The Cleveland Browns enter 2026 with a new head coach, a chaotic quarterback situation and a rebuild that might be more coherent than it first appears. Stephie Smalls is joined by Footballguys analyst and sports betting expert Sam Wagman to break down Deshaun Watson versus Shedeur Sanders, Todd Monken’s offense, the Myles Garrett trade and whether Cleveland can clear its 5.5-win total.

Stephie and Sam also examine the fantasy football value of Quinshon Judkins, Dylan Sampson and Harold Fannin Jr., plus rookie receivers Denzel Boston and KC Concepcion. Sam gives out a Denzel Boston Offensive Rookie of the Year long shot, Stephie targets Fannin’s receiving-yard prop and both become dangerously excited about Jared Verse leading the NFL in sacks at 75-to-1.

Get your questions in for the next Ask Smalls Anything episode at SpeakPipe.com/StephieSmalls.

Odds discussed in this episode are subject to change. Please bet responsibly.

CHAPTERS

00:00 Browns Preview
00:50 Sam Wagman
02:39 2025 Disaster
05:01 Watson Problem
08:10 Shedeur Outlook
10:35 Rebuild Plan
12:02 Garrett Trade
14:42 Roster Foundation
16:13 Ad Break
17:23 Judkins Value
20:01 Sampson Handcuff
22:34 Fannin Jr.
25:43 Rookie Receivers
28:43 Win Total
32:32 Playoff Odds
33:10 Boston OROY
34:20 Fannin Prop
34:42 Verse Long Shot
36:08 Final Verdict

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The Atlanta Falcons enter the 2026 NFL season with a new coaching staff, a wide-open NFC South and one enormous question at quarterback: Will Tua Tagovailoa or Michael Penix Jr. lead the offense?

Sports Illustrated senior betting editor and Bacon Bets Podcast host Iain MacMillan joins Stephie Smalls for a complete Atlanta Falcons 2026 preview. They break down Kevin Stefanski’s arrival, Matt Ryan’s new front-office role, the Tua-Penix competition and whether Atlanta’s roster is too talented to finish below its projected win total.

Stephie and Iain also discuss the best Falcons futures and player props, including Atlanta over 6.5 wins, Kevin Stefanski for Coach of the Year and Bijan Robinson’s receiving-yard and touchdown totals. On the fantasy football side, they examine Drake London, Kyle Pitts, Jahan Dotson and rookie sleeper Zachariah Branch before making their final Falcons record predictions.

Plus, Iain shares two Open Championship bets and explains why talking through the Falcons for 30 minutes has somehow made him optimistic again. Being a Falcons fan remains a highly experimental form of therapy.

Have a question for Stephie? Submit it for the next Ask Smalls Anything episode at SpeakPipe.com/StephieSmalls.

00:00 Falcons Preview
01:44 Looking Back at 2025
03:28 Atlanta’s New Leadership
06:20 Tua vs. Penix
12:41 Falcons Win Total
14:55 NFC South Odds
17:25 Fantasy Football Targets
18:49 Falcons WR Sleepers
20:51 Bijan Robinson Props
21:55 Stefanski COTY Bet
23:43 Final Record Prediction
24:48 Open Championship Bets
25:31 More From Iain

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The 2026 Open Championship is here, and Stephie Smalls is joined by sports gambling expert and show favorite Sam Wagman to break down their best bets for the final major of the year.

Stephie and Sam examine Royal Birkdale’s firm and fast conditions, dangerous closing stretch and the skills golfers will need to survive four rounds of links golf. Then they reveal their favorite finishing-position bets, head-to-head matchups, LIV golfer props, long shots and outright picks.

Stephie makes the case for Collin Morikawa to finish inside the Top 30, Morikawa over Shane Lowry in Round 1 and Robert MacIntyre to finish Top 20. Sam targets Joaquin Niemann as the top LIV golfer before unveiling a complete Sam Burns betting ladder—from Top 30 all the way to a 60/1 outright ticket.

Plus, they discuss Burns’ recent form, the Open Championship trend that nearly puts him among the tournament’s strongest contenders and why Scottie Scheffler may be preparing to ruin everyone’s fun once again.

Follow Sam Wagman on X at @Swagman95 and find his fantasy football work at Footballguys.

Have a question for Stephie? Submit it for Ask Smalls Anything at SpeakPipe.com/StephieSmalls.

00:00 Royal Birkdale Preview

01:08 Course Changes

02:41 Firm and Fast Conditions

03:25 Best Bets Begin

03:48 Morikawa Top 30

04:24 Morikawa vs. Lowry

05:25 Top LIV Golfer

07:39 Joaquin Niemann’s Fit

09:06 MacIntyre Top 20

10:21 Sam Burns Betting Ladder

12:21 Why Burns Fits

15:23 Scottie Scheffler Warning

16:03 Find Sam Wagman

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