
US-Brazil Trade War Escalates: 50 Percent Tariffs Shock Global Markets and Disrupt Agricultural Exports
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The results have been swift and dramatic. According to The Guardian Nigeria, Brazil’s exports to the United States plunged by 18.5 percent year-on-year in August, directly linked to the 50 percent tariff wall now faced by Brazilian products crossing U.S. borders. This contraction marks one of the sharpest changes in decades and has especially hit the agricultural and industrial sectors.
On the ground in Washington, Brazilian farm leaders are pushing back against accusations of unfair trade. Sueme Mori, Director of International Relations for Brazil’s main farm lobby—the Confederation of Agriculture and Livestock—testified at a U.S. public hearing this week, denying any discriminatory practices and emphasizing that Brazilian farmers abide by strict international standards. She highlighted that Brazil imported over $1.1 billion in fertilizers, agricultural machinery, and seeds from the U.S. last year, emphasizing that the trade relationship benefits both sides. Her plea was for evidence-driven dialogue and more collaboration to maintain global food security, rather than escalating tension.
On the U.S. side, farm and ethanol leaders are voicing frustration over Brazilian tariffs targeting American ethanol and corn. Kenneth Hartman Jr., President of the National Corn Growers Association, called Brazil’s recent trade actions “unfairly penalizing U.S. corn growers” and outlined how Brazil’s reimposed ethanol tariffs—raised to 18 percent in 2024—have harmed American exports and shrunk demand for U.S. corn and related seed products. U.S. farm groups are urging the Trump administration to take tougher countermeasures if talks falter.
JP Morgan’s latest analysis indicates the average effective U.S. tariff rate reached 16 percent in August and is expected to rise to at least 18.6 percent by the end of 2025, with Brazil facing the steepest increases among major trading partners. The escalating tariff war shows no sign of immediate resolution, even as Brazilian and U.S. farm groups insist on constructive negotiations.
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