The evening slate is tightening up as we look to capitalize on situational spots in the NHL and NBA. We are breaking down late-night value plays on the Lightning and Cavaliers as fatigue factors and backup goalie starts shake up the prediction markets.

In this episode, we recap a high-conviction morning featuring dominant wins for Kentucky and the Sabres, then dive into the 7:00 PM Eastern locks. We analyze why the Cavaliers remain the alpha play against a shorthanded Magic squad and whether the Lightning can hold their value on the second half of a road back-to-back.

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Contact: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
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Dive into the late-breaking night slate as we analyze sharp money movements on Polymarket and Kalshi. This episode breaks down the massive usage vacuum in Utah following injury reports and why situational fatigue is the key to the total in Orlando.

• Analysis of Keyonte George player props in the absence of Lauri Markkanen.
• Deep dive into the Cavaliers and Magic total and the impact of missing offensive creators.
• Recap of the morning portfolio including results from the NHL and NCAAB slates.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Contact: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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Host Alex Mercer and lead analyst Marcus Webb dive into a massive Saturday slate using Polymarket data to track where the sharp money is moving. This episode focuses on the efficiency gaps in college basketball, starting with Kentucky’s offensive juggernaut at Rupp Arena and a fascinating double-play on the low-pace grind between Maryland and Michigan State.

Switching to the ice, the team analyzes the goalie-driven value in the Sabres vs. Islanders matchup before wrapping up with a high-conviction 'Dog of the Day' in the ASUN. Learn how to identify market inflation and why low-possession games create massive opportunities for underdogs.

For feedback, contact: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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Tonight’s board is moving fast following major injury confirmations for Nikola Jokic and the Celtics' core. We break down the latest Polymarket data to find the best value on a packed Friday night of NBA and NHL action, including a high-conviction double-down on OKC and a deep-value Dog of the Day in Memphis.

Inside the Portfolio:

• Double Down: Thunder vs. Pacers market shift.
• Injury Impact: Fading the Nuggets without Jokic and the Celtics' adjusted usage.
• NHL Slate: Positions on the Knights, Leafs, and Flames.

feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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Join Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb as they break down today's biggest movements in the prediction markets, focusing on a heavy Friday slate across the NBA and NHL. From Detroit's defensive surge to the high-paced shootout expected in Atlanta, we analyze where the value lies before the markets shift.

We dive into the data behind the Pistons' spread, the Thunder's historic net rating, and why the Flames are our Dog of the Day against the Capitals. Get the latest insights on totals and spreads using real-time Polymarket data to stay ahead of the game.

For feedback, contact us at feedback@predictionmarketshq.com.

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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Alex Mercer and Marcus Webb breakdown a high-volume week of prediction market trading, analyzing the "Rim Protection Vacuum" and "Low-Event Margin Stabilization" theories. Discover how Toronto dismantled Golden State and why conviction calibration is the key to closing the alpha gap.

In this episode, we grade the portfolio's 14-10 record, review the missed exit opportunities in the Lakers vs. Nuggets total, and explain why high-end goaltending in the Red Wings vs. Wild matchup created a mathematically guaranteed settlement. We're refining the algorithm to stop "playing not to lose" and start pricing conviction accurately.

Contact: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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Tonight we break down high-conviction positions across a massive NBA and NHL slate, including a 'Dog of the Day' play in Portland. We analyze the latest Polymarket data to find value in moving lines for the Heat, Oilers, and 76ers.

• NBA Analysis: Joel Embiid under 24.5 point totals and the Heat Moneyline value against the Blazers.
• NHL Analysis: A deep dive into the Oilers vs. Penguins double-down and Hurricanes puck line dominance.
• Market Updates: Late-breaking conviction holds on Anthony Edwards and Jonas Valančiūnas player props.

Feedback: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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Dive into the high-stakes world of sports prediction as we analyze sharp movements for tonight’s NBA and NHL slate. From Anthony Edwards’ scoring regression to an injury-stricken Wild roster, we find the mispriced probability you need.

In this episode, we cover:

• NBA Totals: Why Jonas Valančiūnas and Anthony Edwards are prime targets for the Under based on workload and pace.
• NHL Puck Lines: Leveraging elite goaltending edges for the Jets and fatigue factors for the Penguins against the high-possession Oilers.
• Dog of the Day: A deep dive into why the Red Wings are undervalued against a depleted Minnesota squad missing five key starters.

Follow along with real-time Polymarket data as we track liquidity and volume across the board. For questions or feedback, contact: feedback@predictionmarketshq.com

Opinions expressed are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

"Jerry Five" Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com)
Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 4.0 License
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Read Transcript