Iran: The Escalation Trap (Part 2)
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Peace between Iran, the U.S. and Israel or prelude to another chapter? Welcome to part 2 of "The Escalation Trap". As we reach a critical milestone in the war, it is time to step back and analyze what happened and what could happen in the new Mideast/Gulf landscape. What led to the crisis? Why is the ceasefire/MoU so fragile? How was the Strait of Hormuz transformed into such a critical point of leverage? What is the Escalation Trap, and why did the U.S. fall into it? How can we analyze the conflict within the context of the Escalation Trap? What do we need to understand about the illusion of air power? What are the escalation and de-escalation pathways? Furthermore, what are the geopolitical & economic consequences of this conflict over the short and long term? What should we expect in the next phase? We spoke to Prof. Robert Pape, the renowned political scientist & international security affairs expert, who developed the Escalation Trap framework, to gain a deeper understanding of the complexities of the conflict. Part 2 of 2.