検索キーワード： 未来学

In the 60,000 years since people began colonising the continents, a recurring feature of human civilisation has been mobility - the constant search for resources and stability. Seismic global events - wars and genocides, revolutions and pandemics - have only accelerated the process. The map of humanity isn't settled, not now, not ever. As climate change tips toward full-blown crisis, economies collapse, governments destabilise and technology disrupts, we're entering a new age of mass migrations - one that will scatter not just the dispossessed but all of us.

The challenges we face are daunting, but in Go Big, Ed Miliband shows that the scale of what is possible is far greater. We are at a rare moment in history when people everywhere see the need for big change. Meanwhile, practical and proven ways exist for tackling everything from inequality to the climate crisis - if you know where to look and have the courage to think big.

In Human Frontiers, Michael Bhaskar draws a vividly entertaining and expansive portrait of humanity's relationship with big ideas. He argues that stasis at the frontier is the result of having already pushed so far, taken easy wins and started to hit limits. But new thinking is still possible. By adopting bold global approaches, deploying cutting-edge technology like AI and embracing a culture of change, we can push through and expand afresh.

As the shockwaves of COVID-19 continue to spread, and as the smoke clears from a year of anger and unrest, many people feel forlorn about the future. In End State, James Plunkett argues that this can be a moment not of despair, but of historic opportunity - a chance to rethink, renew and reform some of the most fundamental ways we organise society. In much the same way as societies emerged stronger from crises in the past - building the state as we know it today - we, too, can build a happier future.

From one of our sharpest political thinkers, a brilliant big-picture vision of how to bridge the bitter divides within diverse democracies. Never in history has a democracy succeeded in being both diverse and equal, treating different ethnic or religious groups fairly. And yet achieving that goal is now central to the democratic project.

The 'duty of care' which the state owes to its citizens is a phrase much used, but what has it actually meant in Britain historically? And what should it mean in the future, once the immediate COVID crisis has passed? In A Duty of Care, Peter Hennessy divides post-war British history into BC (before corona) and AC (after corona). He looks back to beginnings when, during wartime, Sir William Beveridge identified the 'five giants' on the road to recovery: want, disease, ignorance, squalor and idleness and laid the foundations for the modern welfare state.

The economy says we must always consume more. The planet says we consume too much. Addressing this paradox head-on, acclaimed journalist J. B. MacKinnon asks, What would really happen if we simply stopped shopping? Is there a way to reduce our consumption to Earth-saving levels without triggering economic collapse? Drawing from experts in fields ranging from climate change to economics, MacKinnon investigates how living with less would change our planet, our society, and ourselves. Along the way, he reveals just how much we stand to gain.

Societies all over the world are getting older, the result of the fact that we are living longer and having fewer children. At some point in the near future, much of the developed world will have at least twenty percent of their national populations over the age of sixty-five. Bradley Schurman calls this the Super Age. Today, Italy, Japan, and Germany have already reached the Super Age, and another ten countries will have gone over the tipping point in 2021.

Futurist Gerd Leonhard breaks new ground again by bringing together mankind’s urge to upgrade and automate everything - down to human biology itself - with our timeless quest for freedom and happiness.

Ein neues Land - das klingt wie eine Verheißung. Tatsächlich ist es längst da, dieses neue Land, nur muss es endlich sichtbar werden. Verena Pausder entwirft in ihrem Buch eine faszinierende Skizze der Zukunft, mutig und konsequent. Es ist der Entwurf eines Landes, das nicht mehr auf den Wohlstand der Vergangenheit setzt, sondern mit neuen Technologien, neuen Lebensentwürfen - und vor allem neuen Ideen das Leben von uns allen verändern wird.

+rosebud no.8 - Die Überraschung ist die finale Ausgabe von +rosebud magazine. Das bibliophil gestaltete und produzierte Hörbuch markiert den Abschluss einer Serie, deren Leitmotiv seit mehr als 20 Jahren, abseits von Genregrenzen, die Möglichkeiten des Mediums Papier auslotet und experimentell weiterentwickelt. Zentraler Bestandteil des Hörbuches ist ein Essay des Autors und Journalisten Wolf Lotter über Innovation und Kreativität als wichtigste Triebkräfte der digitalen Gesellschaft.

The third book in Charles Bowden’s “accidental trilogy” that began with Blood Orchid and Blues for Cannibals, Some of the Dead Are Still Breathing attempts to resolve the overarching question: How can a person live a moral life in a culture of death? As humanity moves further into the 21st century, Bowden continues to interrogate our roles in creating the ravaged landscapes and accumulated death that still surround us, as well as his own childhood isolation, his lust for alcohol and women, and his waning hope for a future.

Sie erfinden Roboter, die die Gedanken gelähmter Menschen lesen können, sie gründen Museen, in denen die Besucher neue, bisher unbekannte Einblicke in die globalen Fragen der Menschheit gewinnen können: Jörg Thadeusz trifft auf außergewöhnliche Persönlichkeiten aus Wissenschaft, Kultur und Gesellschaft und spricht mit ihnen über ihre visionären Lösungen für die immer rasanter wachsenden Herausforderungen unserer Zukunft.

Since the start of the advertising industry in the 19th century, it has been about telling. Now, thanks to the social media and digital revolution, everyone has a voice. Welcome to the decade of do - a new era for marketing and communications. It’s a time when people, brands, and organizations are taking on the world’s problems and trying to solve them. This book looks at why this is happening, the pioneers who are driving it forward, and what this means for the rest of us.

Este libro pinta un vívido retrato de un movimiento internacional impulsado por ideas y prácticas extrañas y frecuentemente inquietantes, pero cuya obsesión por trascender las limitaciones humanas puede verse como una especie de microcosmos cultural, una intensificación radical de nuestra fe más amplia en el poder de la tecnología como motor del progreso humano. Es un estudio de carácter de la excentricidad humana y una meditación sobre el deseo inmemorial de trascender los hechos básicos de nuestra existencia animal, un deseo tan primordial como las religiones más antiguas.

The 15 years from 2020 to 2035 could be the most turbulent of human history. Revolutions are gathering pace in four overlapping fields of technology: nano, bio, info, and cogno, or NBIC for short. In combination, these NBIC revolutions offer enormous new possibilities - enormous opportunities and enormous risks. Rapid technological change tends to provoke a turbulent social reaction. Old certainties fade. New winners arrive on the scene, flaunting their power and upturning previous networks of relationships.

Eine neue Phase der Entwicklung und Orientierung. Spätestens Ende April 2020 muss jedem klar gewesen sein, dass wir in einer außerordentlichen Krise stecken. Covid-19 diente dabei als Brandbeschleuniger für die Wirtschaft, und hat eine weltweite wirtschaftliche Brandrodung, die schon Jahre zuvor loderte, in Gang gebracht. Was vielleicht nur wenige in 2020 sehen können, ist das Ausmaß dieser Krise. Was ist eine Zeitenwende? Eine Zeitenwende stellt einen Umbruch im historischen Geschehen dar.

These are the end times. We hear this sentiment in one way or another from various sources, from the fundamentalist preacher, to the scientist warning us of climate change. This is a time of economic uncertainty, political oppression, and cultural unraveling. Apocalypse, in the ancient world and today, is the experience of disconnection and of unraveling. It is when old gods are dying and the old stories no longer have meaning.

The rate of change is accelerating, the future is increasingly unpredictable, and we're overwhelmed with mind-boggling complexity. We have less and less time to think, less and less time to get in sync with what's happening. We cannot trust conventional wisdom to guide us. We must resolve many long-standing paradoxes between long or short-term thinking, expedient or ethical choices, the individual or the collective. We must be prepared for whatever emerges.

Future Imperfect describes and discusses technological revolutions that might happen over the next few decades, their implications, and how to deal with them. Topics range from encryption and surveillance through biotechnology and nanotechnology to life extension, mind drugs, virtual reality, and artificial intelligence. One theme of the book is that the future is radically uncertain.