エピソード

  • Is China's Auto Price War Coming to an End? Goldman Sachs July 2025 Research: Six Major Automakers Reveal H2 Market Outlook
    2025/07/11

    Goldman Sachs' latest survey of six major Chinese automakers including BYD, XPeng, Nio, and Leapmotor reveals profound industry transformation. Government subsidies expected to continue with evolving formats, keeping actual vehicle purchase costs stable; competition to persist for 2-3 years but shifting from price wars to "value competition"; LiDAR adoption accelerating with growing customer acceptance of autonomous driving; overseas expansion showing strong performance with BYD achieving 464k overseas sales (+128%) in H1. Key insights include XPeng's Turing AI chip breakthrough, Nio's 10k workforce reduction, and Leapmotor's 222k H1 sales (+156%).

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    14 分
  • IT Budget Growth Hits the Brakes! Morgan Stanley July 2025 CIO Survey: Enterprise Tech Spending at Inflection Point
    2025/07/11

    Morgan Stanley's survey of 100 North American and European CIOs reveals 2025 IT budget growth expectations adjusted to 3.6%, down from 4.1% earlier this year. Key findings: AI/ML maintains top CIO priority despite ongoing ROI validation challenges, with 39% of CIOs allocating new budgets for GenAI; security spending expected to surge 9.8% as the most defensive IT category; cloud workloads to grow from 44% to 68% by 2027; Microsoft leads in AI and cloud services adoption. While short-term budget revision trends skew negative (0.7X ratio), long-term digital transformation confidence remains robust (3.4X ratio).

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    20 分
  • Wall Street Journal July 11 Review, US Stocks Hit New Highs! Private Equity's $300K Salary War Shakes Banking Industry
    2025/07/11

    Wall Street Journal's July 11 coverage shows S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting record highs while labor market weakness reveals economic complexity. Private equity firms aggressively poach young bank employees with $300K salary gaps triggering talent wars; Trump threatens 50% tariffs on Brazil and 35% on Canada, showing politicization of trade policy; Hermès Birkin prototype sells for record $10.1 million; AI chatbot Grok's malfunction raises tech ethics concerns; Texas floods expose inadequate US disaster warning systems. Corporate strategies focus on cost control, tech innovation, and supply chain security.

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    23 分
  • WSJ July 10th Deep Analysis, NVIDIA $4 Trillion Breakthrough
    2025/07/10

    WSJ July 10th core dynamics: NVIDIA becomes first company to breach $4 trillion market cap, AI revolution drives tech stocks to new highs. Key market indicators show VIX panic index drops below 16, 10-year Treasury yield falls to 4.341%, investor sentiment significantly improved. Fed internal policy divergence intensifies, Powell hints at potential summer-end rate cuts. Active M&A: Merck's $10B Verona Pharma acquisition, Ferrero's $3B Kellogg deal. AI spawns "Vibe Coding" paradigm but triggers copyright disputes. Trade tariff impacts persist: US warehouse vacancy hits 11-year high at 7.1%, copper prices surge on 50% tariffs. Public health alert: measles cases spike to 1,288, 33-year high, vaccination rates fall below herd immunity threshold. Geopolitical reshaping: UK-France nuclear coordination, Trump attacks Harvard accreditation.

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    16 分
  • Apple Executive Shakeup! Morgan Stanley July 9th Report: $235 Target Deep Dive
    2025/07/10

    Apple's second C-suite departure in 8 months as COO Jeff Williams retires, sparking succession speculation. Morgan Stanley maintains "Overweight" with $235 target based on FY26 7.9x EV/Sales multiple. Core thesis: iPhone replacement cycle at historic highs, AI features rolling out globally, targeting $8.06 EPS in 2026. Hardware Engineering SVP John Ternus (50) emerges as top CEO candidate while 30-year veteran Sabih Khan's COO promotion ensures supply chain stability. Three scenarios: bull case $284 (11.7% probability), base $235, bear $153 (12.8% probability). Key catalysts: pent-up iPhone demand, Apple Intelligence deployment, double-digit services growth.

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    10 分
  • Global Economic Shockwave Alert! UBS July 7th Latest Report: Nine Core Issues Comprehensive Analysis
    2025/07/10

    UBS latest research addresses ten toughest investor questions amid economic upheaval. Core data reveals crisis: global growth tracking plunges to 1.3% annualized (8th percentile historically), US tariff burden hits 1.5% GDP, USD hedging demand surge could unleash $1.25 trillion selling pressure. Nine issues analyzed: tariff shock fragments global growth, USD selloff shows new characteristics, inflation data lags for four reasons, exporters fail to absorb tariff costs, US fiscal outlook raises yield concerns, April capital outflows hit $50.6 billion, European equities 25% cheaper than US, OBBBA bill provides 45bp GDP boost short-term, central bank policies diverge. Key forecasts: core CPI significant rise expected in July data, Fed faces inflation-employment dual mandate dilemma, ECB dovish pivot evident.

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    19 分
  • BofA Raises Xiaomi Target Price to HK$69: EV Business Drives New Growth, Financial Strength Highlights Investment Value
    2025/07/09

    Bank of America Securities released a latest research report on July 8, 2025, reaffirming "Buy" rating for Xiaomi and raising target price from HK$66 to HK$69. The report shows Xiaomi's EV business achieves industry-leading 23% gross margin, with working capital of $11.9 billion ranking first among peers. Net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 raised by 7-16%. In-depth analysis of Xiaomi's unique advantages in the EV market and how Sum-of-the-Parts valuation reveals business structure and growth drivers.

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    15 分
  • Goldman Sachs Report: Global E-commerce to Hit $6.4 Trillion by 2030 - India, LatAm, ASEAN Emerge as New Growth Engines
    2025/07/09

    Goldman Sachs released its third edition "Global eCommerce Handbook" on July 8, 2025, forecasting global e-commerce to grow at 6% CAGR from 2025-2030, reaching $6.4 trillion. The report highlights Amazon's 31% market share globally (ex-China), with India, Latin America, and ASEAN showing highest growth potential due to low penetration rates. Food & beverage categories emerge as key growth drivers, with quick commerce rapidly expanding in emerging markets. Goldman recommends 7 top e-commerce stocks including Amazon, JD.com, and Coupang as regional leaders.

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    14 分