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Smart Investing with Brent & Chase Wilsey

Smart Investing with Brent & Chase Wilsey

著者: Brent & Chase Wilsey
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Smart Investing is the radio show where Brent and Chase try to make investing easier to understand. They demonstrate long-term investment strategies to help you find good value investments.Brent & Chase Wilsey 個人ファイナンス 経済学
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  • September 12th, 2025 | Should members of Congress be allowed to trade stocks? Risks to Nvidia stock that you may not realize! Understanding AI and why it's becoming more expensive, 529 Withdrawal...
    2025/09/13

    Should members of Congress be allowed to trade stocks?

    I recently saw there was a bipartisan bill presented in the House that would ban lawmakers from trading individual stocks. I feel like we have been hearing about this for years, and according to NPR, “For more than a decade, a series of bills have been proposed to address such trades, but differences about the details and a lack of support from top congressional leaders stalled past reform efforts.” The question is, will this time be different? The bill made me curious though about how active congress was when it came to trading and let’s just say I couldn’t believe the numbers! In 2022 154 members of Congress made 14,752 trades, in 2023 118 members made 11,491 trades, in 2024 113 members made 9,261 trades, and through July of 2025 108 members made 7,810 trades. That is a crazy amount of activity and…


    There are risks to Nvidia stock that you may not realize!

    There is no denying what Nvidia has done has been extremely impressive, but one major problem with the company is the revenue is extremely concentrated. Their top customers made up 23% of total revenue in the recent quarter, which was up from 14% in the same quarter last year. Their second largest customer made up 16% of total revenue, which was up from 11% in the same quarter last year. Sales to four other customers contributed 14%, 11%,11%, and 10% of revenue respectively. This means that six customers accounted for 85% of Nvidia’s total sales. My concern is what if one of them drops out of the AI arms race or if a few of them pull back spending, that could really slow Nvidia’s business. I also believe that China is a risk to Nvidia. While sales have been hindered in the country due…


    Understanding more about AI and why it's becoming more expensive

    We are no expert on artificial intelligence, but we have learned that while AI has gotten smarter it has also gotten more expensive. It is now broken down into a unit of AI which is known as a token and while the price of tokens continues to drop, the number of tokens needed to accomplish a task is increasing dramatically. There are two basic attributes to AI, one is called training, and the other is AI inference. The increase in cost is coming from the training side that has to use large models and demands even more costly processing. AI applications are using so-called reasoning and new forms of AI double check queries on their answers, which may include scanning the entire Web. Sometimes they write their own programs to calculate things all before releasing an answer that may only be a short sentence. Delivering meaningful and better…


    Financial Planning: 529 Withdrawal Pitfalls

    A 529 plan is a tax-advantaged savings account designed to help families pay for education costs, with contributions growing tax-deferred and withdrawals tax-free when used for “qualified education expenses” such as college tuition, fees, books, and room and board. A qualified withdrawal avoids taxes and penalties, while a non-qualified withdrawal means the…


    Companies Discussed: Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU), Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) & DocuSign, Inc. (DOCU)

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    55 分
  • September 5th, 2025 | You Don’t Need Hot Tech Stocks To Get Great Returns, Weak Job Report Points To Fed Rate Cut, US Luxury Brands Are Destroying Europe’s Luxury Brands, Mortgage Rates Reach 2025 ...
    2025/09/06

    You don’t always need to pick the hot technology stocks to get great returns

    Investing is very emotional and it’s always nice to be part of the crowd and buy the hot stocks like Apple, Alphabet and Amazon, but they are not always the top performers. Sometimes your boring, undervalued companies can do very well. As an example, Apple over the years has performed nicely, but over the last five years the gain was 114%. Not a bad return, but if you held a boring company like Tractor Supply over the same five years, you would have a gain of 119%. Even an old insurance company like Allstate over the last five years was up 115%. Five years ago…


    Another weak job report likely solidifies a Fed rate cut

    August non-farm payrolls increased by just 22,000, which was well below the estimate of 75,000. This weak report also comes with another month of negative revisions as employment in June and July combined is 21,000 lower than previously reported. Healthcare and social assistance continued to lift the headline number as the sectors added 31k and 16k jobs respectively. Many other areas in the report actually saw declines with payrolls in construction falling 7,000, manufacturing declining 12,000, and professional and business services…


    Should you panic over the job opening data?

    The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed job openings fell to 7.18 million in the month of July. This was below the estimate of 7.4 million and also marked the lowest reading since September 2024. It was only the second time since the end of 2020 that job openings came in below 7.2 million. While this may sound troubling, I believe it just illustrates how crazy the labor market got after Covid. If we look at job openings before 2020, nearly 7.2 million openings would have been a great number. In 2016, job openings averaged 5.86 million; in 2017, job openings averaged 6.12 million; in 2018, job openings averaged 7.11 million; and in 2019, job openings averaged 7.15 million. So, while the headline may sound troubling, I still believe we could have job openings fall into the low 6 million range and it wouldn't be problematic, especially given the fact that unemployment remains extremely low. Even with that, I do believe the Fed will use this as further evidence of a softening labor market and that will give them the excuse to cut rates at the meeting this month. I'm still not convinced that is…


    American luxury brands are destroying Europe’s luxury brands

    It appears that European luxury brands like Gucci, Hermes and LVMH have increased their prices beyond what the average consumer is willing to pay. Currently, American consumers are spending the lowest share of discretionary income on luxury goods since 2019. The European luxury brands seem to have their heads in the clouds thinking American consumers would pay any price for a luxury purse from Europe. I think they have now discovered that the American consumer has reached their limit. Two luxury American brands have benefited from the ignorance of the European…


    Financial Planning: Mortgage rates reach 2025 low

    Mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest level of the year, reaching levels not seen since last October. Throughout 2025, 30-year mortgage rates have fluctuated between 6.5% and 7%, and as of Friday, September 5, they dipped as low as 6.29%. While this presents an opportunity for buyers and homeowners considering a refinance, caution is warranted. Rates are still likely to experience volatility even as the broader declining trend continues over the next several years. In 2024, mortgage rates actually rose at year-end despite the Federal Reserve implementing three rate cuts. In 2025, it is widely expected that the Fed will cut…


    Companies Discussed: The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY), Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) & Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

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    56 分
  • August 29th, 2025 | Another warning on private investments, Will tariffs hurt this holiday season? Should you work in retirement? The challenge of creating retirement income, Cracker Barrel...
    2025/08/30

    Yet another warning on private investments!

    I remember hearing about a company by the name of Yieldstreet a few years ago and how it was a new way for smaller investors to get access to private investments and diversify away from stocks. The company promoted their platform with the tagline, “Invest like the 1%.” Unfortunately, it is now coming out that several investors may have lost everything they invested in the platform. One gentleman shared with CNBC how he invested $400,000 in two real estate projects: A luxury apartment building in downtown Nashville overseen by former WeWork CEO Adam Neumann’s family office, and a three-building renovation in the Chelsea neighborhood of New York. Each project had targeted annual returns of around 20%. After three years, Yieldstreet declared the Nashville project a total loss, which wiped out $300k of his funds and the Chelsea deal needs to raise fresh capital or it will face a similar fate. Unfortunately, he is not alone and CNBC reviewed documents that show investors put more than $370 million into 30 real estate projects that have already recognized $78 million in…


    Will tariffs hurt this holiday season?

    Here we are already at the end of August and before you know it, you’ll be thinking about putting out the Christmas lights and decorating your home. For the past few years, we have seen growth in holiday sales, but this year could be different as it appears from recent conference calls from CEOs at Walmart, Home Depot and Target that they are seeing the tariff increases starting to come through. During his recent conference call, the CEO of Walmart, Doug McMillon, said that the impact of tariffs has been gradually…


    Should you work in retirement?

    When many people are in their working years, they can’t wait to retire so they can do what they want to do. For some people that retirement works out well, but science has shown that there’s health benefits to working in retirement along with financial benefits. The health benefits would include more physical activity as you’re not laying around the house or sitting in the rocking chair on the front porch. Instead, you’re moving around walking places and staying active. Working also helps you stay connected with other people, which has been proven to extend your life. The financial benefits from working in your later years would include taking out less from your retirement accounts to maintain a good lifestyle. Also, you can hold off on Social Security which means you’d get a larger Social Security check when you do decide to collect. The type of work you do depend on you and some people in retirement have started a second…


    Financial Planning: The challenge of creating retirement income

    For decades, American workers relied on pensions, but today retirement security largely depends on defined contribution plans like the 401(k), where the burden has shifted to the individual saver. The real challenge comes when it is time to turn a pile of assets into a reliable, inflation-adjusted income stream that can last 20–30 years. Some retirees look to CDs and Treasury bills, which are guaranteed and currently pay about 4% interest, but they offer no appreciation to offset inflation and yields will likely decline as short-term rates drop. Corporate bonds may provide a slightly higher return, but…


    Companies Discussed: Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL), Zoom Communications Inc. (ZM), Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) & Viking Holdings LTD. (VIK)

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    56 分
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