UFC Vegas 121 goes down in Las Vegas this week, back in the APEX we go!

Headlined by Raul Rosas Jr. and Raoni Barcelos. It is youth vs experience.

Lean betting card for us but that's not stopping us from breaking a few fights down. Along with a pack rip! (Of course).

Make sure to check out FightingWithNumbers.com for more tale of the tapes and a full season dashboard.

Check me out on Twitter and Instagram at @TheRobbeo

Enjoy the violence!

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It's UFC 331 week! And the rematch is here between Joshua Van and Alexandre Pantoja as they settle the score for the Flyweight title.

Rob dives through the fights with the model and finds his bets for the week.

Plus we're ripping another pack of cards, see if we can make it 3 in a row for Pack Bets!

Subscribe to the show and leave a rating, share with a fellow fight fan today!

Follow along on X and Instagram: @TheRobbeo

More fight data available at FightingWithNumbers.com today!

Chapters:

00:00 - UFC 331 Preview

02:52 - Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura

07:19 - Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy

13:45 - Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja 2

21:30 - Let It Rip

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¡Que onda cabrones! It's Noche UFC — the UFC's yearly celebration of Mexican Independence Day — and Fighting With Numbers is back with seven fights through the model and four breakdowns on the pod. Plus the pack rip delivers an auto card AND the pack bet of the week. Feliz Noche UFC — que disfruten la violencia.

If you're putting these plays to work, head to Sleeper Picks and use code FWN for a 100% deposit match up to $100. Paid partnership — code FWN.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

00:00 Que Onda Cabrones — Welcome to Noche UFC
02:41 Model Update & Last Week Recap
08:38 Card Preview & Fight Selection
09:16 Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes
12:30 Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso
14:31 Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales
18:00 Main Event: Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado
23:15 Pack Rip Time
25:49 Pack Bet of the Week & Closing

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The UFC is in Paris and the final 13 events of the season are officially underway. Rob breaks down two fights through the model this week. The main event features the UFC debut of French star Salahdine Parnasse in his home city — no model play, but plenty worth talking about. And after the sign-off? The pack rip gets its own moment as a true bonus round. Profitez de la violence.

If you're putting these plays to work, head to Sleeper Picks and use code FWN for a 100% deposit match up to $100. Paid partnership — code FWN.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

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UFC Shanghai kicks off at 3AM ET and Rob is up early to break it all down. Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong headlines UFC Shanghai this week! Two fights for us to break down, plus a pack rip to send things off.

If you're putting these plays to work, head to Sleeper Picks and use code FWN for a 100% deposit match up to $100. Paid partnership — code FWN. If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters 00:00 Intro and Fight Model Update

04:15 Xiaonan's UFC Journey and Matchup

07:39 Betting Odds and Predictions for Gomes

09:00 Umar Nurmargomedov's UFC Record and Fight Style

10:15 Nurmargomedov's Ground Control and Fight Strategy

12:13 Betting Tips: Nurmargomedov's Likely Outcome

14:00 Let It Rip!

16:54 Fun with 2026 Stadium Club UFC Cards Pack

17:22 Final Fight Predictions and Dashboard Update

17:59 Closing Remarks and Fight Night Tips

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UFC Sacramento isn't the most glamorous card on the calendar, but the model doesn't need glamour — it needs edges. Rob breaks down two fights this week, Plus another card rip to close things out.

If you're looking for a place to put these plays to work, head to Sleeper Picks and use code FWN for a 100% deposit match up to $100. Paid partnership — code FWN.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

00:00 Introduction to UFC betting insights with Rob Moreno
01:49 Model performance and variance in UFC predictions
04:14 Overview of UFC Sacramento card and fight selection
08:47 Main event analysis: Hernandez vs Rodrigues
14:57 Betting strategies and model confidence in UFC fights
17:08 Unboxing UFC trading cards and final thoughts

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UFC 330 is headlined by Islam Makhachev chasing history — a 17th consecutive UFC win that would put him alone at the top of the all-time record. One historic main event. Let's see what Saturday brings.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters
00:00 Introduction and UFC 330 overview
02:11 Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj fight analysis
07:16 Vicente Luque vs Tresean Gore preview
12:26 Gillian Robertson vs Mackenzie Dern analysis
17:00 Main event prediction: Islam Makachev vs Ian Machado Gary
23:44 Final thoughts and betting advice for UFC 330

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UFC Vegas 120 is back at the APEX and the data is as thin as it's been all season — but that doesn't mean there's nothing to work with. Rob breaks down a couple fights on the card.

The model processes it all, finds a real edge, and Rob explains exactly why he's taking a bet despite the data limitations. Plus — one more pack rip before next week's card finally gives us something to work with.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters
00:00 Intro and episode overview
01:16 Recent model success and UFC Vegas 120 context
02:17 Data limitations for this week's fights
03:46 Upcoming UFC event details and card preview
04:41 Personal updates and social media shoutouts
05:14 Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo fight analysis
09:25 Main event preview: Gamrot vs Salkilld
15:45 Fight prediction and betting decision
16:38 Pack opening and UFC card pull

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