#336: Market Update October 2025 – Price Growth Accelerates Nationwide, Investor Lending at 10-Year High & Deposit Guarantee Fuels Demand
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#336: Market Update October 2025 – Price Growth Accelerates Nationwide, Investor Lending at 10-Year High & Deposit Guarantee Fuels Demand
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🎧In this month’s Property Trio market update, Mike, Cate, and Dave unpack the latest October market figures... and there are some interesting stats to discuss 📊
💥 Nationally, growth is still positive for every single capital city. Perth has topped the charts at 1.9% monthly growth, while Darwin, Adelaide and Brisbane remain close with 1.6%, 1.4% and 1.8% respectively. Melbourne and Sydney may not have growth to match the others, but for Melbourne in particular at 0.9%, this monthly growth is the strongest that the southern city has delivered all year. The sheer weighting of both of the largest capital cities have a bearing on national growth also.
"The pace of growth in Australian home values accelerated in October, rising by 1.1%; the fastest monthly gain since June 2023." (Cotality)
💬 The Trio discuss the spread of value growth in each capital city. The middle and lower quartiles continue to perform strongly, even as the top end remains subdued. Could the 5% deposit guarantee, combined with stronger investor interest be the cause of this?
📈 And for the first time in a while, the combined capitals are out-starting the combined regionals. Regional WA shines with 1.8% growth for the month, some 0.7% stronger than the next, (regional QLD). Like the capitals, every single combined state/territory region exhibited positive growth for October.
🏠 Meanwhile, rents continue to show strength, with Darwin and Hobart continuing to demonstrate the strongest change in rents.
"Unit rents are rising faster than house rents across most cities."
Pressure on rental yields is a hallmark of rising capital values, and the gross rental yields chart illustrates this well.
Vacancy rates remain low — with the tightest city at just 0.4% in Hobart and the highest vacancy rate still being a low 1.8% in Melbourne — signalling an ongoing rental crisis driven by housing shortages and a struggling construction sector.
Listing numbers are interesting - while the new listing numbers within just 3% of previous year (and 0.4% from the past five year average), it's all listings that tell the true story. Nationally, our listing numbers are down 14.3% compared to last year, and 18.3% down compared to the past five year average. It's easy to see why values are surging in some markets where the supply and demand imbalance has struck.
💰 Consumer sentiment tells a few surprising stories, with "a markedly more confident assessment of prospects for the economy" apparent. Several measures in the indices exhibited a strong increase in sentiment, with both the expectations of economic conditions in the next twelve months, and interest rate expectations index jumps recorded in early November.
The Trio look forward to the monthly reporting of CPI going forward, and in particular, what this will do for visibility within the Reserve Bank Board's dashboard.
Shownotes: https://www.propertytrio.com.au/2025/11/17/ep-336-october-2025-market-update/
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