『"Volatility Index Eases Slightly but Remains Elevated Year-over-Year"』のカバーアート

"Volatility Index Eases Slightly but Remains Elevated Year-over-Year"

"Volatility Index Eases Slightly but Remains Elevated Year-over-Year"

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 The Cboe Volatility Index, widely known as the VIX, currently stands at 19.83 as of the latest market close on November 14, 2025. This marks a drop of 0.85 percent from the previous day’s close of 20.00. Year over year, however, the VIX is up sharply—by about 38.6 percent compared to 14.31 at this time last year. The VIX serves as Wall Street’s primary gauge of market risk and expected near-term volatility, reflecting sentiment and uncertainty as derived from S&P 500 options prices.

The -0.85 percent daily decline signals a modest easing in investor anxiety after a recent period of heightened volatility. Still, with the VIX holding well above its 2024 levels, it’s clear that markets remain more unsettled than they were a year ago, when the index hovered closer to historically calmer levels.

Key factors behind the recent trends include mixed economic signals, ongoing debates over Federal Reserve interest rate policy, and geopolitical tensions. Last week’s market saw a surge in volatility, partly driven by a spike in oil prices following US strikes in the Middle East and speculation over potential retaliatory actions. Despite these headline risks, oil markets have steadied more recently, and US inflation expectations have not significantly shifted in response to the latest geopolitical events, in contrast to the volatility observed during the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, according to Cboe Global Markets.

Equities have also shown resilience, with the S&P 500 returning nearly 20 percent over the past year and corporate earnings largely remaining robust, helping to moderate recent spikes in volatility. The VIX’s pattern in recent weeks has reflected the ongoing push-pull between positive earnings updates, economic data surprises, and global uncertainty.

Traders have reportedly used the recent volatilities both to hedge and speculate, capitalizing on discrepancies between expected and realized market volatility. Meanwhile, VIX futures last priced around 20.40 for the November contract, underscoring expectations that market uncertainty could persist in the near term.

In summary, while the latest VIX “sale price” of 19.83 suggests a small day-over-day reduction in fear, the index’s elevated level in historical context means caution remains prevalent. The week’s softening in volatility corresponds with stabilizing oil prices and measured investor reaction to geopolitical risks, but year-on-year trends point to an environment still ruled by uncertainty.

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