Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi already have history. Horiguchi beat him nearly a decade ago in RIZIN, and now Kape gets the rematch at a point where the winner can make a real argument for a title shot against Joshua Van. Kape has the speed, the power, and the confidence to capitalize on the matchup at this stage of his career. Horiguchi has the top-tier experience, the timing, and the athleticism that made the first fight go his way. So the question is simple: has Kape become too sharp for the old dog, or will Horiguchi make it 2-0 vs “Starboy” in this weekend’s main event.

Best bets, a sleeper fight you do not want to miss, and full main card picks for: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Martazali Magomedov, Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas, Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez, Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira, Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling, Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi, plus the recap of UFC Freedom 250: Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje.

Timestamps below:

Introduction: 0:00

UFC Freedom 250 Recap: 1:17

AJ's Sleeper of the Week: 11:10

Stats You Need to Know: 12:50

Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas: 14:15

Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira: 19:54

Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Martazali Magomedov: 25:53

Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez: 31:50

Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling: 37:39

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi: 42:14

Best Bets of the Week: 50:49

Prelim Pourover: 52:46

Derick and AJ bring you MMA analysis, UFC picks, and fight betting breakdowns every week. Bloody Water Podcast, in association with Fight Muse Media.

Ilia Topuria enters UFC Freedom 250 with the lightweight title, some of the cleanest hands in the sport, and a bitter rivalry waiting for him across the cage in interim champion Justin Gaethje. Can Topuria extend his run of dominance at 155, or is Gaethje the one to drag him into deep water?

Topuria vs. Gaethje headlines a loaded card with major stakes up and down the lineup. Alex Pereira meets Ciryl Gane for the interim heavyweight title, Mauricio Ruffy gets a massive spotlight against former title challenger Michael Chandler, and UFC Freedom 250 has the feel of one of the biggest fight nights of the year.

Best bets, a sleeper fight you do not want to miss, and full main card picks for: Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje, Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane, Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi, Josh Hokit vs Derrick Lewis, Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler, Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus, Diego Lopes vs Steve Garcia, plus the recap of UFC Vegas 118: Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim.

Timestamps below:

Introduction: 0:00

UFC Vegas 118 Recap: 1:15

Diego Lopes vs Steve Garcia: 6:38

Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus: 13:33

Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler: 18:00

Josh Hokit vs Derrick Lewis: 22:39

Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi: 29:28

Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane: 35:21

Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje: 41:34

Best Bets of the Week: 48:24

Derick and AJ bring you MMA analysis, UFC picks, and fight betting breakdowns every week. Bloody Water Podcast, in association with Fight Muse Media.

Former Welterweight champion Belal Muhammad is coming off of back-to-back losses for the first time in his career and now he’s matched up with a surging contender with only one loss in twenty career bouts. Gabriel Bonfim is no longer just a dangerous prospect with slick submissions and heavy hands. He is ranked, coming off 4 straight wins, and getting a five-round main event against a former champion who has spent his career living in deep waters.

Belal brings the championship pedigree, pressure wrestling, and elite-level experience. Bonfim has the cleaner finishing threat, the confidence of a four-fight winning streak, and the chance to turn an Apex main event into a real argument for a title shot.

Best bets, a sleeper fight you do not want to miss, and full main card picks for: Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim, Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan, Fares Ziam vs Tom Nolan, Bryce Mitchell vs Santiago Luna, Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa, plus the recap of UFC Macau: Song vs Figueiredo.

Timestamps below:

Introduction: 0:00

UFC Macau Recap: 1:14

AJ's Sleeper of the Week: 4:55

Stats You Need to Know: 6:47

Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa: 11:00

Matt Schnell vs Alessandro Costa: 16:44

Bryce Mitchell vs Santiago Luna: 20:58

Fares Ziam vs Tom Nolan: 26:30

Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan: 33:06

Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim: 36:21

Best Bets of the Week: 43:29

Prelim Pourover: 47:23

Derick and AJ bring you MMA analysis, UFC picks, and fight betting breakdowns every week. Bloody Water Podcast, in association with Fight Muse Media.