Avoiding Unintended Consequences S8 Episode 4
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Avoiding Unintended Consequences S8 Episode 4
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このコンテンツについて
The podcast and associated briefing document outlines a comprehensive framework for avoiding unintended consequences, beginning by explaining why they happen due to cognitive biases, complexity blindness, and common patterns like the Cobra Effect. It then presents a detailed strategic thinking framework, encompassing deep analysis through systems thinking, devil's advocate protocols, and historical pattern analysis, followed by stress testing using scenario planning and red team exercises. The document also addresses execution strategies, advocating for gradual implementation via pilot programmes and circuit breakers, alongside effective stakeholder engagement and communication. Finally, it explores specific domain applications in personal, professional, and financial decisions, before discussing recovery and adaptation when things go wrong, emphasising learning integration and building antifragility, and concluding with advanced considerations like ethical dimensions and complexity management.
FREE PDF BRIEFING DOCUMENT