エピソード

  • Episode 044: The $500 Billion Stargate Project: America’s AI Infrastructure Boom
    2025/01/22

    In today’s episode, we dive into the groundbreaking Stargate Project, a massive $100 billion initiative led by OpenAI, SoftBank, Oracle, and other tech giants to build AI data centers across the U.S. With plans to invest up to $500 billion over the next four years, this project aims to solidify America’s leadership in AI and create hundreds of thousands of jobs. But despite the potential for economic growth, concerns about job quality and environmental impact loom large. Join us as we explore the broader trend of AI infrastructure expansion and the implications of this ambitious undertaking.


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    14 分
  • Episode 043: Rising Confidence and Persistent Challenges
    2025/01/21

    In today’s episode, we explore early 2025 economic forecasts, marked by cautious optimism. A resilient U.S. economy and rising CEO confidence are balanced by persistent inflation and global uncertainties. We discuss the transformative impact of AI, driving demand across multiple sectors, and the strength of the financial sector, despite concerns in commercial real estate and subdued loan growth. Consumer spending is still feeling the strain of inflation, while sector-specific challenges persist in healthcare, transportation, and energy.


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    18 分
  • Episode 042: Inflation Targets and Economic Strategy: Is 3% the New 2%?
    2025/01/15

    In today’s episode, we explore the possibility of the Federal Reserve raising its inflation target from 2% to 3%, a topic gaining traction in economic circles. While some experts, like Jason Furman, argue that this shift could cushion the economy against recessions and stimulate investment, others worry it could erode consumer purchasing power and benefit government debt. We’ll also examine the mixed signals from recent inflation data and the potential impact on the financial system, government policy, and consumers. Tune in for a deep dive into this controversial proposal and its far-reaching implications.


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    10 分
  • Episode 041: Innovation or Overreach? The Debate Over US Tech Export Controls
    2025/01/14

    In today’s episode, we analyze the recent U.S. government actions, led by the Biden administration, aimed at restricting the export of advanced technologies, especially AI chips and connected vehicle components, to China and Russia. These policies, driven by national security concerns, aim to slow technological advancements in these nations but are facing heavy criticism. Industry leaders and lawmakers warn of potential economic harm, market shifts, and unintended innovation, as China develops alternative technologies. We’ll dive into the complexities of these export controls, their impact on global markets, and the potential fallout under the incoming Trump administration.


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    21 分
  • Episode 040: Bond Markets in Turmoil: How Rising Yields Could Trigger a Market Correction
    2025/01/13

    In today’s episode, we take a deep dive into the surge in US Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year note, and what it means for the economy and financial markets. As yields approach 5%, we explore the causes behind this rise—resilient economic growth, sticky inflation, and concerns about government debt—and how it’s reshaping interest rate expectations. We’ll discuss the potential impact on both the bond and equity markets, the rising borrowing costs, and the vulnerability of corporate credit. Additionally, we’ll unpack the return of “bond vigilantes” and what it could mean for US fiscal policy and future market reactions. Tune in for an in-depth analysis of the “Great Bond Bear Market” and the shifting economic paradigm.


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    17 分
  • Episode 039: The Fed’s Tightrope Walk: Balancing Rate Cuts and Inflation Fears
    2024/12/19

    In today’s episode, we dive into the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to lower its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points, marking the third consecutive cut. However, this move came with a shift in tone, signaling a more cautious approach going forward due to persistent inflation, a stronger-than-expected economy, and uncertainty around potential policy changes with the incoming presidential administration. We’ll explore how the market reacted to the Fed’s hawkish stance, the revised inflation forecasts, and the growing debate over the "neutral" interest rate in today’s evolving economic landscape.


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    15 分
  • Episode 038: Nissan-Honda Merger? Strengthening Against China and the EV Transition
    2024/12/18

    In today’s episode, we dive into Nissan’s financial struggles and the potential merger talks with Honda, which could create the world’s third-largest automaker. This move is driven by the need to compete more effectively against giants like Toyota, and Foxconn’s interest in acquiring a stake in Nissan has further accelerated discussions. We explore the complexities of the deal, including Renault’s 36% ownership stake and the role of Mitsubishi Motors. The merger aims to address declining sales, especially in China, and navigate the challenges of the electric vehicle transition, all while strengthening the Japanese auto industry on the global stage


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    11 分
  • Episode 037: Global Growth Amid Uncertainty: The Optimistic Outlook for 2025
    2024/12/17

    In today’s episode, we hear from multiple CEOs and financial executives offering a candid look at the current state of the U.S. and global economies. While there are lingering uncertainties, particularly in Europe and China’s real estate market, the overall outlook for 2025 is cautiously optimistic. We dive into the resilience of consumer spending, the booming AI sector, and the recovery in both the freight and EV markets. Join us as we unpack the key trends and opportunities shaping the future of global business.


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    12 分