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  • Market Close: Alphabet Crashes, ServiceNow's Worst Day Ever, and ADT Soars on a Buyout
    2026/10/29

    Thursday, October 29, 2026 Market Close: S&P 500 -0.5%, Nasdaq -1.5%, Dow -0.4%, Russell 2000 +0.7%. Alphabet (GOOGL) -12.6% on a revenue miss, slowing search growth, record $51.4B capex and -$9.1B free cash flow; Microsoft Azure +48% with $18.6B free cash flow. Top riser: ADT +33.2% on Thrive Holdings' $10/share take-private ($15.3B enterprise value). Top faller: ServiceNow -27.0%, its worst day on record. Hottest stock: DoorDash's $17B Instacart acquisition at $65/share alongside record Q3 results. Educational content, not financial advice. Follow The Trade Thesis everywhere: YouTube @TheTradeThesis365, Instagram @thetradethesis365, X @TradeThesis365, LinkedIn linkedin.com/company/thetradethesis, Rumble TheTradeThesis.

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    25 分
  • Market Close: Fed Holds, Oracle Soars on $225B Bet, and F5 Crashes | The Trade Thesis Ep. 9
    2026/10/28

    Market Close — Wednesday, October 28, 2026. The Fed held rates at 3.75%–4.00% with dissents and no clear December signal: S&P 500 +0.2%, Nasdaq +0.1%, Dow +122 points (+0.2%). The 10-year yield rose to 5.024% and WTI crude climbed 2.8% to $102.72.Top riser: Vertiv (VRT) +13.9% — Q3 sales +61% to $4.31B, adjusted EPS $2.21, orders up over 100%, full-year guidance raised. Top faller: F5 (FFIV) -20.6% — a quarterly beat undone by slowing fiscal 2027 guidance and a downgrade. Hottest stock: Oracle (ORCL) +~12% after its Investor Day set a fiscal 2030 revenue target above $225 billion and capped additional capital raises at $20 billion through fiscal 2030.Ahead Thursday: Core PCE inflation and Q3 GDP, plus the market's verdict on Microsoft and Alphabet earnings and Amazon's report.Follow The Trade Thesis everywhere:• YouTube: @TheTradeThesis365• Instagram: @thetradethesis365• X: @TradeThesis365• LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/thetradethesis• Rumble: TheTradeThesis• Podcast: "The Trade Thesis" on Spotify & Apple PodcastsEducational content, not financial advice.

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    25 分
  • Balance Sheet Red Flags: How to Spot Trouble Before It Hits the Price — Deep Dive
    2026/10/28

    The income statement can flatter a company for quarters. The balance sheet tells the truth sooner. Alex and Jordan walk line by line through the red flags — disappearing cash, receivables growing far faster than revenue (days sales outstanding exploding from 48 to 122 days), inventory piling up, a current ratio slipping below 1, interest coverage falling under 1x, goodwill stuffing, and equity shrinking under debt-funded buybacks — using the fictional BrightPath Home Goods, contrasted with the healthy fictional CedarWorks Tools, and ending with a 10-minute balance-sheet checklist you can use on any company. All companies and numbers are fictional and illustrative. Educational content, not financial advice.


    Follow The Trade Thesis everywhere:

    • YouTube: @TheTradeThesis365

    • Instagram: @thetradethesis365

    • X: @TradeThesis365

    • LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/thetradethesis

    • Rumble: TheTradeThesis

    • Podcast: "The Trade Thesis" on Spotify & Apple Podcasts

    Educational content, not financial advice.

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    21 分
  • Market Close: Chips Surge on $63B Anthropic Deal, Celestica Blows Out, and Boeing Crashes
    2026/10/28

    Market Close — Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Chips led a Nasdaq rally as oil eased ahead of the Fed decision: S&P 500 +0.6% to 7,722.05, Nasdaq +1.1% to 26,447.40, Dow flat ~52,362.Broadcom (AVGO) +~4% on the $63B Anthropic XPU financing deal (BofA/Citi/Morgan Stanley/Blackstone). Top riser: Enovix (ENVX) +25%; Herc Holdings (HRI) +22.8% on an EPS beat ($3.91 vs $2.92 est). Top fallers: Clearwater Paper (CLW) -31.6%, Xylem (XYL) -14.2% on a guidance cut, Boeing (BA) -10.7% on a double miss. Hottest stock: Celestica (CLS) +12.1% — Q3 revenue +83% to $5.83B, 2027 guide $40B. Ahead: Fed decision + Alphabet/Microsoft Wednesday.Follow The Trade Thesis everywhere:• YouTube: @TheTradeThesis365• Instagram: @thetradethesis365• X: @TradeThesis365• LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/thetradethesis• Rumble: TheTradeThesis• Podcast: "The Trade Thesis" on Spotify & Apple PodcastsEducational content, not financial advice.

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    23 分
  • Market Close: Anthropic Files to Go Public, Brazil Stocks Crater, and Surgery Partners Soars
    2026/10/26

    Market Close — Monday, October 26, 2026. Stocks rebounded to start a huge week: S&P 500 +0.70% to 7,676.78, Nasdaq Composite +0.82% to 26,169.38, Dow +0.28% to 52,361.58.Anthropic filed for its IPO (ticker ANT) with H1 revenue up 1,304% — lifting Nvidia, Cisco, Arm and the AI supply chain. Tesla surged 6%+ on a Barclays upgrade. Top riser: Surgery Partners (SGRY) +46% on a $5.7B cash takeover at $23.50/share. Top faller: XP Inc. (XP) -48.4% as Brazilian stocks cratered after Lula's surprise runoff win (EWZ ~-25%, PagSeguro -25.2%, MercadoLibre -7.8%). Ahead: Fed decision Wednesday, Alphabet/Microsoft Wednesday, Amazon Thursday.Follow The Trade Thesis everywhere:• YouTube: @TheTradeThesis365• Instagram: @thetradethesis365• X: @TradeThesis365• LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/thetradethesis• Rumble: TheTradeThesis• Podcast: "The Trade Thesis" on Spotify & Apple PodcastsEducational content, not financial advice.

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    22 分
  • Risk Management and Position Sizing: How Much Should You Risk on One Idea? — Deep Dive
    2026/10/26

    Alex and Jordan explain risk management and position sizing: invested vs at-risk, the one-percent risk-budget rule, a full worked fictional example (Northwind Solar — entry, invalidation, risk per share, and exact share count), drawdown maths (why losing 50% needs +100% to recover), correlation and hidden concentration, cash as a position, Kelly caution, and a six-step pre-trade sizing checklist. Educational content only, fictional companies, not financial advice.Follow The Trade Thesis everywhere:• YouTube: @TheTradeThesis365• Instagram: @thetradethesis365• X: @TradeThesis365• LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/thetradethesis• Rumble: TheTradeThesis• Podcast: "The Trade Thesis" on Spotify & Apple PodcastsEducational content, not financial advice.

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    21 分
  • What Is a Stock Really Worth? P/E, DCF, and Multiples Explained — Deep Dive
    2026/10/25

    Alex and Jordan explain what a stock is really worth: price vs value, the price-to-earnings ratio and earnings yield, trailing vs forward earnings, peer comparisons, the PEG ratio, price-to-sales, EV to EBITDA and price-to-book — plus a full discounted cash flow (DCF) walkthrough with fictional worked examples Blue Harbor Coffee and Cedar Ridge Outfitters, sensitivity, margin of safety, and a five-step valuation routine. Educational content only, fictional companies, not financial advice. Follow The Trade Thesis everywhere: YouTube: @TheTradeThesis365, Instagram: @thetradethesis365, X: @TradeThesis365, LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/thetradethesis, Rumble: TheTradeThesis, Podcast: "The Trade Thesis" on Spotify & Apple Podcasts.

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    21 分
  • How to Read an Earnings Report Like a Pro — Deep Dive
    2026/10/24

    Alex and Jordan teach how to read an earnings report like a professional: the five parts of a report, why stocks can fall on a beat and rise on a miss, GAAP vs adjusted earnings, margins, cash flow vs profit, segment detail, guidance and the conference call — plus a red-flag checklist and a five-minute earnings routine. Worked fictional example: Lakeside Robotics (a made-up company). Educational content only, not financial advice.Follow The Trade Thesis everywhere:• YouTube: @TheTradeThesis365• Instagram: @thetradethesis365• X: @TradeThesis365• LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/thetradethesis• Rumble: TheTradeThesis• Podcast: "The Trade Thesis" on Spotify & Apple PodcastsEducational content, not financial advice.

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    21 分