The Estimate Is Not a Commitment: Why Deadlines Become Fictions Before the Work Even Starts

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The Estimate Is Not a Commitment: Why Deadlines Become Fictions Before the Work Even Starts

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Estimates are the quiet battleground of business-IT alignment. Business hears a number and turns it into a budget, a roadmap, a promise to the board. IT knows the number is a guess wrapped in assumptions about scope, dependencies, and unknowns. Then the guess hardens into a deadline, and everyone starts protecting themselves: buffers get hidden, scope gets squeezed, status reports soften reality. This episode explores why an estimate is not a commitment and why treating it as one is one of the most expensive mistakes organizations make. Mirko Peters breaks down how business and IT use the same word to mean different things, why single-point estimates are so dangerous, and how to separate the conversation about uncertainty from the conversation about commitment. He shares a generalized consulting example where one number derailed a program, and gives practical takeaways that help business leaders ask better questions and IT teams give more honest answers. The goal is not better estimates—it is better decisions under uncertainty.

Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/business-it-it-business--6867401/support.

To continue the conversation, follow Mirko Peters on LinkedIn, where more insights and real-world examples are shared from both business and IT perspectives.

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