RK#456 The Biggest Multifamily Underwriting Mistakes in 2026
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This episode explains why multifamily deals often fail due to bad assumptions, then breaks down five underwriting mistakes to avoid in 2026: assuming aggressive rent growth based on “market rent” instead of achievable rent and submarket comps; ignoring incoming new supply and the 24–36 month delivery pipeline; underwriting expenses too low by relying on seller numbers instead of normalized taxes, insurance, repairs, utilities, payroll, management, and turnover (showing how a $150K NOI miss can erase about $2.5M of value at a 6% cap); using too much leverage and not stress-testing refinancing risk as rates and maturities (13% of balances in 2026) impact DSCR, LTV, valuation, and proceeds; and relying on overly optimistic exit cap rates instead of running best, downside, and stress cases.
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