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Propenomix with Adam Lawrence

著者: Adam Lawrence
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  • The UK's Premier Property, Business, Markets & Economics Podcast. With your hosts: Adam Lawrence and Jay Howard. Expert Resident Guests: - Helen Chorley - Piotr Rusinek
    2022
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The UK's Premier Property, Business, Markets & Economics Podcast. With your hosts: Adam Lawrence and Jay Howard. Expert Resident Guests: - Helen Chorley - Piotr Rusinek
2022
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  • Supplement 04 May 25 - Go or no go
    2025/05/05

    ****PLEASE SHARE AND HELP TO SPREAD THE WORD OF PROPENOMIX****

    This week in the ONLY agenda-free UK Property and Macroeconomic roundup:


    The deep dive looks at MHCLG figures on statutory homelessness duties, a Shelter report on trends in temporary accommodation, and Savills publication this week on the Housing Challenge as they prefer to call it!

    We also have, in the Macro section:

    The Nationwide House Price Index for April

    The Bank of England Money and Credit Report for “Stamp month”

    A precis of the local election results and what a Reform government would look like

    And the gilts and swaps rounding things off

    The deep dive this week looks at the reality of the situation in temporary accommodation, from both the official data and also a Shelter report on where it is going - which I must say, to me, looks to have a fairly conservative set of forecasts in it, particularly as new build delivery is still going down before it goes up.

    On that subject, Savills’ detailed forecast on the next 5 years of housing delivery makes very interesting reading, and summarises the salient points in the sector and around the 1.5m homes target very succinctly indeed.

    Enjoy

    Workshop tickets: http://bit.ly/pbwseven

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    53 分
  • Supplement 09 Mar 25 - Tension
    2025/03/26

    ****PLEASE SHARE AND HELP TO SPREAD THE WORD OF PROPENOMIX****

    This week in the ONLY agenda-free UK Property and Macroeconomic roundup:


    The deep dive looks at a couple more reports - The Home Builders’ Federation Q4 pipeline report, and UK Finance’s report on Household Finances from Q4, both published this week.

    We also have, in the Macro section:

    The Halifax House Price Index

    The Bank of England Money and Credit Report - with something to watch out for and be aware of

    The final PMIs for February

    The gilts and swaps - bringing up the rear as always, with some extra commentary around what the Bank of England committee members have been doing and saying this week

    And in the deep dive......

    The Home Builders Federation have the most marginal piece of good news - but planning permission is, of course, only the first piece of the jigsaw.

    UK Finance is similarly somewhat positive - but, the story is the same really. We are coming back from a tough position in general….2023 was a tough old year and 2024 was a year of relatively slow repair, basically!

    What you know at the end is - as ever-present, we will be Keeping Calm and Carrying On throughout 2025 - we SPRING towards the stamp duty deadline and the reintroduction of the 2% band - we need to Keep Calm and Carry On. 3 weeks until the Spring Statement!

    Enjoy

    Workshop tickets: bit.ly/pbw6

    Deal-finding course: bit.ly/sourcingsolved2025

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    28 分
  • Supplement 02 Mar 25 - Meaningful PRS Research!
    2025/03/04

    ****PLEASE SHARE AND HELP TO SPREAD THE WORD OF PROPENOMIX****

    This week in the ONLY agenda-free UK Property and Macroeconomic roundup:


    The deep dive looks at a couple more reports - Zoopla’s efforts for the month which get into flats and houses, and the differences - and I attempt to add some depth, and then a great report from the Nationwide Foundation about the Private Rental Sector - the best I’ve read, bar none.

    We also have, in the Macro section:

    The Nationwide House Price Index

    Confidence - and the return of it, or a couple of green shoots anyway

    The ONS Private Rents and House Prices report

    The gilts and swaps - bringing up the rear as always, with reasonable news.

    And in the deep dive......

    Zoopla’s report on pricing for January that was released in February contains some revelations about the price of flats and how much cheaper they are than houses. We are heading to a world where a house is twice the price of a flat. However - I ask the questions to take it to the next level of detail - are flats much less attractive, comparatively, than they were? As investment propositions, I primarily mean……before you even start on cladding, fire, rocketing service charges…….you get the picture.

    Then the Nationwide Foundation, and their report on “Systemic change” in the PRS - this report asks so many important questions, and whilst I critique with the red pen as usual, I’m full of praise for those even asking these questions. Real progress from an organisation without an agenda, that’s well funded - heartwarming to say the least.

    What you know at the end is - as ever-present, we will be Keeping Calm and Carrying On throughout 2025 - we SPRING towards the stamp duty deadline and the reintroduction of the 2% band - we need to Keep Calm and Carry On (and for our conveyancers to get on with it, if we are buying anything right now!)

    Enjoy

    Workshop tickets: bit.ly/pbw6

    Deal-finding course: bit.ly/sourcingsolved2025

    続きを読む 一部表示
    57 分

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