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In this episode, we sit down with an economist from ITR Economics, the group renowned for predicting the 2008 recession. We dive deep into the latest developments in interest rates during Trump's presidency, the current state of the real estate market, and the economist's personal investment strategies. The conversation shifts to macroeconomic trends, the impact of the pandemic on inflation, and the intricacies of the labor market. We also explore the implications of current tariff policies, potential black swan events, and future projections for interest rates and inflation. Don't miss this insightful discussion packed with data-backed analysis and expert opinions.

00:00 Introduction and Market Overview

00:10 Interest Rates and Real Estate Insights

00:24 Investment Strategies and Market Cycles

01:56 Evaluating Investment Deals

04:49 Guest Introduction and Economic Background

07:45 Macroeconomic Trends and Inflation

15:32 Labor Market Dynamics and AI Impact

25:09 Understanding Market Absorption and Job Creation

25:21 Fed's Approach to Inflation and Interest Rates

29:12 Impact of Tariffs on the Economy

35:16 Housing Market Challenges and Future Projections

37:51 Business Cycle Phases and Industry Analysis

43:31 Black Swan Events and Economic Implications

47:02 Final Thoughts and Investor Advice

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