Can Maths Predict the Future?
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Can Maths Predict the Future?
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Can maths really predict the future?
We can predict the return of a comet decades in advance, but tomorrow's weather can still catch us completely by surprise. In this AfterMaths Summer Special, Jon and Becky explore why some futures are easier to calculate than others.
From probability, forecasts and projections to Halley’s Comet, the phantom planet Vulcan and Edward Lorenz's discovery of chaos theory, they ask how much mathematics can genuinely tell us about what happens next.
There's also the butterfly effect, an unexpectedly important rounding error, the difference between chaos and randomness — and the small problem that human beings refuse to behave like nice, predictable mathematical models.
Especially children.
So, can maths predict the future?
Sort of. Which is perhaps the most mathematically appropriate answer possible.