
Inflation, Growth, and the Fed's Tightrope: Navigating the Market's Tug-of-War
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August 31, 2025 - This past week, the market navigated a tug-of-war between resilient economic growth and rising inflation. An upward revision to Q2 GDP to 3.3% highlighted underlying strength, yet this was countered by the Fed's preferred inflation gauge hitting a five-month high. Despite these conflicting signals, market conviction for a September interest rate cut remains strong. All eyes now turn to next Friday's pivotal jobs report, which will be a critical input for the Fed's upcoming policy decision.
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