『The First Financial Consulting Podcast』のカバーアート

The First Financial Consulting Podcast

The First Financial Consulting Podcast

著者： Greg Welborn Scott Sommers Danny Beckwith Chad Germann John Griesinger Chris Siraganian
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概要
 Practical financial insights from the advisors at First Financial Consulting, covering the questions, decisions, and strategies that can help you make more informed choices about your financial future.2014-2026 First Financial Consulting Podcast マネジメント・リーダーシップ リーダーシップ 個人ファイナンス 経済学
エピソード
  • Retiring With $3 Million: How Much Can You Actually Spend?

    Retiring With $3 Million: How Much Can You Actually Spend?
    2026/11/10

    If you have $3 million and you’re ready to retire, how much can you actually afford to spend?

    $120,000 a year? $150,000? $180,000?

    It sounds like a straightforward question, but retirement planning rarely produces one perfect spending number.

    In this episode, Greg Welborn of First Financial Consulting explains why the better question isn’t “What is the maximum I can withdraw?” but rather, “What can I comfortably spend while maintaining enough flexibility if retirement doesn’t unfold exactly as planned?”

    Using the example of a 62-year-old retiring with $3 million invested, Greg walks through the assumptions behind a retirement-income projection. Investment returns are only one part of the equation. Inflation, Social Security, taxes, healthcare costs, longevity, major purchases, gifts, travel, and changes in spending over time can all influence how much a retiree can sustainably withdraw.

    One of the biggest risks is sequence-of-returns risk. A portfolio may earn a reasonable average return over a long period, but those returns won’t arrive evenly. Someone who experiences strong returns early in retirement can have a very different outcome from someone who experiences significant market losses in the first few years—even if both ultimately earn the same long-term average return.

    Greg also explains how Monte Carlo simulations and retirement stress testing can help account for this uncertainty. Instead of assuming one smooth investment return every year, these models test many possible sequences to see how a retirement strategy may perform across a range of outcomes.

    But investment returns aren’t the only thing worth stress testing. A retirement plan should also consider what happens if you retire earlier than expected, inflation stays higher than projected, you or your spouse experiences a long-term care event, you make a major purchase, or your spending and tax situation change.

    The composition of your $3 million matters too. Assets held in taxable accounts, traditional retirement accounts, Roth accounts, and other investments can create different tax consequences and levels of flexibility.

    Ultimately, retirement planning should not be about finding the largest number a spreadsheet says you can spend. The goal is to develop a reasonable spending range, build in guardrails, review the plan regularly, and maintain enough flexibility to make adjustments when life or the markets don’t go according to plan.

    Topics discussed:

    • Retiring with $3 million
    • Retirement spending and withdrawal rates
    • Sequence-of-returns risk
    • Monte Carlo simulations
    • Retirement stress testing
    • Inflation, taxes, and healthcare
    • Long-term care
    • Flexible spending and guardrails
    • Portfolio sustainability

    Related Reading
    How to Stress-Test Your Retirement Plan
    Why So Many Retirees Fear Outliving Their Money

    The information discussed in this episode is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered individualized financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Everyone’s financial situation is different, and the strategies discussed may not be appropriate for every investor.

    First Financial Consulting is an independent, fee-only fiduciary financial advisory firm providing comprehensive financial planning and investment management services.

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    10 分
  • Longevity Risk in Retirement: How to Make Your Money Last

    Longevity Risk in Retirement: How to Make Your Money Last
    2026/10/28
    What happens if your retirement lasts longer than you planned?Longevity risk is the possibility of outliving your retirement savings, and it becomes increasingly important as retirees face longer lifespans, rising healthcare expenses, inflation, and decades of withdrawals from their portfolios.In this episode, Greg Welborn of First Financial Consulting explains why longevity risk is about more than simply living longer. A retirement plan also needs to account for whether your income and investments can continue supporting your lifestyle throughout those additional years.One of the first challenges is the length of retirement itself. Many retirees may need their savings to support 20, 25, 30 years or more. The longer retirement lasts, the more time inflation, healthcare expenses, investment markets, and unexpected costs have to affect the plan.Healthcare and long-term care can add another layer of risk. Medical expenses may increase faster than general inflation, and a longer lifespan can increase the likelihood of needing more extensive care later in life. These costs can place additional pressure on a retirement portfolio at the same time that other living expenses continue to rise.Inflation also steadily reduces purchasing power. Even relatively modest inflation compounded over several decades can dramatically increase the amount of income needed to maintain the same lifestyle. That means a retirement portfolio may need to provide current income while also maintaining enough long-term growth to help keep pace with rising costs.Market volatility creates a different problem. A market decline doesn’t necessarily create a permanent loss for an investor who can remain invested and wait for a recovery. But retirees may need to make portfolio withdrawals regardless of what the market is doing. Selling investments during a significant downturn can turn temporary declines into permanent losses and increase sequence-of-returns risk.Greg discusses why retirement portfolios therefore need to balance several competing objectives. Being too conservative may leave a portfolio unable to keep pace with inflation, while being too aggressive can expose a retiree to significant volatility and liquidity problems during a market downturn.One way to think about retirement assets is across different time horizons. Some assets may be positioned for near-term expenses, others for income needs several years into retirement, and others for longer-term growth. The appropriate mix will vary depending on spending needs, risk tolerance, Social Security, pensions, and other sources of retirement income.Tax planning is another important part of managing longevity risk. Withdrawals from taxable, tax-deferred, and tax-free accounts can have different tax consequences, making the timing and source of retirement withdrawals an important part of a long-term income strategy.Greg also discusses Social Security claiming decisions. Delaying Social Security after full retirement age can increase the monthly benefit, but whether delaying makes sense depends on longevity expectations, health, other income sources, and the broader retirement plan.Ultimately, longevity risk cannot usually be addressed with one investment or one rule of thumb. It requires coordinating investments, income sources, taxes, liquidity, healthcare planning, and spending over what may be a retirement lasting several decades.Topics discussed in this episode include:What longevity risk means in retirementPlanning for a 20- to 30-year retirementInflation and purchasing powerHealthcare and long-term care costsMarket volatilitySequence-of-returns riskRetirement portfolio diversificationBalancing growth and liquidityShort-, intermediate-, and long-term retirement needsTax-efficient retirement withdrawalsSocial Security timingPensions and other retirement incomeBuilding a sustainable retirement income strategyTimestamps00:00 — What is longevity risk?01:00 — How living longer affects retirement finances03:26 — Healthcare and long-term care costs04:24 — Inflation and market volatility05:56 — Why market downturns can cause permanent retirement losses06:58 — Strategies for managing longevity risk07:52 — Structuring investments across different time horizons09:17 — Why one-size-fits-all retirement models fall short09:51 — Tax-efficient withdrawal strategies10:51 — Maximizing Social Security benefits11:46 — Integrating pensions and other income sources12:16 — Bringing the retirement strategy togetherRelated ReadingLongevity Risk in Retirementhttps://firstfinancial.is/longevity-risk-in-retirement/ The information discussed in this episode is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered individualized financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Everyone’s financial situation is different, and the strategies discussed may not be appropriate for every investor. First Financial Consulting is an independent, fee-only fiduciary financial ...
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    14 分
  • Fiduciary vs. Broker: What’s the Difference?

    Fiduciary vs. Broker: What’s the Difference?
    2026/10/09
    Financial advisors and brokers can operate under different regulatory standards, compensation structures, and service models. Greg Welborn explains what investors should understand about fiduciary advice, brokerage relationships, fees, conflicts of interest, and the questions to ask before choosing a financial professional.Episode NotesWhat does it really mean when someone says they’re a fiduciary—and how is that different from working with a broker?In this episode, Greg Welborn of First Financial Consulting looks at some of the important differences between investment advisers and brokers, including how they are regulated, how they may be compensated, the types of services they provide, and the potential conflicts investors should understand before choosing an advisor.A fiduciary investment adviser has a duty of care and a duty of loyalty that apply across the advisory relationship. That means the adviser must act in the client’s best interest and cannot subordinate the client’s interests to its own.Broker-dealers operate under a different regulatory framework. When making securities recommendations to retail customers, they are subject to Regulation Best Interest, which requires them to act in the customer’s best interest and address conflicts of interest. The scope and timing of those obligations, however, differ from the fiduciary duty governing an ongoing investment-advisory relationship.Greg also discusses why compensation matters. Financial professionals can be paid in several ways, including asset-based fees, hourly or flat planning fees, commissions, or combinations of these methods. Understanding exactly where an advisor’s compensation comes from can help you identify potential incentives and conflicts before entering into a relationship.The episode also explores the distinction between fee-only and fee-based advice. Fee-only firms are compensated directly by their clients and do not receive commissions for selling financial products. Fee-based firms may receive both advisory fees and certain forms of transaction- or product-related compensation. Understanding the difference can make it easier to evaluate how an advisor is paid and where potential conflicts may exist.Beyond compensation, Greg emphasizes the importance of understanding the depth of the relationship you are actually receiving. Investment management alone is different from comprehensive financial planning that considers retirement cash flow, taxes, Social Security, Roth conversions, estate planning, liquidity, risk management, and other areas of your financial life.Cost is another factor worth evaluating. Even relatively small differences in investment expenses can compound over long periods of time, so investors should understand both the cost of the investments being recommended and the compensation being received by the professional making those recommendations.Greg also discusses risk in broader terms than simply assigning someone a label such as “moderate” or “aggressive.” A good planning process should consider how an investor may actually react during significant market declines, what level of liquidity may be necessary, and whether the investment strategy is likely to remain sustainable during difficult periods.Toward the end of the episode, Greg provides several questions investors can ask when evaluating a financial professional:In what capacity will you be working with me?Are you acting as a fiduciary throughout our advisory relationship?How exactly will you and your firm be compensated?Do you receive commissions or other third-party compensation?How do you approach investment costs and taxes?How do you define and manage investment risk?What does “comprehensive financial planning” mean at your firm?Who will actually be responsible for my relationship and financial plan?What happens if my primary advisor retires or leaves?Can I review your Form ADV, Form CRS, fee schedule, and examples of the planning work you provide?Understanding these questions can make it easier to compare firms based on more than titles or marketing language and determine what type of advisory relationship best fits your needs.Topics discussed in this episode include:Fiduciary financial advisorsInvestment advisers vs. brokersRegulation Best InterestFiduciary dutyFee-only vs. fee-based financial advisorsAdvisor commissions and compensationFinancial advisor conflicts of interestInvestment fees and expensesComprehensive financial planningTax-aware financial planningInvestment risk and liquidityQuestions to ask a financial advisorForm ADV and Form CRSChoosing the right financial advisorTimestamps00:00 — Fiduciary advisors vs. brokers02:09 — How advisor compensation can affect advice03:58 — How fee-only financial advisors are compensated05:30 — Understanding fee-based advice07:35 — Questions to ask about compensation and conflicts08:29 — Why investment costs matter10:03 — Products, taxes, and planning depth11:38 ...
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    18 分
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