『Afford Anything』のカバーアート

Afford Anything

Afford Anything

著者： Paula Pant | Cumulus Podcast Network
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 You can afford anything, but not everything. We make daily decisions about how to spend money, time, energy, focus and attention – and ultimately, our life. How do we make smarter decisions? How do we think from first principles? On the surface, Afford Anything seems like a podcast about money and investing. But under the hood, this is a show about how to think critically, recognize our behavioral blind spots, and make smarter choices. We’re into the psychology of money, and we love metacognition: thinking about how to think. In some episodes, we interview world-class experts: professors, researchers, scientists, authors. In other episodes, we answer your questions, talking through decision-making frameworks and mental models. Want to learn more? Download our free book, Escape, at http://affordanything.com/escape. Hosted by Paula Pant.2024 Afford Anything LLC マネジメント・リーダーシップ リーダーシップ 個人ファイナンス 経済学
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  • Q&A: Is ChatGPT's Portfolio Better Than VTSAX?

    Q&A: Is ChatGPT's Portfolio Better Than VTSAX?
    2025/08/05
    #631: Jason's analysis of his retirement plan shows that the simple path beats the efficient frontier. Is he right or is he missing something? Minerva is worried about the impacts of tax inefficiency to her wealth. Are her investments properly located? Scott feels frozen because he doesn’t understand the nuances of the efficient frontier. Where can he get a simplified explainer so he can start taking action? Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode. Enjoy! P.S. Got a question? Leave it here. Resources Mentioned: https://affordanything.com/how-to-negotiate-your-next-raise/ ⁠https://affordanything.kit.com/assetlocation ⁠Join Paula at Acorns and get your $5 bonus!⁠ https://affordanything.com/577-qa-the-efficient-frontier-was-perfect-until-hr-got-involved/ https://affordanything.com/547-ask-paula-we-have-2-million-at-40-now-what/ https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/small-cap-value-etf/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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    1 時間 40 分
  • BONUS First Monday: How Did the BLS Get the Jobs Report So Wrong?

    BONUS First Monday: How Did the BLS Get the Jobs Report So Wrong?
    2025/08/04
    Special bonus episode. The Bureau of Labor Statistics issues massive job revisions on Friday morning. The revisions wipe out nearly 90% of previously reported gains for May and June. This raises fundamental questions about how our most trusted economic data gets calculated. In this episode, we break down how the system works. We examine why the revisions are so large. We explore what this means for understanding the real economy. Friday arrives. The BLS delivers what appears routine: 73,000 new positions added in July. But the revisions tell a different story. May's initially reported 144,000 job gains become 19,000. June's seemingly solid 147,000 drops to just 14,000. These represent 87-90% overestimates. They fundamentally alter the economic picture for those months. The BLS surveys 560,000 businesses each month. They use payroll data from the 12th of the month. But only 60-73% of those businesses respond by the initial release deadline. The remaining portion gets filled through statistical modeling. The models rely on historical patterns. This approach typically produces revisions in the 20,000-50,000 range. But throughout 2025, average monthly revisions reach 66,000. That's triple the normal size. The statistical models aren't capturing current economic conditions effectively. The problem becomes clear when economic conditions shift rapidly. Historical patterns become unreliable guides. The 2024 annual revision was the largest since 2009. What happened in 2009? The Great Recession. Another period when traditional forecasting tools struggled with rapid change. ADP is a private payroll processor. They serve 460,000 companies. They provide useful comparison data. For May, their 37,000 private-sector job estimate aligns reasonably well with BLS's revised 19,000 total. For June, ADP reports a 33,000 job loss. BLS shows a 14,000 gain. ADP's independent data helps validate the revised numbers while highlighting the magnitude of the initial errors. These numbers drive real decisions. Federal Reserve officials use employment data for interest rate policy. Investors allocate capital based on these reports. Workers make career decisions based on perceived labor market strength. When the initial data misses by 90%, everyone operates with fundamentally flawed information. The revisions expose how fragile our economic measurement systems become when conditions change faster than models can adapt. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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    18 分
  • First Friday: We Were Wrong About 258,000 Jobs (This Changes Everything)

    First Friday: We Were Wrong About 258,000 Jobs (This Changes Everything)
    2025/08/01
    #630: Interesting observations about the current housing market, meme stocks (again), GDP, Fed Meeting, Stock Market, and the latest Jobs Report updates. Timestamps: Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths. 00:00 Introduction to Economic Turmoil 01:21 Jobs Report According to the BLS 09:23 Impact of Tariff Negotiations 12:36 The Broader Trade Landscape 16:04 Stock Market Reactions 24:11 GDP and Inflation Insights 31:52 The Fed’s Steady Hand (Interest Rates) 39:55 Housing Market Dynamics 39:40 Affordability Crisis in Real Estate 50:23 The Return of Meme Stocks Resource mentioned: Spencer Jakab on The GameStop Revolution Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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    52 分
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