『Micron Technology Q4 2026 Earnings Analysis』のカバーアート

Micron Technology Q4 2026 Earnings Analysis

Micron Technology Q4 2026 Earnings Analysis

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WELCOME TO BETA FINCH, your AI-powered earnings breakdown.

ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown, where we take the numbers and the noise from the latest earnings calls and turn them into something you can actually use. I'm Alex, joined as always by Jordan.

JORDAN: Hey everyone. And we've got a big one today.

ALEX: Before we get into it — this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

JORDAN: With that out of the way, let's talk Micron. Fiscal Q4 2026, and Alex, I don't think "exceptional" even covers it.

ALEX: It really doesn't. Let's start with the full-year picture because it sets the stage. Fiscal 2026 revenue came in at $133.2 billion, up 256% year-over-year. Data center revenue alone was up fourfold. And get this — Micron's DRAM revenue by itself topped $100 billion for the year.

JORDAN: $100 billion from one product category. That's a company-sized number for most chipmakers.

ALEX: Right. And the margins tell the same story. Gross margin expanded to 81.1% for the year, a 40-point jump from fiscal 2025. EPS was up 811% to $75.52.

JORDAN: Eight hundred and eleven percent. Let's zoom into the quarter itself, because Q4 alone was a record-breaker. $54.2 billion in revenue, up 31% sequentially, up 379% year-over-year. That's their sixth straight quarterly revenue record.

ALEX: DRAM revenue hit $39.8 billion, 73% of total revenue, with prices up in the high teens percentage range. NAND revenue was $14.1 billion, up 526% year-over-year, with prices up around 30%. Consolidated gross margin for the quarter: 87%.

JORDAN: And every single business unit posted a record. Cloud Memory at $16.3 billion, Core Data Center at $18 billion with 90% gross margins — 90%, Alex — Mobile and Client at $13.1 billion, and Automotive and Embedded at $6.8 billion. There's genuinely no weak link here.

ALEX: So the obvious question is: what happens next? And CEO Sanjay Mehrotra didn't hedge at all. He said fiscal 2026 was outstanding, but fiscal 2027 is expected to be even better.

JORDAN: That's a bold thing to say after a year like that. But the reasoning is interesting — it's not just "AI demand is strong," it's that supply is structurally behind. Micron says they don't have line of sight to when memory supply and demand even return to balance. For calendar 2027 and 2028, both DRAM and NAND are expected to stay supply-constrained.

ALEX: And they're backing that up with something new to this cycle — strategic customer agreements, or SCAs. These are multi-year take-or-pay contracts. Micron now has 26 of them signed, representing over 35% of revenue through 2030, with customer cash deposits now at $32 billion.

JORDAN: That's the part I find most interesting, honestly. More than 75% of Micron's 2027 output is already committed — between SCA and non-SCA customers. That's a company that's basically pre-sold most of next year before it even starts.

ALEX: It also explains the CapEx story. Mark Murphy, the CFO, said they're increasing fiscal 2027 CapEx versus prior plans — first-half CapEx alone around $25 billion, with more in the back half. But the key detail is the mix: a lot of this is construction spending, not equipment, aimed at getting clean room space ready for late 2028 and beyond.

JORDAN: Which tells you this isn't a short-term chase of today's prices — they're building for a multi-year runway. On HBM specifically, Sanjay noted they've completed agreements for the vast majority of 2027 HBM bit supply, with significant price increases that are narrowing the margin gap versus conventional DRAM.

ALEX: Let's talk guidance, because it's just as striking. Fiscal Q1 revenue guide is $61.5 billion, plu

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