Henrik Zeberg, Head of Macroeconomics at Swissblock and author of The Monetary House of Cards, joins Hector Earley and Craig Whyte on Acequisition. In January 2023, with the S&P 500 near 4,000 and Wall Street braced for a bear market, he said stocks would hit record highs and then crash. The record highs came. In this episode we ask him about the crash.
He says we’re in “the last bubble ever”, that his model points to one more 30% rally in the Nasdaq over the next two to four months, and that what follows could be a crash of up to 90%: a deflationary bust like 2008, then fresh money printing and stagflation. They cover bond yields and the Fed, the rotation into crypto, the fourth turning and the end of Pax Americana, why printing money won’t work this time, long-term unemployment, the savings squeeze, his Bitcoin and S&P targets, and where he’d put money on each timeline.
Recorded in early November 2026.
00:00 Henrik Zeberg in his own words
00:22 The economist who called the rally
00:58 Are we in the largest bubble of all time?
02:55 Why the market goes higher first
04:51 A 30% Nasdaq rally from here
06:08 Bond yields lead the Fed
07:57 Two to four months left
08:37 Why 30%? The final rallies of 2000 and 2007
10:31 AI stocks and the rotation into crypto
12:39 AI valuations and the CAPE ratio
15:15 IPOs into the bubble top
16:07 The fourth turning
18:26 Railways, radio, dot-com and AI
21:35 Debt, money printing and the end of Pax Americana
24:24 Long-term unemployment
25:03 Bubbles, wars and the human cost
28:24 Can the Fed print its way out?
30:36 190 Marshall Plans and the inverted Volcker
33:17 Inflation and interest rates in a recession
36:32 Why a 90% crash is possible
37:50 AI, white-collar jobs and consumer spending
39:28 Interest rates, inflation and the savings squeeze
43:18 What should investors do now?
45:27 Bitcoin and the bounce
47:57 S&P 8,400 and Bitcoin $115,000
48:49 Altcoin season
50:22 Does Bitcoin survive?
51:30 Tokenization: what crypto is really for
54:15 Where to follow Henrik Zeberg
Follow Henrik Zeberg on X (@HenrikZeberg) and Substack (henrikzeberg.substack.com).
Watch Acequisition on YouTube: youtube.com/@acequisition
The views in this interview are those of the guest and hosts. Nothing here is investment advice. Capital is at risk.