検索キーワード： 意思決定・問題解決

Imagine que dois médicos na mesma cidade façam diagnósticos distintos a pacientes com o mesmo problema ou que dois juízes no mesmo tribunal deem sentenças diferentes a pessoas que cometeram o mesmo crime. Agora, suponha que este mesmo médico e este mesmo juiz tomem decisões diversas dependendo se é manhã ou tarde, segunda-feira ou quarta-feira, antes ou depois do almoço. Estes são exemplos de ruído: variabilidade em julgamentos que deveriam ser idênticos.

Um Cisne Negro é um evento que reúne três características principais: é altamente improvável, produz um enorme impacto e, depois que acontece, inventamos uma explicação que o faça parecer menos aleatório e mais previsível do que de fato é. Para Nassim Nicholas Taleb, esse fenômeno está na base de quase tudo que acontece no mundo — da ascensão das religiões aos acontecimentos em nossas próprias vidas. O incrível êxito do Google, por exemplo, foi um Cisne Negro, assim como o Onze de Setembro.

The Art of Thinking Clearly by world-class thinker and entrepreneur Rolf Dobelli is an eye-opening look at human psychology and reasoning—essential listening for anyone who wants to avoid “cognitive errors” and make better choices in all aspects of their lives.

In Rethink Everything we walk with Kristi Turner in each season of her career journey through corporate management, as she shares poignant notes to self, illustrating how they influenced her life decisions. As Turner shows, from the slightest whisper to the most dramatic experiences, life’s micro moments’ drive our soft- and hard-coded belief systems, which in turn inform every choice we make in life and define how we lead ourselves and others.

Em A lógica do Cisne Negro, Taleb demonstrou que acontecimentos altamente improváveis e imprevisíveis dominam a nossa existência. Em Antifrágil, o autor confere um novo conceito à incerteza, tornando-a desejável e até mesmo necessária. Assim como ficamos fisicamente mais fortes quando submetidos à tensão, muitas coisas se beneficiam do estresse, da desordem e da volatilidade. O que Taleb identificou e chama de antifrágil não só tira proveito do caos, como precisa dele para sobreviver e florescer. O antifrágil está além do resiliente e do robusto.

O que faz algumas pessoas serem mais bem-sucedidas que outras? Tem relação com habilidade e estratégia ou pode ter influência de algum fator que foge ao nosso controle? Iludidos pelo acaso é sobre sorte — ou, mais precisamente, sobre como a encaramos nas nossas experiências pessoais e profissionais. Nassim Taleb apresenta insights sobre essa variável nebulosa das nossas decisões e, para isso, usa exemplos do mercado financeiro — área em que supostamente a sorte pode ser confundida com habilidade.

Onderhandelen is veel meer dan alleen het sluiten van deals. Het is een subtiel samenspel van communicatie, strategie en inzicht in menselijke dynamiek. Dit boek is ontworpen om je te begeleiden door de essentiële fundamenten van onderhandelen, of je nu een ervaren zakenpersoon bent die op zoek is naar nieuwe inzichten, of iemand die net begint en op zoek is naar een stevige basis.

In A Symphony of Choices, workplace culture and strategy expert Gerald Leonard delivers a fascinating narrative following one Jerry Hall, the new Symphony Orchestra manager at a prestigious symphony concerned about the challenging plans for an upcoming season. In the book, you'll watch Jerry connect with a former college professor and learn the skills necessary to successfully manage his way through these unprecedented times in his business and personal life.

The earlier 3 Industrial Revolutions (3IRs) created blue collar and white-collar jobs, which required people to carry out instructions, not question authority and follow time tested systems and processes.Now, we are in the midst of the 4th Industrial revolution (4IR), also called Industry 4.0...

The average adult makes more than 35,000 decisions in a day. Most are mundane, but there are a handful that separate businesses that boom or bust, careers that succeed or fail, relationships that make it or don’t, and lives of happiness or hopelessness. These most valuable decisions (MVDs) represent the gap between a green-light life and a red-light life.

Refining your critical thinking skills allows you to use your time efficiently, sift through irrelevant information, and prioritize resources for optimal results. You'll discover innovative problem-solving approaches, move beyond conventional methods, and improve your communication, reasoning, and logic. Empathy and understanding for others' perspectives will become second nature.

The modern practice intended to motivate individuals has ensured that humans no longer think for themselves. Using rewards, punishment, and feedback undermines not just our personal growth, but the very fabric of life and living systems. Award-winning author and business disruptor Carol Sanford proposes a smarter, faster, and deeper key to unlock a future of profound creativity and success. This guide allows you to challenge prevailing theories, promote a holistic understanding of education and change, and redefine the way we approach our work and the results we seek.

Why do some people hold sway over others? What makes certain individuals more influential? How can one turn powerlessness into an advantage? These are the questions this audiobook seeks to answer. Shelby argues that understanding power dynamics is essential for anyone who aims to succeed in today's complex world. Through captivating examples and compelling reasoning, the audiobook provides an accessible road map for gaining and wielding influence—ethically and sustainably.

This memoir is a matter of record and testimony showing that hard work and perseverance, driven by passion, result in good things. It also includes an understanding that a faith in our God and His Will is incorporated into successful elements of people's lives. I did not know this in the early stages of my entrepreneurial career, but after nearly a quarter of a century of experience, this has been proven to be evident.

Hard times and choices make hard individuals. Learn to make solid tough calls by following the examples of the most pivotal global leaders!

Dr. Selena Fisk believes that the data-informed can use the numbers in conjunction with an understanding of contexts, people, and different situations, to lead change and make shifts in what they do. This book steps through the 'why' of data and the types of data we often see and use through three key areas: data literacy, data visualization, and data storytelling.

Tommy Mello, the Home Service Millionaire, shares what inspired him and how you can learn from his experiences. He quotes from his favorite successful business gurus and explains what it takes to get to the top. He teaches you his method for training and inspiring employees, teaching accountability, and improving performance for any size business. A lively discussion of what it takes to succeed.

Help! My Company Swiped Left! provides a reality-check—correcting our sometimes delusional expectations on life and work while offering hope and inspiration to anyone who has left a job, whether through their own accord or through being fired or laid off.

Kiss Your Boss Goodbye is your compass, guide, and cheerleader as you embark on a journey from a job you hate to a career you'll love. It will teach you how to recognize when it's time to move on, develop an iron-clad exit strategy, and make the most of your benefits before you bid adieu. And that's not all. This book also guides you through the labyrinth of the job market, helps you polish your resume to perfection, master the art of interviews, and negotiate like a pro at your new job.

Can an outdated or failed solution in one industry bring disruption to another?Can a racing team improve industrial manufacturing productivity?Can science fiction offer entrepreneurs valuable lessons in innovative thinking?Such examples lie at the core of exprovement, which is exponential...