Injuries derail seasons — but for dynasty managers, they can also open a window of opportunity. In this episode, Jeff Blaylock explores The Island of Broken Toys: a place where productive but injured players lose short-term value but retain long-term potential.

Jeff outlines how to identify real broken-toy opportunities, calculate appropriate trade discounts, and avoid the emotional traps that make other managers sell too low. He also breaks down Adam Hutchison’s injury research, explains which positions are most likely to bounce back, and offers guidance for fitting these moves into your team’s strategic direction.

Timestamps:
00:00 – Introduction
01:14 – What makes a player a “broken toy”
02:22 – Why strategy comes first
03:15 – Dynasty vs. redraft
04:37 – Tank Dell example
06:06 – Injury risk and recovery data
09:59 – Why the market exists
11:22 – Buyers and sellers by compass direction
14:32 – Types of sellers
16:21 – Trade discount guidelines
20:12 – Red flags and risk management
25:00 – Scarcity and strategy
26:25 – Closing thoughts and Episode 16 preview

Links Mentioned:

• Adam Hutchison’s injury research at Footballguys: https://www.footballguys.com/article/2025-fantasy-performance-reinjury-rate-by-position
• Ep. 14 – Trade Deadline Strategies: https://youtu.be/0GXTgti19A0
• Ep. 12 – The Currency of Dynasty: https://youtu.be/oMxqBhyDTh0
• Ep. 4 – 5 Kinds of Players on Your Roster: https://youtu.be/PghAw0zqNKY
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