Is it category fraud? The Golden Globes just rejected Michael's musical/comedy submission, and Obsession got through. We rule on it.

Dylan and Craig play Fraud or Fair across Golden Globes history: Walk the Line, The Wolf of Wall Street, The Martian, Get Out, The Substance and If I Had Legs I'd Kick You. They then rule on Michael and Obsession. They also cover the Netflix firings, Cliff Booth, Zendaya for Dune III, You Can See Everything's Best Picture buzz, and a Halloween history of horror at the Oscars from The Exorcist to Sinners.

"The Golden Globes Are Rigged": https://youtu.be/zAhB_upf1rs

Tell us your own fraud calls in the comments.

Chapters:

0:00 Intro

1:48 Netflix and awards news

18:34 Golden Globes category controversy

21:40 Fraud or fair rulings

36:21 History of horror at the Oscars

With festival season behind us, it’s time to check the receipts.

This week on Oscars Outsider, Craig and Dylan revisit some of their earliest predictions for the 2027 Oscar race. Which calls have aged surprisingly well — and which ones are looking increasingly difficult to defend? We reassess our early reads on films and performances including Fjord, The Social Reckoning, Artificial, Fatherland and more.

Then we turn to Best Visual Effects, looking back at the history of the category before predicting this year’s five nominees. Are Dune: Part Three, The Odyssey and Project Hail Mary already locks? Could Godzilla Minus Zero, Wildwood or an unexpected contender crash the lineup? And which film is actually positioned to win?

Plus: another big Oscars fantasy-draft trade, Netflix’s changing theatrical strategy, the increasingly serious awards push for Obsession, and our extremely measured response to the plan to release four Beatles movies at once.

Tell us which early predictions you got completely wrong — and who we’re overlooking in Best Visual Effects.

https://oscarsoutsider.com

#Oscars2027 #OscarsPredictions #AwardsSeason #BestVisualEffects #OscarsOutsider

Craig and Dylan ask one of the juiciest questions of awards season: who is going to become this year’s Oscar villain?What actually makes a movie the villain of an awards race? We look back at some notorious examples — The Greatest Show on Earth, Crash, La La Land, and Green Book — and examine how politics, frontrunner fatigue, backlash, and the movie positioned as the “hero” can completely reshape an Oscar season.Then we turn to 2027. Could Fjord become the political lightning rod? Is I Play Rocky the kind of broad, backward-looking crowd-pleaser that awards watchers eventually turn on? Could Michael, Obsession, or even Toy Story 5 become the movie everyone is desperate to see lose?Plus: immediate changes to our Oscars Fantasy Draft, Artificial surging after New York, The Social Reckoning stumbling, Digger fading, and which films came out of NYFF looking stronger — or much weaker.Who do you think will be the villain of this awards season?#Oscars2027 #OscarsPredictions #AwardsSeason #OscarsOutsider