『Navigating Restaurant Industry Volatility: Adapting Menus, Pricing, and Expansion Strategies』のカバーアート

Navigating Restaurant Industry Volatility: Adapting Menus, Pricing, and Expansion Strategies

Navigating Restaurant Industry Volatility: Adapting Menus, Pricing, and Expansion Strategies

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In the past 48 hours, the restaurant and bar industry has shown notable volatility across key markets. Over the past week, U.S. coffee prices have jumped 14.5 percent year on year, with small businesses raising menu prices by up to 25 percent to offset tariff-driven costs and supply chain disruptions. Starbucks, facing 39 percent tariffs on Swiss supplier Thermoplan, is relocating production to Germany and the U.S. while absorbing weekly costs amounting to around 200,000 Swiss francs. These developments underline how quickly global trade tensions and localized shortages are pressuring margins and triggering price hikes at both major chains and independents.

European data reflects similar strains. Traffic at fast-food outlets in the UK is flat, and restaurant and pub visits are down 5 percent, despite prices rising up to 6 percent compared to last year. Brands are relying heavily on promotions and loyalty programs to offset weakening demand, while competing aggressively for meal occasions. Market leaders such as Greggs are launching new deals and shifting their focus, with pizza and chicken chains offering breakfast and lunch menus to attract more diners.

There has also been a marked increase in new entrants to the fast-food market, with at least eight major North American brands announcing expansion into the UK this year. International chains now hold roughly half the market share, with growth expected to outpace homegrown competitors.

In the U.S., economic and operational challenges remain acute. Inflation, labor shortages, and declining consumer spending forced the closure of long-standing venues, such as Bar K in Kansas City, which cited the tough economic climate and local construction issues as key factors. Conversely, some entrepreneurs – like KC Current players launching Pitchside Coffee Shop – are pursuing innovative, community-driven business models.

Supply chain disruptions continue to drive rapid adaptation. Technology-enabled procurement and digital traceability are growing in importance, particularly for sourcing seafood and other perishable ingredients. Firms investing in such systems are better positioned to pivot during price surges or unforeseen shortages.

Overall, the industry is responding to instability by raising prices, redefining menu offerings, expanding into select target markets, and doubling down on customer engagement. Compared to previous months, leaders are now more selective about expansion, focused on brand credibility and operational agility over scale. These approaches reflect a broader shift towards resilience and relevance in the face of ongoing economic and regulatory pressures.

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