Addressing the Elephant in the Room: Interest Rates Are Up… AGAIN
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- Higher interest rates affect cash flow—but cash flow isn't the only return.
Higher mortgage rates increase the monthly payment, which can certainly squeeze a traditional long-term rental.
But real estate has multiple potential sources of return:
- Cash flow
- Principal reduction
- Appreciation
- Tax benefits
- Inflation protection
- Leverage
Looking at only the mortgage rate can cause an investor to miss the larger picture.
- Midterm and STR-to-MTR strategies can create additional margin
Steve explains that a $50–$150 monthly swing caused by rates can feel substantial on a long-term rental producing only modest cash flow.
But when a property strategy is generating significantly more monthly income, that same change can become less material to the overall investment.
- Interest is the price of leverage
One of Kevin's central ideas:
"The interest rate is a gift, not a curse."
Why?
Because financing allows an investor to put up a fraction of the property's total purchase price while a lender provides the majority of the capital required to acquire the asset.
- Ghostbusters had an 18% mortgage 😳
Kevin pulls an unexpected lesson from Ghostbusters: there's a scene where the characters discuss financing a property at an 18% interest rate. It's a funny reminder that investors have operated—and built wealth—through dramatically different interest-rate environments over time.
- Your tenant may effectively be servicing much of the debt
When a rental property is occupied and generating rent, the property's income helps cover expenses including financing costs.
That changes the way an investor may think about borrowing compared with a consumer financing a personal expense.
- Higher rates can reduce competition
This is one of the strongest arguments in the episode. Higher rates often discourage would-be buyers.
Fewer buyers can mean:
less competition → more motivated sellers → stronger negotiating power.
Steve explains that they've already seen builders and sellers become more flexible when fewer buyers are competing for their properties.
- Think like an investor, not merely a consumer
Someone purchasing a primary residence understandably cares enormously about rates because a higher payment can reduce how much home they can qualify for.
An investor looks at a different equation:
What does this asset produce relative to what it costs me?
That distinction is central to the episode.
- Higher rates may create opportunities for better deals
If higher rates reduce demand, sellers may become more willing to negotiate:
- Purchase price
- Closing costs
- Seller concessions
- Rate buydowns
- Other terms
So a higher financing cost may sometimes be partially offset elsewhere in the transaction.
- Don't automatically interpret rising rates as a STOP sign
Kevin sums up the mindset shift beautifully:
Instead of:
"The sky is falling."
Ask:
"Opportunity is knocking. Am I going to answer?"
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