The Aussie property market is slowing, and most of us are wondering what happens next. New Zealand's already been through this same cycle, so we've had a real preview of how it plays out. They hiked rates before us. Their property fell before ours. Almost five years on, prices are still 15% below peak. Today Nick takes us through what actually happened across the ditch and what it means for anyone thinking about buying or already holding property here.

On this episode, we discuss:

(00:00) Intro
(01:17) Comparing Australia to New Zealand's property
(01:36) New Zealand is 6 months ahead of us
(04:43) NZ's lending controls vs Australia's tax approach
(06:18) How far New Zealand property fell
(06:35) Auckland and Wellington's steepest drops
(07:00) Mortgage arrears and negative equity in NZ
(09:01) How the first home buyer window opened
(09:22) First home buyer share of new mortgages
(09:59) Why New Zealand's recovery is still slow
(11:23) Nick's advice for Aussie first home buyers
(14:13) When Australian property might turn around
(18:36) How Australia has more support than NZ did
(20:38) 47,000 Kiwis moved to Australia in 2025

Check out the free resources from Inovayt here.

Send us an email: hello@thenumbersgamepodcast.com.au

The Numbers Game is brought to you by Future Advisory & Inovayt.

Hosts:
Nick Reilly
Jason Robinson

This podcast is produced by VIDPOD.

Check out our new website thenumbersgamepodcast.com.au. Browse the full show catalogue, jump straight to specific moments on the topics you love, or leave us a voice note.

Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.