Two years ago Ondas did $7 million in revenue, Shay says. Its revenue target for this year is $525 million to $550 million, and most of that is bought. Management spent the last 18 months buying businesses across counter drone, long endurance surveillance, precision strike, ground robotics, manufacturing and the software that ties them together. The share count went from about 106 million in March 2025 to about 571 million in August 2026.
Shay has owned Ondas for two years. Brad came to it with fresh eyes. They call it one of the more polarizing names in the retail community, and Shay says that is what makes the stock exciting and also difficult to underwrite. The question the episode keeps coming back to is whether this collection of businesses can operate as one company.
They get into how the counter drone business takes over a hostile drone and lands it, the rest of the product suite, why drone demand is rising now, what makes Ondas stand out, the competition from Axon, AeroVironment, Kratos and Anduril, and the risks, starting with dilution.
Shay added to his position the day they recorded, and he is bullish. He calls Ondas a story stock and the most speculative drone holding in his portfolio, a max 4% position that has to earn its way bigger. Brad's general view is neutral. He says so much needs to go right for them, and he likes that management raised its revenue target through the year. Shay closes by saying Ondas bought all the pieces it needs to, and now they just have to prove they built a company.
Tell the guys which stock deserves the next deep dive.
Watch the full episode with chapters on YouTube: https://youtu.be/3KNDvcvI5Ok
New episodes every Monday on The Deep End.
Nothing in this episode is investment advice. Shay discusses his own portfolio, and he owns Ondas, Kratos, Mercury and AeroVironment. Brad's general view is neutral.