The UFC is in Abu Dhabi this week and Rob is back with another lean card, another early morning start, and another pack rip. Two fights make the cut for the model this week — an undefeated prospect with a suffocating grappling game looking to stay perfect, and a former light heavyweight champion returning in a last-minute main event against a hungry replacement opponent. Short card, safe plays, and whatever comes out of the pack. If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters 00:00 Introduction to UFC Abu Dhabi and Episode Overview

00:56 Recap of Last Week's Model Performance and MMA Betting Reality

02:23 Current UFC Betting Climate and Card Preview

03:37 Introduction to Pack Rip Tradition and Social Media Presence

05:57 Fighter Profile: Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis

09:14 Main Event Breakdown: Magomed Ankalaev vs Bogdan Guskov

19:05 Betting Predictions and Line Movements for Main Event

21:17 Pack Rip Card Opening and Collectible Highlights

24:24 Closing Remarks and How to Follow for More Content

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The UFC heads to Oklahoma City for a shorter card this week, and Rob starts by addressing the elephant in the room — Conor McGregor's knee gave out in the first round, BSD dropped a fight he didn't see coming, and somehow we move forward. On a data-thin slate, the model still finds two fights worth talking about: a co-main event where the Tier 1 favorite's price sends us straight to the prop market, and a main event where a former welterweight champion steps into a new division as a big underdog with a very clear blueprint for winning. Plus — something new this week. Rob rips open a UFC trading card pack live on air. No script. Just vibes and whatever comes out of the pack.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters
00:00 Intro and UFC Oklahoma City overview
01:28 Recap of recent UFC fight results and lessons learned
02:24 Discussion on Conor McGregor's return and fan disappointment
05:08 Preview of UFC Oklahoma City main card and data limitations
06:10 Open UFC trading cards live on air
07:20 Analysis of Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan
13:05 Preview of UFC main event: Duplessis vs Uzman
19:34 Live UFC card rip and closing thoughts
23:02 Final betting thoughts and episode wrap-up

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The Mac is back. Five years removed from his last fight and six years since his last win, Conor McGregor steps back into the octagon at welterweight for a rematch against Max Holloway that nobody saw coming when they first met back in 2013. Rob breaks down the UFC 329 card through the model.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters
00:00 Welcome Back Mac
02:04 Analyzing Women's Flyweight Fight: Cortez vs. Wang
05:15 Robert Whitaker's Move to Light Heavyweight
09:40 Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett: A Lightweight Clash
13:46 The Return of Conor McGregor: Holloway Rematch
20:24 Final Thoughts and Betting Insights

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The UFC heads to Baku, Azerbaijan this week as Rafael Fiziev looks to make a statement in front of his home crowd against a red-hot Manuel Torres — a fighter who has barely seen a second round in his entire MMA career.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters
00:00 Introduction and Recent Performance Review
02:03 Upcoming UFC Event in Baku, Azerbaijan
03:13 Fight Breakdown: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson
07:43 Fight Breakdown: Rafael Faziv vs. Manuel Torres
14:04 Conclusion and Future Outlook

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Back at the APEX after one of the wildest events in UFC history. Rob recaps the White House card and gets into UFC Vegas 119 — a shorter card headlined by a legitimate flyweight title eliminator between Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters
00:00 Here We Go
05:02 Analyzing Upcoming Fights at UFC Vegas 119
14:32 Main Event Breakdown: Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The UFC takes it outside — literally — as the promotion sets up on the lawn of the White House for a card with two title fights and genuine history on the line. Rob breaks down fights through the model, including a heavyweight title fight where the model says one thing and the heart says another, and a lightweight main event where the undefeated El Matador looks to add another legend to his list. The outdoor environment, the crowd, the weather — this one comes with unknowns that no model can fully account for. That's what makes it must-watch television.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

00:00 Introduction and Event Recap

02:02 UFC Freedom 250 Overview

04:37 Weather and Environmental Factors

06:24 Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia Breakdown

11:16 Alex Pereira's Historic Title Shot

16:32 Main Event: Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje Analysis

23:35 Closing Thoughts and Final Predictions

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

UFC Vegas 118 lands at the APEX this week with a former welterweight champion looking to stop the bleeding against a rising contender riding serious momentum.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters

00:00 Introduction to UFC Vegas 118 Preview

02:53 Analyzing the Undercard Fights

06:42 Co-Main Event Breakdown: Allen vs. Shahbazyan

09:32 Main Event Discussion: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

14:48 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The UFC is back from a week off and so is Fighting With Numbers. This week the promotion heads to Macau for an early morning card — 4AM Eastern for those of us stateside. Rob breaks down two fights through the model, including a light heavyweight matchup where the numbers are lopsided enough to hunt props over the moneyline, and a main event featuring a former two-time flyweight champion whose decline is written all over the data. Short pod, clear model sides, and a prop market worth paying attention to before fight night.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters

00:00 Fighting with Numbers Returns

01:46 UFC Macau Preview: Co-Main Event Breakdown

05:41 Main Event Analysis: Song vs Figgy

09:28 Conclusion

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.