『Betting on Belief: What Kalshi and Polymarket Reveal About Human Psychology』のカバーアート

Betting on Belief: What Kalshi and Polymarket Reveal About Human Psychology

Betting on Belief: What Kalshi and Polymarket Reveal About Human Psychology

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Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket turn forecasts into tradable prices, offering a window into collective expectations. Through a behavioral economics lens, they also reveal how overconfidence, herd behavior, and emotional attachment shape decisions under uncertainty. Understanding these forces helps explain when the crowd becomes wise—and when it becomes confidently wrong.
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