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Wheat Watch: Global Harvests Heap Pressure on Prices

Wheat Watch: Global Harvests Heap Pressure on Prices

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This is your Daily Wheat Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Welcome back to the Daily Wheat Price Tracker, I am Vanessa Clark, and thanks for joining me on Wednesday, October twenty second, two thousand twenty five, for your essential update on everything wheat, from the latest trends in global markets to practical takeaways for anyone who keeps an eye on commodity prices.

Let’s kick things off by checking where wheat prices stand today. As the markets wrapped up, December contracts for Chicago soft red winter wheat, also known as SRW, settled at five dollars and just over three cents per bushel. Kansas City hard red winter wheat, or HRW, came in at four dollars and eighty eight and a half cents, and spring wheat on the Minneapolis exchange closed at five dollars and forty seven and three quarters cents. These numbers mark a slight rebound after several days of pressure, but overall, prices remain near the lowest levels we have seen since twenty twenty, reflecting a period of notable softness in the wheat market.

So, what is driving the story behind these prices? A major theme this season is a surge in global wheat production. Russia, the world’s leading wheat exporter, recently raised its harvest forecast again, with analysts from IKAR increasing their expectations to eighty eight million metric tons. Likewise, Australia has started its harvest, with early estimates coming in higher than last year. In Europe, France is planting wheat ahead of schedule thanks to dry autumn weather. All these factors combine to keep the world’s wheat supply robust.

At the same time, recent trade data shows that wheat exports from major producers started the new marketing year strong, but demand growth is only just matching the larger crop. The U.S. Department of Agriculture recently reported that global wheat stocks are projected to finish the marketing year in roughly the same position as last year. This means there is not a glut of supply, but no major shortage that would rocket prices upward either.

It is also important to remember that corn prices are influencing wheat. U.S. corn stocks are up this year, which usually puts additional downward pressure on wheat, since buyers can often substitute between these two crops for feeding livestock.

But there may be some bright spots for wheat farmers and end-users looking for opportunities. Recent short covering by traders and a rebound in corn and soybean futures gave wheat a modest lift today. In addition, any surprise weather events—like dry spells in major growing regions or disruptions due to ongoing geopolitical tensions—can change the outlook quickly, so it pays to stay alert.

If you are a wheat farmer or someone who relies on wheat prices, what can you take away from all this? Keep a close eye on both global production updates and domestic demand, since both influence the supply and price balance. Locking in prices for future delivery can offer some peace of mind during volatile times. And remember, the situation is evolving, so staying informed each day is key.

That wraps up today’s episode of Daily Wheat Price Tracker. I am Vanessa Clark. Make sure you subscribe, leave a review, and join me again next time so you never miss the latest on wheat prices and market news. Thanks for listening and take care until next time.

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