『Upside #44 - Cybercrime Up, UK Govt Investments Up, Nuclear Up, War... Down.』のカバーアート

Upside #44 - Cybercrime Up, UK Govt Investments Up, Nuclear Up, War... Down.

Upside #44 - Cybercrime Up, UK Govt Investments Up, Nuclear Up, War... Down.

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Upside - The *real* stories affecting European Venture.

This week Mads, Lomax and I discuss: AI cybercrime, UK govt investing in tech/AI, cheap energy (nuclear isn't), Tesla’s RoboFail, 996 and founder work-life balance, AI growth but is the revenue good? and the shock flip between private vs. public markets.

  • 01:24 – Cyber-Security: Rising Threats
    43 % of UK businesses hit by cyber-crime last year; avg. of 2,000 attacks/week in Q1 2025.
  • 02:07 – AI-Enabled Attacks & Geopolitical Impact
    AI tools lower the barrier for sophisticated attacks by state-sponsored or rogue actors - new front in modern warfare by economic disruption.
  • 04:12 – Kinetic vs. Cyber Warfare
    The mix of traditional (kinetic) and cyber fronts.
  • 07:20 – Government Spending Review: Big Picture
    Rachel Reeves’s 3-year spending framework amid a weak UK economy: £120bn on infrastructure; £43bn for science & innovation; £2bn AI Action Plan.
  • 16:50 – Energy Landscape & Nuclear
    The UK’s high industrial energy costs (6× US); sovereignty & intermittency issues; nuclear offers clean baseload and sovereignty but at what cost?
  • 19:21 – Fusion & Long-Term Energy Tech
    Recent fusion advances (Tokamak West’s 22 min plasma) and Proxima Fusion’s €130 m Series A, but 20 yr horizon remains.
  • 25:51 – Tesla’s Robotaxi Roll-Out
    Tesla’s delayed Austin launch (moved from June 12→22); cost comparison vs. Waymo.
  • 28:34 – Europe’s AV Landscape: The Brexit Dividend
    Wayve’s UK partnerships (Nissan, Uber, spring 2026 trial at L4 autonomy) versus EU’s slower L2/3 regs.
  • 32:26 – Founder Work Ethic Debate
    Heated talk around “996” & extreme hustle: Lomax quotes Paul Graham on youth vs. age advantages.
  • 37:00 – AI Revenue Growth & Sustainability
    LLM businesses doubling revenue every 2 months; examples: Anysphere’s $500m ARR, Lovable’s €61m ARR; concerns around gross margins, churn & long-term profitability.
  • 46:14 – Private vs. Public Market Performance
    First time in 25 yrs that private markets underperform public across 1/3/5/10 yr horizons (State Street report): “Magnificent 7” driving public returns. A shake-out & opportunity ahead as private seeks its illiquidity premium.
  • 52:00 – Notable Deals
    • Multiverse (ES) – €189m Series B for LLM compression tech (95 % size reduction)
    • Oxford Ionics → IonQ – $1bn+ acquisition of UK trapped-ion quantum spin-out
  • 55:47 – Closing & Condolences
    Dan sends thoughts to those affected by the Air India crash, and wraps up with thanks and next-week teasers.

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