers, and why confidence—not just interest rates—is shaping the market.

They also discuss:

• The property downturn spreading into more Australian capital cities
• Why slowing property activity affects both federal and state government revenues
• What weak auction clearance rates reveal about buyer and seller expectations
• The risks of agents accepting unrealistic listings in a falling market
• The negative feedback loop where buyers expect even lower prices tomorrow
• Why spring alone won’t reverse the market without rate cuts or meaningful policy changes
• Immigration continuing to outpace new housing supply
• Whether something as simple as wet weather can influence buyer perception on auction day

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In this deep dive on the issues that have dictated the market performance in 2026, Louis covers:

• the shock and awe conditions facing the property market
• the historical crash in Auction results
• the best and worst performing segments of the Sydney market
• why the market won’t crash
• the true impact of the Federal Government's Budget
• when the RBA are likely to cut interest rates
• First Home Buyers facing negative equity and
• the unfortunate rise in homelessness as rents & immigration numbers surge.

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On Across Australia, host Chris Smith is joined by Peter O'Malley to examine the sharp decline in auction clearance rates across Sydney and Melbourne, and whether recent federal housing policies are undermining confidence in the property market. The discussion explores the flow-on effects for buyers, sellers, landlords, and renters as affordability pressures continue to mount.

They also discuss:

• Auction clearance rates falling to decade lows and what that signals for market momentum
• Interest rates versus proposed changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax
• Why a surge in spring listings could place further downward pressure on prices
• Price weakness emerging across both prestige suburbs and Western Sydney
• The "wealth effect" and how falling property values can reduce household spending
• Rising rents making it harder for tenants to save a deposit despite affordability initiatives
• First home buyers leaving the rental market and intensifying competition at the affordable end
• Whether current housing policies are achieving their intended outcomes

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On 2GB Nights with John Stanley, Peter O’Malley takes a hard look at the softening Australian property market and what weakening auction clearance rates mean for buyers and sellers. As competition thins, the focus is shifting from auction theatre to genuine negotiation, while rising renovation costs are forcing many owners to rethink their plans.

They also discuss:

• Winter stock levels tightening and the short selling window this can create
• Weakening auction clearance rates and what they reveal about buyer demand
• Why auctions depend on a deep buyer pool to generate strong results
• The shift from competitive auctions to direct negotiation in softer markets
• Selling a property's true value through fundamentals such as aspect, layout, and liveability
• Local infrastructure projects and neighbourhood changes influencing buyer interest
• How negative property headlines affect confidence and price expectations
• The risks of waiting for spring if listings surge and buyer demand remains subdued
• Renovate versus sell: when a blank canvas may be the better option
• Why more DA-approved properties are coming to market
• Builder cost blowouts derailing renovation plans across Sydney
• Avoiding overcapitalisation and the importance of obtaining valuation and local market advice before spending

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We tackle the uncomfortable vendor dilemma of whether to stick with an underperforming real estate agent or flick them and start again. We share the practical markers that separate a tough but competent agent from one who is avoiding reality, plus the legal and financial traps that can hit when you switch mid-campaign.

• recognising when the market has moved since the appraisal
• valuing honesty and evidence over likeability and hype
• spotting “conditioning” and other avoidance behaviours
• separating price issues from agent skill and closing ability
• understanding NSW agency agreements and double commission risk
• knowing when switching agents usually leads to a lower result
• setting hard no-go lines around integrity and confidentiality
• using time on market and buyer behaviour as the real signal

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