Lance Lambert, co-founder of Resi Club, discusses the real estate market's nuances with host Jason Hartman. Lambert highlights the tight resale market, down 30-35% from pre-pandemic levels in 2019, noting that despite this, 2019 wasn't a buyer's market. Affordability strains persist, especially in areas like Connecticut, impacted by the "donut effect" from pandemic migration. Lambert emphasizes builders' resilience, adjusting home sizes and finishes to tackle affordability while maintaining profit margins. He anticipates a shift towards smaller homes due to changing demographics. Despite challenges, residential construction employment remains strong, indicating continued market stability.

#RealEstateInsights #ResiClub #LanceLambert #HousingMarketAnalysis #SupplyDynamics #RealEstateTrends #RealEstateResearch #ExpertInterview #LanceLambertInsights #PandemicMigration #HousingTrends #DonutEffect #HomeBuilderStrategies #Affordability #DRHortonAnalysis

https://www.resiclubanalytics.com/

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Jason and Paul Moore delve into the current state of commercial real estate, focusing on multifamily, office, RV and mobile home markets. They discuss the rise of rescue capital, which assists struggling deals, particularly in multifamily, where many properties are overpriced. They explore how office markets may never fully recover due to remote work trends and pandemic-induced lifestyle changes. They also touch on the impact of struggling office portfolios on banks, revealing a potential contagion effect. Overall, they suggest a nuanced understanding of the commercial real estate landscape is crucial amidst ongoing market shifts.

#RemoteWorkRevolution #OfficeMarketTrends #PostPandemicWorkplace #CommercialRealEstateInsights #RemoteWorkImpact #IndustryAnalysis #OfficeSpaceInvesting #RealEstateOpportunities #AdaptToChange #FutureOfWork #OfficeMarketEvolution #WorkplaceTrends #OfficeRealEstate #EconomicDynamics #MarketAnalysis

Key Takeaways:

0:56 The state of "commercial real estate"

4:42 Self storage

6:35 Multifamily

9:30 Rescue capital and pref equity

13:54 Office space and RV parks

21:02 RV parks and AirBnB https://rvshare.com/ https://www.outdoorsy.com/

27:40 Mobile home parks

https://www.wellingscapital.com/

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Jason and Mark Moss delve into the media landscape’s sensationalism and fear-mongering, particularly in financial spaces. Moss criticizes analysts like Harry Dent, noting their linear thinking and failure to account for the changing dynamics post-2008 crisis. Moss predicts continued government intervention to prop up markets, leading to prolonged debt expansion and diminishing returns. Despite concerns over inflation, Moss argues elites benefit from inflationary policies, making it a preferable choice over deflationary collapse. Moss’s insights underscore a nuanced view of economic dynamics and media narratives, emphasizing systemic complexities.

#EconomicAnalysis #FinancialInsights #MarketTrends #MacroEconomics #Inflation #DebtCrisis #CentralBanks #GovernmentPolicy #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentOutlook #AssetAllocation #EconomicForecasting #MarketAnalysis #FinancialEducation #RiskManagement #GlobalEconomy #MonetaryPolicy #QuantitativeEasing #MarketManipulation #AssetPrices

Key Takeaways:

0:00 Is the sky falling?

14:53 The law of diminishing returns

18:52 Crashing down and up

20:24 Maniacal focus on the yield curve

26:16 Nothing moves in a straight line

27:30 Kicking the can down the road by year 2035

29:58 Choose where you want your focus to be

32:00 The first billion dollar solopreneur via Ai

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Jason welcomes Stephen M.R. Covey as they discuss his book "The Speed of Trust." In business, cultivating trust is key for successful deals and relationships. The principle of "win-win or no deal" emphasizes fair collaboration, where both parties benefit. Trust fosters enduring relationships, enabling faster, more efficient cooperation. Smart trust involves assessing situations, clarifying expectations, and ensuring accountability. While contracts are necessary, they can't substitute genuine trust. Transparent, open, and fair dealings build reputations that lead to repeat and referral business. Long-term success lies in creating a high-trust culture, where mutual respect and consideration drive not just transactions, but positive, enduring partnerships.

Key Takeaways:

1:24 Welcome, Stephen

2:33 What is trust?

3:57 A tall order- developing trust

7:03 Smart trusting- giving trust without being a 'doormat'

10:07 Trust- AND verify

12:10 Trust in Fortune 1,000 companies

14:46 High trust dividends

19:44 My cynical views and a perpetual downward cycle

24:42 Solutions in building trust

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Today Jason welcomes YouTube influencer Kevin Paffrath a.k.a. Meet Kevin. In this interview with Kevin, conducted aboard his private jet, he shares insights on the economy, inflation, and investment strategies. Kevin discusses the aftermath of recent global events like the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, foreseeing prolonged economic effects. He emphasizes the importance of the Federal Reserve’s intervention to prevent joblessness and advocates for a balanced approach in monetary policy. Kevin recommends focusing on asset acquisition, particularly real estate and stocks, and stresses the value of providing more value to employers and communities. He also suggests exploring professional services as a viable business venture for quick growth.

https://www.youtube.com/@MeetKevin

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Jason welcomes back guest Martin Armstrong, a renowned economic forecaster. The conversation touches on Armstrong’s background, experiences in the financial industry, and his computer-driven approach to analysis. Armstrong’s economic confidence model predicts a peak on May 7th, signaling a shift towards a recession, civil unrest, and international conflicts into 2028. He emphasizes the significant role of the U.S. as a consumer-based economy and the global demand for American products, asserting that despite challenges, the U.S. dollar remains a strong reserve currency. Armstrong also discusses economic dynamics in Europe, Japan, and China.

Key Takeaways:

0:28 A historic overview by Martin Armstrong and the currencies

5:33 Data driven approach

9:13 Economic Confidence Model

10:04 May 7, 2024: save the date

13:24 The past 10 years and what it means to us now

18:50 The future is… stagflation and Inflation

23:35 CBDCs and big tech

ArmstrongEconomics.com

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Discover the fascinating history behind the influential Laffer curve with the renowned economist #ArthurLaffer. This curve played a pivotal role in the Reagan revolution, transforming global economics. Dive into the concept that excess taxation can hinder government revenue, unraveling the counterintuitive nature of economics.

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And today's conversation is between Jason and Arthur Laffer which covers a range of topics related to taxation and economics. They begin by discussing Arthur's Laffer curve concept, which explores the relationship between tax rates and tax revenues. They also examine the impact of tax policies on different groups in society and the economy. The discussion then shifted to the effects of tax policies on property markets, using California's Prop 13 as an example. Finally, they discuss the political career of former President Reagan, highlighting his leadership style and adaptability.

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Jason welcomes Mike Maloney. He talks about his book "The Great Gold and Silver Rush of the 20th Century," and presents a chart showing the price of a can of Campbell's soup under the gold standard from 1895 to 2025. Jason also introduced the Hartman Comparison Index and the concept of pricing items in commodities. Mike and Jason discuss the unrealized gains and losses on investment securities, the current state of the stock market, the history of financing and real estate, the concept of hedonic adjustment used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the cycle of long-term interest rates, corporate bankruptcies, and the economic situation. They also discussed the use of gold as a safe haven asset and the potential for an economic collapse.

https://ggsr21.com/

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