The UFC heads to Oklahoma City for a shorter card this week, and Rob starts by addressing the elephant in the room — Conor McGregor's knee gave out in the first round, BSD dropped a fight he didn't see coming, and somehow we move forward. On a data-thin slate, the model still finds two fights worth talking about: a co-main event where the Tier 1 favorite's price sends us straight to the prop market, and a main event where a former welterweight champion steps into a new division as a big underdog with a very clear blueprint for winning. Plus — something new this week. Rob rips open a UFC trading card pack live on air. No script. Just vibes and whatever comes out of the pack.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters
00:00 Intro and UFC Oklahoma City overview
01:28 Recap of recent UFC fight results and lessons learned
02:24 Discussion on Conor McGregor's return and fan disappointment
05:08 Preview of UFC Oklahoma City main card and data limitations
06:10 Open UFC trading cards live on air
07:20 Analysis of Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan
13:05 Preview of UFC main event: Duplessis vs Uzman
19:34 Live UFC card rip and closing thoughts
23:02 Final betting thoughts and episode wrap-up

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The Mac is back. Five years removed from his last fight and six years since his last win, Conor McGregor steps back into the octagon at welterweight for a rematch against Max Holloway that nobody saw coming when they first met back in 2013. Rob breaks down the UFC 329 card through the model.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters
00:00 Welcome Back Mac
02:04 Analyzing Women's Flyweight Fight: Cortez vs. Wang
05:15 Robert Whitaker's Move to Light Heavyweight
09:40 Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett: A Lightweight Clash
13:46 The Return of Conor McGregor: Holloway Rematch
20:24 Final Thoughts and Betting Insights

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The UFC heads to Baku, Azerbaijan this week as Rafael Fiziev looks to make a statement in front of his home crowd against a red-hot Manuel Torres — a fighter who has barely seen a second round in his entire MMA career.

If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow.

Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.

Chapters
00:00 Introduction and Recent Performance Review
02:03 Upcoming UFC Event in Baku, Azerbaijan
03:13 Fight Breakdown: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson
07:43 Fight Breakdown: Rafael Faziv vs. Manuel Torres
14:04 Conclusion and Future Outlook

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