Bayley has not appeared on WWE television since losing to Lyra Valkyria at Saturday Night's Main Event on July 18 at Madison Square Garden, and with her WWE contract reported to be expiring, speculation about a WWE exit and a possible AEW jump has followed her all summer. In the latest Wrestling Observer Newsletter, Dave Meltzer reports that WWE's continued on-air references to Bayley — including Lyra Valkyria bringing her up on RAW in segments with Sol Ruca and IYO SKY — "pretty much says that they believe it's a lock she will sign a new deal." In this video we break down the Bayley contract situation in full: the timeline of her absence, every on-air mention that has kept her tied to the Lyra Valkyria storyline, why a company writing someone off television would stop saying that person's name, what the AEW and Mercedes Moné speculation is actually built on, and the strongest counterargument that WWE could simply be protecting a storyline either way. Our position is straightforward: Bayley re-signs with WWE. Nothing has been officially confirmed, Bayley has not spoken publicly, and everything reported here is separated between confirmed facts and reporting. WWE news, Bayley contract, Dave Meltzer, Wrestling Observer Newsletter, Lyra Valkyria, IYO SKY, Sol Ruca, WWE RAW, AEW free agency.