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  • Cracks In The US Labor Market - What Next?

    Cracks In The US Labor Market - What Next?
    2025/09/06
    Alf and Brent discuss the recent NFP print and its implications for markets. They also reflect on the right framework to apply to RSI and options when dealing with asset classes having skewed return distributions. To contact Alf and Brent, send a Bloomberg IB to Brent Donnelly and Alfonso Peccatiello
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    33 分
  • The Truth Behind Fiscal Dominance

    The Truth Behind Fiscal Dominance
    2025/08/29
    Alf and Brent discuss the latest attempt from Trump to gain more control over the Fed, and the implications this might have on multiple asset classes. They also discuss the JPY and the political situation in France.
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    29 分
  • Run It Hot Hot Hot

    Run It Hot Hot Hot
    2025/08/23
    Alf and Brent discuss the surprising Jackson Hole speech in which Powell opened up to interest rate cuts already in September. Markets are reacting strongly, but the real question is what should we expect if Trump runs the economy hot alongside a dovish Fed in 2026?
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    35 分
  • Is The Fed Ready To Capitulate Dovish?

    Is The Fed Ready To Capitulate Dovish?
    2025/08/08
    Alf and Brent discuss the weak labor market data and the likely Fed reaction function. The duo also reflects on how you might be right on the macro idea, but market pricing at inception of your trade matters sometimes more than whether you were directionally right or wrong.
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    34 分
  • The Tariff Mismatch Theory

    The Tariff Mismatch Theory
    2025/08/01
    Alf and Brent discuss the sharp USD repricing and the market positioning for a mild tariff impact on the US economy - what if we get a surprising slowdown over the next few months instead?
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    32 分
  • Carry & Options In A Trump World

    Carry & Options In A Trump World
    2025/07/25
    Alf and Brent discuss the recent clashes between the Trump administration and the Fed, the more friendly deal-making stance on tariff deals, and how to use options when trying to capture convex moves and incorporate carry into your thinking.
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    37 分
  • Macro Crossroads: What's Next For Markets?

    Macro Crossroads: What's Next For Markets?
    2025/07/18
    Alf and Brent discuss the crossroads ahead of us for the economy and markets: the USD selling seems to have lost steam, and tariffs' impact on the economy won't be easy to judge for months. So, what lies ahead of us? To reach out to Alf and Brent, shoot an email at themacrotradingfloor@gmail.com
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    36 分
  • Time For The Fed To Turn Dovish?

    Time For The Fed To Turn Dovish?
    2025/06/13
    Alf and Brent discuss the recent soft CPI print and the state of the US labor market. They highlight the odds of a dovish Fed pivot, and what that might entail for markets. Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf-transcript-11jun25/
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    33 分