• Interest Rates are not high- they’re NORMAL
    2026/10/10

    Episode 536

    00:00 Introduction

    01:45 – Market Resiliency & Normalizing Rates

    04:15 – Historical Rate Regimes (Post-WWII to 1970s)

    07:30 – The Natural Rate Benchmark & Nominal GDP

    10:00 – Economic Benefits of Higher Interest Rates

    12:15 – The “333 Plan” & Rate Outlook

    15:00 – Market Adaptation & Shift in White-Collar Jobs

    17:45 – Debunking the “Bond Vigilantes” & Global Yields

    21:30 – Oil Price Disruption & Refuting Stagflation

    24:45 – Personal Action Strategy

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    25 分
  • Stock Market: Party like it’s 2017-GARDEN PARTY
    2026/10/06

    Episode 535

    00:00 Introduction

    02:09 2017 comparison to today’s market

    04:03 Planting a Garden Portfolio

    06:32 Netflix Potential

    07:23 Canadian Pacific Kansas City

    08:08 Utility Stocks

    09:04 Nucor

    09:59 Texas Instrument & Intuitive Surgical

    10:59 Growth Adjusted Value Stocks

    14:56 AAII investor sentiment survey

    20:21 Investor Sentiment is bearish but Cash Reserves are low

    22:30 Deregulation

    24:26 Broadening Market Equal Weight

    26:47 2018 downturn

    27:56 Data Center Hate

    28:46 Government Debt versus Government Assets

    30:20 Interest rates and diesel aren’t the only record highs

    31:19 Reindustrializing USA

    32:28 Nuclear deregulation

    33:59 Natural Gas bridge to Nuclear energy

    34:58 Midterms are meaningless to long term stock market performance

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    38 分
  • AI CEO gaslighting: flatten the curve & wear a mask
    2026/09/14

    Episode 534

    00:00 Introduction

    00:13 AI Fearmongering

    02:30 Regulatory capture Big AI wants to write the legislation

    04:02 SaaS is Back

    04:28 AI pandemic type fearmongering: flatten the curve & wear a mask

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    6 分
  • HORMUZ chokepoint: Tech Stocks still outperform
    2026/09/08

    Episode 533

    POST PUBLICATION CORRECTION: A sorting error in our source spreadsheet jumbled several data columns (John’s fault), so the numbers Joe states are inaccurate. While our overall analysis and takeaways remain completely spot-on, please disregard the individual figures mentioned.

    00:00 Introduction

    00:36 Tom Selleck shirt

    01:39 Correlation is not Causation Follow up

    05:00 News Headline Fears

    06:30 S&P 500

    08:43 NASDAQ

    11:06 Technology Stocks

    19:26 Copper Mines

    20:10 Railroads

    22:09 Heavy Equipment

    24:28 Aerospace

    25:27 SAAS

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    31 分
  • Don’t be FOOLED: Correlation is Not Causation
    2026/08/21

    Episode 532

    00:00 Introduction

    00:20 Correlation is Causation Illusion

    03:15 Correlation is not Causation Story

    09:15 Market Assessment

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    10 分
  • AI Infrastructure Stocks & NOT
    2026/08/17

    Episode 531

    00:00 Introduction

    02:15 $APH

    03:49 $DELL

    04:37 $CIEN

    05:51 $COHR & $LITE

    06:29 $GLW

    07:13 $CSCO

    08:00 $FLEX & $JBL

    09:05 $NDSN

    10:14 $RAL

    11:08 $ROK & $HON

    12:15 $ZBRA

    13:23 $GSAT

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    15 分
  • Another S&P 500 record high that Ray Dalio hates
    2026/08/05

    Episode 530

    00:00 Introduction

    00:19 S&P 500 is at record high

    01:18 Inflation and Fed rate hike

    06:20 Stagflation not a problem for USA

    06:50 Disruption of Strait of Hormuz

    08:28 AI Bubble and Circular investing

    13:57 Extreme daily stock price volatility

    17:36 Sold Anheuser Busch InBev $BUD

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    21 分
  • Chinese Tech panic selloff & other unfounded fears
    2026/07/28

    Episode 529

    00:00 Introduction

    00:48 Chinese Technology Threat

    04:47 Lower Tech cost means more use cases: Technology lowers incremental cost

    07:00 Technology is becoming a Utility

    11:20 Is this a Tech Bear Market?

    17:57 DotCom Bubble 2.0?

    21:14 Nvidia has better valuation than Costco & Walmart and most of &P 500

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    24 分