Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi already have history. Horiguchi beat him nearly a decade ago in RIZIN, and now Kape gets the rematch at a point where the winner can make a real argument for a title shot against Joshua Van. Kape has the speed, the power, and the confidence to capitalize on the matchup at this stage of his career. Horiguchi has the top-tier experience, the timing, and the athleticism that made the first fight go his way. So the question is simple: has Kape become too sharp for the old dog, or will Horiguchi make it 2-0 vs “Starboy” in this weekend’s main event.

Best bets, a sleeper fight you do not want to miss, and full main card picks for: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Martazali Magomedov, Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas, Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez, Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira, Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling, Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi, plus the recap of UFC Freedom 250: Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje.

Timestamps below:

Introduction: 0:00

UFC Freedom 250 Recap: 1:17

AJ's Sleeper of the Week: 11:10

Stats You Need to Know: 12:50

Andre Lima vs Kevin Borjas: 14:15

Andre Fili vs Vinicius Oliveira: 19:54

Melsik Baghdasaryan vs Martazali Magomedov: 25:53

Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez: 31:50

Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling: 37:39

Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi: 42:14

Best Bets of the Week: 50:49

Prelim Pourover: 52:46

Derick and AJ bring you MMA analysis, UFC picks, and fight betting breakdowns every week. Bloody Water Podcast, in association with Fight Muse Media.