エピソード

  • Sam Altman: ‘AGI in 2026’, just as Models [Mis]Train Themselves
    2026/08/27

    First, a Time Magazine spread has Sam Altman declaring AGI is imminent, at the same time as we get two bombshell reports, from OpenAI and METR which on first glance are detailing the AI swarm, but reveal a deeper story about how we are making AI in 2026. From redacted risk reports, to Chinese Labs, pre-training debacles to questionable cybersecurity calls, a lot has happened recently, beneath the headlines…

    https://80000hours.org/aiexplained


    pablo2004romero@gmail.com
    https://integrity-bench.com/

    https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/ai-swarm-cometh-166671390


    Chapters:
    00:00 - Introduction
    02:10 - METR Report
    05:00 - Secrets of MultI-Agent Swarm
    07:46 - Anthropic Too
    10:00 - And China
    11:07 - AI Agents Analysing AI Agents
    13:37 - Altman AGI 2026
    15:36 - Astra Paused
    16:01 - Integrity Bench
    19:03 - Swarm Dynamics
    21:58 - No Human Contact?


    METR Post: https://metr.org/blog/2026-08-26-openai-hugging-face-incident-investigation/#agents-knew-hacking-hugging-face-was-out-of-scope-and-sometimes-expressed-ethical-hesitation,-but-this-very-rarely-limited-their-behavior
    OpenAI Release: https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-incident-and-the-road-ahead/
    Technical Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/67869394-cb91-4c12-888c-5cbd85c7814c/OpenAI-Hugging-Face%20Incident-Technical-Report.pdf

    BlackHat Talk: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=87DyyMV0kCY

    Anthropic Risk Report: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/f61d49fa5596956a5dec75fea0e973bf6a6a8378/Redacted%20Risk%20Report%20August%202026%20.pdf


    Value Leakage Paper: https://valueleakage.net/?utm_source=chatgpt.com


    Paused Training: https://x.com/sama/status/2089787807611195475
    https://openai.com/index/pacing-model-development-cyber-capabilities/
    AGI 2026: https://time.com/article/2026/08/26/openai-sam-altman-interview/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=editorial&utm_content=260826

    Greenblatt Tweets: https://x.com/RyanGreenblatt/status/2092769422104822031
    https://x.com/RyanGreenblatt/status/2092692685224325542

    Cyberdefense Call: https://openai.com/collective-cyberdefense/

    GLM 5.3 and 5.3 Flash / ox alpha: https://x.com/MTSlive/status/2089865956558528552
    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HPqiTkAa0AAZiuv?format=jpg&name=large



    Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

    Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

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    24 分
  • AI is getting a little out of control
    2026/08/06

    Wow. Mathematical breakthroughs that would be called genius if done by humans. A secret message-board w/ AI agent swarms leaving notes read by future versions. Hassabis leaves CEO position, or was pushed out? Not to mention news of constitutional breakdowns, Gemini 4 and Jeff Dean…

    https://80000hours.org/aiexplained


    Exclusive Videos - AI Insiders ($7/month if annual!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

    Chapters:
    00:00 - Introduction
    01:16 - 10 Autonomous Discoveries
    08:20 - The Security ‘Incident’
    15:29 - MessageBoard
    19:50 - Constitutional Failure
    24:30 - Google Explosion
    29:12 - Closing Thoughts

    Security Incident: Paper: https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/663bd486c5e4c81588db7a1d/6a724858f7db25c81487016d_Security%20Incident%20INC-2026-07-28-01.pdf
    Post: https://www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/incident-report-unsanctioned-agent-behaviour-during-cyber-testing
    https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/aug/05/ai-models-have-been-going-rogue-in-tests-how-worried-should-we-be
    Meta too: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/meta-ai-model-hacked-another-company-cybersecurity-testing?rc=sy0ihq
    Blatantly Misaligned: https://x.com/yonashav/status/2085167279893795022
    No Excuses: https://x.com/boazbaraktcs/status/2085034783541964945
    Surreal Moment: https://x.com/mobav0/status/2084341687883841732
    Wired Article: https://archive.is/20260806002210/https://www.wired.com/story/openai-didnt-notice-its-ai-agents-using-a-message-board-to-plan-their-hacking-spree/
    Chunky Post-training: https://x.com/johnschulman2/status/2084835800899076313
    Watershed Moment: https://www.groundlevel-ai.com/p/openai-gives-first-detailed-debrief?has_completed_unsubscribed_unlock=true
    HedgeFund Hack: https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/major-hedge-funds-targeted-wave-154044981.html

    10 Discoveries:
    Paper: https://cdn.openai.com/pdf/ten-proofs-oai.pdf
    Post: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/
    Haven’t Solved Math: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2083476852216369294
    Half with Fable: https://x.com/__alpoge__/status/2083855298239078748
    Pivot to Safety: https://www.understandingai.org/p/mathematicians-are-grappling-with


    Amodei Essay: https://darioamodei.com/essay/the-adolescence-of-technology?utm_source=chatgpt.com
    Constitution: https://www.anthropic.com/constitution
    Midtraining: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.02087

    DroneBench: https://andonlabs.com/evals/drone-bench
    https://x.com/andonlabs/status/2085125235188310445

    Book Deal: https://x.com/venturetwins/status/2085185278378222054
    Making Marble: https://x.com/Rainmaker1973/status/2084560915404382685

    Google News:
    Hassabis Move: https://blog.google/company-news/inside-google/message-ceo/next-chapter-ai-momentum/
    Resignation: https://x.com/Turn_Trout/status/2077448610157891734
    Periodic Labs: https://periodic.com/
    Jeff Dean: https://x.com/JeffDean/status/2085034604172603724
    14 Challenges: https://gcsp.engineering.asu.edu/apply/become-a-grand-challenge-scholar/the-14-grand-challenges-for-engineering/
    Going Places for Sure: https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2085223189555126579
    Gemini 4: https://x.com/firstadopter/status/2085215060532535449


    Pacing Frontier Patreon Video: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/opus-5-amodei-165170363



    Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

    Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

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    32 分
  • GPT-6 Goes Rogue? The HuggingFace Incident, Sans Hype
    2026/07/22

    An unreleased internal OpenAI model, very likely to be called GPT-6, was able to autonomously break out of its sandbox AND break into HugginFace, just to score higher on a benchmark prompt. This video has the details you may have missed, a layperson analogy, whether this is truly novel, and more…

    Dozens more Exclusive videos on Patreon ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

    Chapters:
    00:00 - Introduction
    01:17 - HuggingFace Earlier Report - the possible week gap
    02:24 - But what happened?
    05:45 - Simplified Version
    07:56 - Not the first time…
    10:54 - What Does it Mean for Open Source?

    The Incident: https://openai.com/index/hugging-face-model-evaluation-security-incident/
    https://huggingface.co/blog/security-incident-july-2026


    The Post the Day Before: https://openai.com/index/safety-alignment-long-horizon-models/


    Mythos’ Earlier Escape: https://futurism.com/artificial-intelligence/anthropic-claude-mythos-escaped-sandbox

    ExploitGym: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.11086

    Sam Confession: https://x.com/sama/status/2079661132302995790

    Anthropic Researcher Reacts: https://x.com/Mononofu/status/2079724399452926055

    Clem (HuggingFace CEO): https://x.com/ClementDelangue/status/2079670308156645882
    https://x.com/ClementDelangue/status/2079301434357456931

    Xi Jinping: https://archive.fo/20260717195548/https://www.businessinsider.com/xi-jinping-open-source-ai-us-competition-openai-anthropic-models-2026-7
    Bans: https://www.axios.com/2026/07/20/ai-us-china-open-source-kimi
    Qwen Retweet: https://x.com/AlibabaGroup/with_replies

    Codex Growth: https://x.com/petergostev/status/2079614914398740764/photo/1

    Kimi K3: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/harvey-lab-aa?eval-score=all-pass-rate

    GPT 5.6 Sol Cheats on METR: https://metr.substack.com/p/2026-06-26-gpt-5-6-sol

    Guardian Headline: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/jul/22/openai-says-its-models-went-rogue-and-hacked-startup-in-unprecedented-incident

    Russian Origin?: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48998362

    Power Trends: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HNRtrjhagAAvBN_?format=png&name=900x900



    Kimi K3 Exclusive Video: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/kimi-moment-kimi-164108791



    Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

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    15 分
  • This Was Not a Normal Set of Model Release - Sol Ultra, Meta Muse, New Grok
    2026/07/10

    What a week in AI, for real. GPT 5.6 may actually beat Claude Fable, in what you get for your money, while the new Grok 4.5 and Meta Muse Spark 1.1 make the choice even harder. Uncovering a dozen nuggets of gold you may have missed from all the viral headlines, I can also assure you you’ll learn something you didn’t know before.

    For Exclusive Videos, go to AI Insiders (less than $9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

    Chapters:
    00:00 - Introduction
    01:03 - GPT 5.6 Sol Reveals
    05:08 - Missing benches, plus Grok 4.5
    07:17 - Gaming as the new frontier?
    08:31 - Muse Spark 1.1
    10:03 - SimpleBench Upgrade
    11:17 - Ultra Sol + Self-Improvement
    13:44 - well, this is awkward
    15:41 - Why model improvement will not plateau anytime soon


    AI Consciousness: https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained/posts/anthropics-quite-163360718


    I Smell Fear: https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2075287108680601929
    GPT 5.6: https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-6/

    Grok 4.5: https://x.ai/news/grok-4-5?twclid=2ezs408o0z23pw07tmxcwbzibd
    Meta Muse Spark 1.1: https://ai.meta.com/blog/introducing-muse-spark-meta-model-api/

    Proliferating GPT Toggles: https://x.com/rasbt/status/2075369179817902176/photo/1
    Anthropic Call-out: https://x.com/Mononofu
    AI Security Institute Finding: https://x.com/alxndrdavies/status/2075279480331874306
    Competitive Coding: https://x.com/FakePsyho/status/2075128093891801305/photo/1

    Agents Last Exam: https://agents-last-exam.org/
    Dawn Song: https://x.com/dawnsongtweets/status/2065095757988868190

    https://simple-bench.com/

    SWE-Marathon: https://www.swe-marathon.org/
    https://www.frontierswe.com/
    ARC-AGI 3: https://x.com/arcprize/status/2075270869992264003
    Automation Bench: https://zapier.com/benchmarks
    VibeCode Bench: https://www.vals.ai/benchmarks/vibe-code

    ‘Post-Train Claim’: https://posttrainbench.com/

    Redwall Game: https://redwall-bellmaker-7e03e4.surge.sh/




    Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

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    18 分
  • Claude Fable Blocked - 11 Quiet Details on What’s Next
    2026/06/14

    Claude Fable 5 banned, but what’s the bigger story. We go through 11 under-reported details, so you have the context to see what’s coming next for your use of AI. From whether the ban will last, what the possible motives are, what the model can actually do, and some wild over-extrapolations going on.


    Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

    AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

    Chapters:
    00:00 - Introduction
    00:51 - Came from an Anthropic Investor ‘and other tech leaders’
    01:47 - Govt pressured by CEOs like Jamie Dimon
    03:01 - ‘Already decided’
    04:02 - Prompt Injection Robustness Comparison
    05:15 - Wellness?
    06:36 - “Overreach”
    08:17 - Anthropic Did Admit it would cause Difficulty
    09:32 - 90 Minutes
    10:02 - Equity Absence
    10:31 - Lobbying and OpenAI

    ‘Already Decided’ - https://www.theinformation.com/articles/amazons-jassy-raised-concerns-anthropic-model-trump-crackdown?rc=sy0ihq

    Not for Other Models: https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/u-s-government-unlikely-extend-anthropic-export-control-ai-companies?rc=sy0ihq

    90 Minutes: https://archive.fo/20260614001605/https://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/13/inside-the-whirlwind-24-hours-that-led-the-white-house-to-slap-export-controls-on-anthropic-00961519#selection-807.1-807.219

    Anthropic Statement: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access

    Life Comes at you Fast: https://x.com/etbrooking/status/2065638276388495742

    Anthropic Deputy CISO: https://x.com/TheTranscript_/status/2065883670053847324

    Hegseth Gloat: https://x.com/PeteHegseth/status/2065897156226015690

    Roon Speculation: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2065939227167392147

    Mythos System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/d00db56fa754a1b115b6dd7cb2e3c342ee809620.pdf

    Sachs Statement: https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2065853007619588171


    OpenAI Lobbying: https://thehill.com/policy/technology/5912720-altman-openai-get-bogged-down-in-political-spending-fight/

    Absent from Equity Talks: https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/trump-ai-ownership-plan-could-131053732.html

    Pliny Jaibreak: https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/2064776322979676227

    Fusion: https://x.com/OpenRouter/status/2065856871215329545

    https://lmcouncil.ai



    Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

    Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

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    13 分
  • Claude Fable 5 - Full 319 page Breakdown
    2026/06/10

    Fable 5 is out - and it’s good, very good. But beyond the splashy demos, I want to bring you the 20+ nuggets from the 319 page system card, which I read in full, all day, plus benchmarks you may not have noticed.

    https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained

    Plus two worrying trends inside the ‘mind’ of Claude, how OpenAI counter, and the transformer inventor’s warning.



    Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

    AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

    Chapters:
    00:00 - Introduction
    01:06 - Blocks + Better Models
    02:42 - Fable 5 Upgrade over Mythos Preview
    04:49 - ML Acceleration Bombshell
    07:11 - No RSI yet
    07:41 - Bio-capable
    14:51 - Creative Writing … no
    17:23 - Does need bug-checks
    18:57 - OpenAI Response
    19:23 - Benchmark Bonanza
    28:06 - Chain of Thought worrying trend

    Fable 5 Release: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-fable-5-mythos-5

    System Card: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/d00db56fa754a1b115b6dd7cb2e3c342ee809620.pdf

    Intelligence Explosion: https://www.patreon.com/posts/anthropic-charts-160231656

    Annotated: https://x.com/Miles_Brundage/status/2064500190523113816/photo/1

    OpenAI Counter: https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2064572118264913923
    https://x.com/thsottiaux/status/2043177597434306699

    Double Lifespan: https://darioamodei.com/essay/machines-of-loving-grace

    AutomationBench: https://zapier.com/benchmarks
    Vending Bench: https://x.com/andonlabs/status/2064429817530085804
    CritPt: https://critpt.com/
    Riemann Bench: https://surgehq.ai/leaderboards/riemann-bench
    GDPVal: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/gdpval-aa
    BluePrint Bench 2: https://andonlabs.com/evals/blueprint-bench-2
    MCP Atlas: https://labs.scale.com/leaderboard/mcp_atlas
    FutureSim: https://x.com/nikhilchandak29/status/2064676801440358774

    Roon Stun Lock: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2064454617568874669

    Noam Brown Inference Ceiling: https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2064210146558136827

    Isochronic Chart: https://isochronic-passage-chart.netlify.app/#nyc
    Rose Tavern: https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/2295bebe-77e6-43e2-ae94-0fe49e9a776b
    Redwall Game: https://redwall-mossflower.surge.sh/

    Risk Report: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/097c63b5fe7dd8b14866e1f15bb1910ec713658a.pdf

    Transformer Inventor Warning: https://x.com/tszzl/status/2064563986914554125



    Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

    Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

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    34 分
  • New Claude - 244 page breakdown
    2026/05/29

    The ‘best’ generally available AI model just dropped, but there is plenty I bet you missed about what it is, how it performs, and what the release tells us. 15 highlights from the 244 page system card, plus private testing, leader interview and more.

    AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

    Chapters:
    00:00 - Introduction
    00:49 - Mythos in Weeks
    01:49 - Adaptive not necessary
    02:26 - Honesty?
    04:37 - Flagging Uncertainty
    04:57 - Benchmarks
    08:54 - Mythos will be even better
    10:30 - Business skillz
    11:15 - Model Welfare
    12:16 - Cyber Comparable
    13:10 - Misalignment Concerns
    16:22 - Meta Inabilities
    17:58 - Code flagging
    18:34 - Go to sleep
    18:50 - Fast Mode
    20:21 - Dynamic Workflows


    Opus 4.8 Paper: https://cdn.sanity.io/files/4zrzovbb/website/c886650a2e96fc0925c805a1a7ca77314ccbf4a6.pdf

    Release: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-8


    Chips: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-talks-use-microsofts-ai-chips?rc=sy0ihq
    https://www.anthropic.com/news/expanding-our-use-of-google-cloud-tpus-and-services
    https://www.anthropic.com/news/higher-limits-spacex

    Patreon Vid: https://www.patreon.com/posts/re-up-anthropics-159289449

    GDPVal: https://artificialanalysis.ai/evaluations/omniscience
    https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.04374

    Amodei Technical Debt: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7xco5Qd2Oo8

    Dynamic Workflows: https://x.com/ClaudeDevs/status/2060044853279617150
    https://x.com/_catwu/status/2060054180379689074/photo/1
    https://claude.com/blog/introducing-dynamic-workflows-in-claude-code

    https://simple-bench.com/


    Check out my fast-growing (!) app, free to use, and code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

    Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

    Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

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    22 分
  • Two Rival Bets on AGI: Google I/O Highlights
    2026/05/20

    The biggest Google AI push of the year, but what is the bigger story? Why is Google pursuing a different fork in the road than OpenAI or Anthropic? What does Gemini 3.5 Flash mean for the near-term future of AI?

    https://assemblyai.com/aiexplained

    Plus the highlights from a provocative new paper on AI, 8 key moments you may have missed, and the signal from 5+ hours of AI lab interviews.



    Check out my free to use app, code INSIDER15 for paid tiers: https://lmcouncil.ai

    AI Insiders ($9!): https://www.patreon.com/AIExplained

    Chapters:
    00:00 - Introduction
    00:38 - Vibes and Google Goal
    02:18 - Omni, again?
    06:57 - Taking the same road
    07:44 - Gemini 3 Flash
    12:37 - Pitching on Cost?
    13:55 - Agentic Task Search
    14:30 - 1-shot OS but jagged, negation paper
    20:02 - The Karpathy Moonshot

    Mostafa Deghani Interview: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bo19sXssYXI

    Negation Neglect Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.13829

    Gemini 3.5 Flash Headline Scores: https://deepmind.google/models/model-cards/gemini-3-5-flash/

    Sors original AGI Path: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/feb/24/openai-video-generation-tool-sora-babies-ai-artificial-intelligence

    Hassabis Helped Set-up Anthropic: https://archive.fo/20260519070857/https://www.ft.com/content/8f2a529e-7a1b-4d8e-95be-338d0c4c98f5

    Intelligence to Output Speed: https://artificialanalysis.ai/models?intelligence-comparison=intelligence-vs-output-speed#intelligence

    VibeCodeBench + Finance Agent: https://www.vals.ai/home

    OpenAI Needs Ads: https://archive.ph/20260409123153/https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/openai-projects-25-billion-ad-revenue-this-year-100-billion-by-2030-axios-2026-04-09/

    Anthropic Core Views: https://www.anthropic.com/news/core-views-on-ai-safety

    Karpathy Move: https://x.com/karpathy/status/2056753169888334312
    https://www.axios.com/2026/05/19/anthropic-openai-karpathy-andrej-claude

    Recursive Self-Improvement: https://www.patreon.com/posts/ineffably-smart-156866417



    Non-hype Newsletter: https://signaltonoise.beehiiv.com/

    Podcast: https://aiexplainedopodcast.buzzsprout.com/

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    22 分