What happens when economic volatility, tariff pressure, AI disruption, and shifting distributor behavior all collide in the same quarter?

In this episode, Kevin and Tom unpack a whirlwind week inside wholesale distribution, revealing how new data, emerging AI workflows, and tariff rulings are reshaping strategy across the channel.

Listeners gain a front-row view into the real conversations shaping 2025: revenue headwinds, inventory tightening, economic softening, distributor risk posture, and how AI agents are redefining customer-facing operations.

What You’ll Learn:

• Why distributors are tightening inventory positions heading into 2025, and what “flat inventories” actually signal about downstream demand.
• How upcoming tariff rulings and active lawsuits (like Costco’s) may reshape pricing models, contract structures, and channel profitability.
• Why AI agents from Amazon, Salesforce, and emerging tools will transform inside sales, service platforms, counter operations, and multi-branch workflows.
• How economic signals, PCE, sentiment scores, personal spending, and Fed pacing, will shape capital planning into mid-2025.
• The competitive gap forming between distributors who unify data vs. those still operating silo-based systems.

Episode Highlights:

03:11 – Why this past holiday week felt like a 3-week sprint for operators and sales teams
10:44 – Breaking down the PCE report, sentiment data, and the Fed’s rate-cut trajectory
18:26 – Are mortgage rates returning to the “fours”? A practical take on borrowing costs
27:15 – Mohamed El-Erian’s latest economic lens and why 2 percent inflation may be the wrong benchmark
40:02 – Flat U.S. inventory levels and what that means for 2025 distributor demand
53:19 – Costco’s bold lawsuit over tariffs, and whether refunds to consumers are even logistically possible
01:05:12 – Why Amazon’s new AI agents increase competitive pressure on distributors
01:17:50 – The rise of blueprint-driven AI takeoff tools (Home Depot, Lowe’s, and the coming B2B wave)

Tools, Frameworks & Strategies Mentioned:

• AI Agents for Distribution Ops (Amazon Connect, Salesforce Agentforce)
• Data Unification for AI Readiness (LeadSmart Platform + Data Cloud methodology)
• Synthetic Data for forecasting and demand simulation
• B2B Digital Takeoff Systems used by contractors and enterprise distributors
• Tariff Litigation Modeling driven by channel economics

Closing Insight:

“AI isn’t replacing distributors, AI is replacing the distributors who refuse to modernize.”
This episode makes one message clear: the teams who unify their data, modernize their workflows, and embrace AI-assisted operations will define the next decade of competitive advantage.

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What happens to wholesale distribution when tariffs rise, interest rates stay high, and customers expect more with less friction?

In this episode of Around the Horn in Wholesale Distribution from LeadSmart Channel Cloud, Kevin Brown and Tom Burton sit down with Modern Distribution Management editor and market analyst Mike Hockett to unpack the data behind the headlines and what it means for revenue leaders in distribution.

You will hear a practical, numbers-driven outlook for 2025 that connects GDP forecasts, Fed policy, and tariff risk with real impacts on margins, inventory, and channel relationships. The conversation stays grounded in what wholesalers, manufacturers, and reps can control, and how to use planning, consultative commerce, and better pipeline visibility to future-proof distribution businesses through uncertainty.

What You Will Learn:

• Why November’s softer numbers do not necessarily signal a collapse, and how MDM thinks about “soft landing” versus “stall.”
• How tariffs, elections, and Fed policy are likely to affect pricing power, imports, and inventory strategy for wholesale distribution teams.
• Where distributors are still leaving money on the table because of weak forecasting, poor CRM adoption, and limited collaboration with suppliers and reps.
• How to connect market forecasts to practical decisions about hiring, territory coverage, and hybrid selling models.

Episode Highlights:

• 00:00 – Why this conversation matters now
  08:15 – Inside MDM’s latest distribution data
  18:40 – Are we heading toward a soft landing or a stall?
  30:10 – Tariffs, trade policy, and pricing pressure
  42:35 – Forecasting failures inside distribution organizations
  55:20 – Hybrid selling and channel conflict
  1:07:45 – Technology, CRM adoption, and operational readiness
  1:21:30 – M&A, succession planning, and consolidation signals
  1:33:10 – Practical priorities for the next 12 months
  

Meet the Guest:

Mike Hockett is an editor and market analyst with Modern Distribution Management (MDM) and the National Association of Wholesaler-Distributors. He spends his time inside the data and conversations that shape the future of wholesale distribution, from sector forecasts and benchmarking to technology, talent, and channel strategy.

Tools, Frameworks, or Strategies Mentioned:

• MDM’s annual distribution forecast and benchmark reporting.
• Practical approaches to collaborative planning and forecasting between manufacturers, reps, and distributors.
• CRM and pipeline practices that give revenue leaders in distribution a clearer “ground truth” for planning.

Leave a Review: Help us grow by sharing your thoughts on the show.

Learn more about the LeadSmart AI B2B Sales Platform: https://www.leadsmarttech.com/

Join the conversation each week on LinkedIn Live.

Want even more insight to the stories we discuss each week? Subscribe to the Around The Horn Newsletter.

You can also hear the podcast and other excellent content on our YouTube Channel.

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Can AI, robotics, and self‑driving technology change the distribution landscape faster than the economy can adapt?

In this episode, hosts Kevin Brown and Tom Burton explore the intersection of economic volatility, AI innovation, and leadership adaptation. From robots vs. self‑driving cars to tariff strategy and monetary policy, they unpack the signals distributors should watch and the human‑centric mindset required to thrive amid transformation.

What You’ll Learn:

• The race between humanoid robots and self‑driving cars, and what it reveals about AI adoption timelines.
• Why the Fed’s two‑percent inflation target may be outdated in a world of live data and instant analytics.
• How prediction markets like Polymarket are redefining economic forecasting.
• The impact of tariffs, trade policy, and rate cuts on wholesale pricing and investment.
• Why AI literacy, leadership calibration, and contextual intelligence are the new core skills for distribution executives.
  
  

Episode Highlights:

• 03:05 – Robots or self-driving cars first? Why Kevin now believes humanoid robots may reach mainstream use sooner than autonomous vehicles
• 17:28 – From flying cars to manual transmissions: How consumers balance nostalgia with rapid AI-enabled innovation
• 29:52 – Is the Fed working with outdated economic models? How real-time AI data could reshape monetary policy
• 44:40 – Government shutdown predictions: How Polymarket’s 27% odds reveal deeper insights about economic sentiment
• 57:55 – Tariff strategy clarified: Why “refund rumors” are misleading and why methodology matters more than politics
• 01:10:08 – Leadership evolution: AI fluency, contextual intelligence, and functional empathy as core executive skills for 2026
• 01:19:30 – Closing take: Why leaders who integrate AI intentionally, rather than reactively—will define the next decade of distribution

Tools & Frameworks Mentioned:

• LeadSmart Channel Cloud™ — AI‑enabled CRM and Customer Intelligence platform for manufacturers and distributors.
• Polymarket — decentralized prediction market for real‑time economic signals.
• Context Engineering & Agentic AI Workflows — aligning AI systems with business intent and human oversight.
• Functional Empathy Model — bridging automation and human judgment in leadership development.

Closing Insight:

“AI doesn’t replace relationships, it reinforces them by removing friction.” — Kevin Brown

Leave a Review: Help us grow by sharing your thoughts on the show.

Learn more about the LeadSmart AI B2B Sales Platform: https://www.leadsmarttech.com/

Join the conversation each week on LinkedIn Live.

Want even more insight to the stories we discuss each week? Subscribe to the Around The Horn Newsletter.

You can also hear the podcast and other excellent content on our YouTube Channel.

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, or TikTok.