China Has Magnets, Your Portfolio Has Anxiety
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If the world’s most powerful magnets can move turbines and EVs, what might happen when their supply chain starts to seize up? We take you inside the rare earths story—why these elements are abundant in the ground yet scarce in your portfolio—and connect the dots to AI infrastructure, defense systems, and the global energy transition.
We break down China’s processing dominance and the environmental trade-offs that shaped it, then look at how non-Chinese supply could scale through U.S.–Australia–Canada partnerships. From neodymium magnets in motors to lithium and copper in batteries and grids, we map the materials stack that underpins data centers, wind farms, and advanced manufacturing. Along the way, we examine export controls on gallium and germanium, the espionage pressure around ASML and chip tools, and how supply shocks can reverberate through server buildouts and AI cost curves.
On the market side, we contrast hardware suppliers and data center ecosystem winners with software names facing valuation pressure if deployment slows. We also consider the rise of leaner AI models like DeepSeek, which could reward software efficiency over brute-force compute. Taiwan’s central role in leading-edge chips, the push to expand fabrication abroad, and U.S. constraints around water, labor, and subsidies add more layers to the risk map. Our bottom line: stay invested, but right-size positions, add selective hedges, and keep dry powder for volatility in a frothy fourth quarter.
If this helped sharpen your view on rare earths and AI risk, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a quick review—what’s the smartest de-risking move you’re making right now?
Straight Talk for All - Nonsense for None
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Disclaimer - These podcasts are not intended as investment advice. Individuals please consult your own investment, tax and legal advisors. They provide these insights for educational purposes only.