『Confidence vs Calibration: Unpacking Kalshi, Polymarket, and the Regulatory Game』のカバーアート

Confidence vs Calibration: Unpacking Kalshi, Polymarket, and the Regulatory Game

Confidence vs Calibration: Unpacking Kalshi, Polymarket, and the Regulatory Game

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In this episode we dissect the difference between confidence and calibration in forecasting, trace how Kalshi’s regulated platform and Polymarket’s crypto‑based market evolved amid legal battles, and examine what these events teach us about probability, liquidity and regulation. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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