The Griff Report College Football Week 0
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Week 0
Matchup,Spread,Tickets,Money,Divergence,Read
North Carolina vs TCU,UNC +7.5,36%,13%,ñ23,Public UNC fade; bigger wagers on TCU. This game went 48-14 TCU last year, it'll be a good measuring stick as to how much this UNC team has improved. I would actually think it'll be interesting to see TCU without Hoover who was thought to be top qb in the portal. I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say the game in Ireland has had its upsets. I'll take the points with UNC here even though most of the media has them at 4-8 or worse with their predictions. I hear the D-coordinator might be out already but Belichik is a defensive mind, they get Petrino at OC and UNC +7.5 is my pick no pick on total from me.
San Jose State vs USC,SJSU +38.5,94%,41%,ñ53,Public dog hammer; sharps on USC, we see this one with a big spread and true its going to be a lot of blowouts this year with everyone wanting the big wins. While USC may score into the 50's here the public is hammering the under dog? Why? The name brand teams like USC have to have the spread given more adjustment because the goal is to level out the bets 50/50 on both sides so its interesting to see 94 percent on SJSU even with 41% of the money on them, meaning 6 percent of the tickets at 59 percent of the money on the Trojans. Honestly with USC already penciled in as the winner who really knows and as far as the percentages you can expect some aree hoping for a downward line move with all the numbers coming in on SJSU, either way its likely to see gameday public betting on the Trojans a lot. USC put up 34.7 last year they will likely need to put up 50 to cover this number. The question is how much can they dominate this SJSU Spartans? I pass on the big spread.
NC State vs Virginia,NCST +5.5,48%,64%,"'+16",Sharp NC State; aligns with early sharp signals from Cleatz. Last year 35-31 the Wolfpack came to Virginia and won making it 4 in a row for NC State in the matchup. I would say that is also why we see considerable action on NC State money line for the upset. I would be cautious as ever with the being opening game for a Virginia squad who expects to win after success winning the ACC last year. especially when you see VA favored when they have lost 4 in a row vs. NC. State. For State they return a qb in his 3 rd year who played and beat UVA last year give me NC State +5.5
Jacksonville State vs NDSU,JVST +6.5,48%,75%,"'+27",Strong sharp dog signal, Jacksonville St+6.5
Sacramento State vs Eastern Michigan,SAC +8.5,38%,64%,"'+26",Sharps on Sac State; public on EMU, I'll stick with my week 0 trend and take SAC +8.5
New Mexico State vs Florida State,NMSU +31.5,98%,16%,ñ82,Biggest public mismatch of Week 0; sharps on FSU. The fact that Norvell is back given the hot seat from last years performance leads me to believe that this may a better year for the Seminoles. Noles -31.5
Hawaiíi vs Stanford,HAW +6,39%,77%,"'+38",Heavy sharp dog action
Hawai'i +6
Memphis vs UNLV,MEM +6,57%,67%,"'+10",Mild sharp lean Memphis, You see Dan Mullens team favored here as they have the senior Qb and are left to have their way with the mountain west. Memphis brings half the team up from Southern Miss along with the coach so just because that worked in Indiana doesn't mean itll work everywhere. But Memphis has won 12 openers in a row, give me Memphis +6
Major Sharp Signals (Handle ? Tickets)
NC State +5.5 ó 64% money vs 48% tickets ? +16 divergence (sharp)
Jacksonville State +6.5 ó 75% money vs 48% tickets ? +27 divergence (sharp)
Hawaiíi +6 ó 77% money vs 39% tickets ? +38 divergence (sharp)
Pure Public Sides (Tickets ? Money)
UNC +7.5 ó 36% tickets vs 13% money ? ñ23 divergence (public fade)
San Jose State +38.5 ó 94% tickets vs 41% money ? ñ53 divergence (massive public dog)
Sacramento State +8.5 ó 38% tickets vs 64% money ? actually +26 divergence (sharp dog) ó public is on EMU, not Sac State.
Matchup,Total,Over Tickets,Over Handle,Over Divergence,Under Tickets,Under Handle,Under Divergence,Read
North Carolina vs TCU,63.5,71%,54%,"'-17",29%,46%,"'+17",Sharper Under
San Jose State vs USC,67.5,82%,49%,"'-33",18%,51%,"'+33",Heavy public Over; sharp Under
NC State vs Virginia,48.5,44%,38%,"'-6",56%,62%,"'+6",Mild sharp Under
Jacksonville State vs NDSU,45.5,52%,61%,"'+9",48%,39%,"'-9",Slight sharp Over
Sacramento State vs Eastern Michigan,51.5,63%,41%,"'-22",37%,59%,"'+22",Sharper Under
New Mexico State vs Florida State,55.5,76%,33%,"'-43",24%,67%,"'+43",Strong sharp Under
Hawaiíi vs Stanford,54.5,58%,72%,"'+14",42%,28%,"'-14",Sharp Over
Memphis vs UNLV,57.5,61%,48%,"'-13",39%,52%,"'+13",Slight sharp Under