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Monetary vs fiscal policy: Dancing under the r-stars

Monetary vs fiscal policy: Dancing under the r-stars

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 Should central banks like the Federal Reserve consider and adapt to fiscal policy – directly, indirectly, preemptively, or belatedly?Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian (HANK) advanced modelsLarge fiscal deficits in unstable economies (Turkey '90s/'00s; Mexico '94; Russia '98; Brazil '99; Argentina '01)Large fiscal deficits in stable economies (wealth effect vs inflation expectations vs monetary counterbalance)Central bank response impacts (preemptive vs coincident vs lagging)Loose fiscal vs tight monetary policy (Reagan/Volcker '80s)Central bank independence vs fiscal reaction functionThis podcast is Al-generated with NotebookLM, using the following sources, research, and analysis:Difficulties in Modeling Interest Rates (Fray, 2008.12)Economics-Watching: Neutral Interest Rates and the Monetary Policy Stance (Horn/Zaman, 2025.09)The Effect of Monetary Policy Assumptions on Fiscal and Macroeconomic Analysis (Tedeschi/Ricco, 2024.07)Fed Delivers Dovish Shift, Restarts Rate-Cutting Cycle (PIMCO, 2025.09)Fiscal policy and inflation expectations (Mello, 2021.03)Inflation Scares and Forecast-Based Monetary Policy (Williams, 2003.07)Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policies: Why Central Bankers Worry About Government Budgets (Hilbers, 2005.01)International Macroeconomics: From the Great Financial Crisis to COVID-19, and Beyond (Gourinchas, 2022.08)Interview: The Yellen View (Yellen, 2005)Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest (NY Fed)Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions for Central Bankers (Leeper, 2023.02)Navigating by Falling Stars: Monetary Policy with Fiscally Driven Natural Rates (Campos/Fernandez-Villaverde/Nuño/Paz, (2025.06)New Evidence on the Interest Rate Effects of Budget Deficits and Debt (Laubach, 2003.12)A Taylor Rule for Fiscal Policy (Kendricka/Ammanb, 2011.01)Underlying Trends in the U.S. Neutral Interest Rate (Carvalho/Ferrero/Mazin/Nechio, 2025.04)What is the difference between monetary policy and fiscal policy, and how are they related? (Federal Reserve FAQs, 2024.07)# economics econometrics r* r-star equilibrium policy rates Taylor Rule Laubach-Williams (LW) Holston-Laubach-Williams (HLW) Zaman Model Vasicek Interest Rate Model
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